{ "cells": [ { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "(pystan_schema)=\n", "# Example of `InferenceData` schema in PyStan\n", "\n", "The description of the `InferenceData` structure can be found {ref}`here `." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 1, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "import arviz as az\n", "import pystan\n", "import pandas as pd\n", "import numpy as np\n", "import xarray\n", "\n", "xarray.set_options(display_style=\"html\");" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 2, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
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commentscommitstime
Alice7500254.5
Bob10100326.0
Cole18600497.0
Danielle252006612.0
Erika275009618.0
\n", "
" ], "text/plain": [ " comments commits time\n", "Alice 7500 25 4.5\n", "Bob 10100 32 6.0\n", "Cole 18600 49 7.0\n", "Danielle 25200 66 12.0\n", "Erika 27500 96 18.0" ] }, "execution_count": 2, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "# read data\n", "data = pd.read_csv(\"linear_regression_data.csv\", index_col=0)\n", "time_since_joined = data.time.values\n", "slack_comments = data.comments.values\n", "github_commits = data.commits.values\n", "names = data.index.values\n", "N = len(names)\n", "data" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 3, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "# data for out of sample predictions\n", "candidate_devs = [\"Francis\", \"Gerard\"]\n", "candidate_devs_time = np.array([3.6, 5.1])\n", "N_pred = len(candidate_devs)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 4, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO:pystan:COMPILING THE C++ CODE FOR MODEL anon_model_0d5510d8a96e25d9a54b4530edc08cfc NOW.\n" ] } ], "source": [ "linreg_prior_code = \"\"\"\n", "data {\n", " int N;\n", " real time_since_joined[N];\n", "}\n", "\n", "generated quantities {\n", " real b0;\n", " real b1;\n", " real log_b_sigma;\n", " real b_sigma;\n", " \n", " real c0;\n", " real c1;\n", " real log_c_sigma;\n", " real c_sigma;\n", " \n", " vector[N] slack_comments_hat;\n", " vector[N] github_commits_hat;\n", " \n", " b0 = normal_rng(0,200);\n", " b1 = normal_rng(0,200);\n", " b_sigma = abs(normal_rng(0,300));\n", " log_b_sigma = log(b_sigma);\n", " \n", " c0 = normal_rng(0,10);\n", " c1 = normal_rng(0,10);\n", " c_sigma = fabs(normal_rng(0,6));\n", " log_c_sigma = log(b_sigma);\n", " \n", " for (n in 1:N) {\n", " slack_comments_hat[n] = normal_rng(b0 + b1 * time_since_joined[n], b_sigma);\n", " github_commits_hat[n] = normal_rng(c0 + c1 * time_since_joined[n], c_sigma);\n", " }\n", "}\n", "\"\"\"\n", "sm_prior = pystan.StanModel(model_code=linreg_prior_code)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 5, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "linreg_prior_data_dict = {\"N\": N, \"time_since_joined\": time_since_joined}\n", "prior = sm_prior.sampling(\n", " data=linreg_prior_data_dict, iter=150, chains=1, algorithm=\"Fixed_param\", warmup=0\n", ")" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 6, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "INFO:pystan:COMPILING THE C++ CODE FOR MODEL anon_model_bb366f8ad241e32840c67395e3324113 NOW.\n" ] } ], "source": [ "linreg_code = \"\"\"\n", "data {\n", " int N;\n", " vector[N] time_since_joined;\n", " vector[N] slack_comments;\n", " vector[N] github_commits;\n", " \n", " \n", " // out of sample prediction\n", " int N_pred;\n", " vector[N_pred] time_since_joined_pred;\n", "}\n", "\n", "parameters {\n", " real b0;\n", " real b1;\n", " real log_b_sigma;\n", " \n", " real c0;\n", " real c1;\n", " real log_c_sigma;\n", "}\n", "\n", "transformed parameters {\n", " real b_sigma = exp(log_b_sigma);\n", " real c_sigma = exp(log_c_sigma);\n", "}\n", "\n", "model {\n", " b0 ~ normal(0,200);\n", " b1 ~ normal(0,200);\n", " b_sigma ~ normal(0,300);\n", " slack_comments ~ normal(b0 + b1 * time_since_joined, b_sigma);\n", " github_commits ~ normal(c0 + c1 * time_since_joined, c_sigma);\n", " \n", "}\n", "\n", "generated quantities {\n", " // elementwise log likelihood\n", " vector[N] log_likelihood_slack_comments;\n", " vector[N] log_likelihood_github_commits;\n", " \n", " // posterior predictive\n", " vector[N] slack_comments_hat;\n", " vector[N] github_commits_hat;\n", " \n", " // out of sample prediction\n", " vector[N_pred] slack_comments_pred;\n", " vector[N_pred] github_commits_pred;\n", " \n", " // posterior predictive\n", " for (n in 1:N) {\n", " log_likelihood_slack_comments[n] = normal_lpdf(slack_comments[n] | b0 + b1 * time_since_joined[n], b_sigma);\n", " slack_comments_hat[n] = normal_rng(b0 + b1 * time_since_joined[n], b_sigma);\n", " \n", " log_likelihood_github_commits[n] = normal_lpdf(github_commits[n] | c0 + c1 * time_since_joined[n], c_sigma);\n", " github_commits_hat[n] = normal_rng(c0 + c1 * time_since_joined[n], c_sigma);\n", " }\n", " \n", " // out of sample prediction\n", " for (n in 1:N_pred) {\n", " slack_comments_pred[n] = normal_rng(b0 + b1 * time_since_joined_pred[n], b_sigma);\n", " github_commits_pred[n] = normal_rng(c0 + c1 * time_since_joined_pred[n], c_sigma);\n", " }\n", "}\n", "\"\"\"\n", "sm = pystan.StanModel(model_code=linreg_code)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 7, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "name": "stderr", "output_type": "stream", "text": [ "WARNING:pystan:Rhat above 1.1 or below 0.9 indicates that the chains very likely have not mixed\n", "WARNING:pystan:198 of 400 iterations saturated the maximum tree depth of 10 (49.5 %)\n", "WARNING:pystan:Run again with max_treedepth larger than 10 to avoid saturation\n" ] } ], "source": [ "linreg_data_dict = {\n", " \"N\": N,\n", " \"slack_comments\": slack_comments,\n", " \"github_commits\": github_commits,\n", " \"time_since_joined\": time_since_joined,\n", " \"N_pred\": N_pred,\n", " \"time_since_joined_pred\": candidate_devs_time,\n", "}\n", "posterior = sm.sampling(data=linreg_data_dict, iter=200, chains=4)" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 8, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [], "source": [ "idata_stan = az.from_pystan(\n", " posterior=posterior,\n", " prior=prior,\n", " posterior_predictive=[\"slack_comments_hat\", \"github_commits_hat\"],\n", " prior_predictive=[\"slack_comments_hat\", \"github_commits_hat\"],\n", " observed_data=[\"slack_comments\", \"github_commits\"],\n", " constant_data=[\"time_since_joined\"],\n", " log_likelihood={\n", " \"slack_comments\": \"log_likelihood_slack_comments\",\n", " \"github_commits\": \"log_likelihood_github_commits\",\n", " },\n", " predictions=[\"slack_comments_pred\", \"github_commits_pred\"],\n", " predictions_constant_data=[\"time_since_joined_pred\"],\n", " coords={\"developer\": names, \"candidate developer\": candidate_devs},\n", " dims={\n", " \"slack_comments\": [\"developer\"],\n", " \"github_commits\": [\"developer\"],\n", " \"slack_comments_hat\": [\"developer\"],\n", " \"github_commits_hat\": [\"developer\"],\n", " \"time_since_joined\": [\"developer\"],\n", " \"slack_comments_pred\": [\"candidate developer\"],\n", " \"github_commits_pred\": [\"candidate developer\"],\n", " \"time_since_joined_pred\": [\"candidate developer\"],\n", " },\n", ")" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 9, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/plain": [ "Inference data with groups:\n", "\t> posterior\n", "\t> sample_stats\n", "\t> log_likelihood\n", "\t> posterior_predictive\n", "\t> observed_data\n", "\t> constant_data\n", "\t> prior\n", "\t> sample_stats_prior\n", "\t> prior_predictive\n", "\t> predictions\n", "\t> predictions_constant_data" ] }, "execution_count": 9, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "idata_stan" ] }, { "cell_type": "markdown", "metadata": {}, "source": [ "In this example, each variable has as dimensions a combination of the following three: `chain`, `draw` and `developer`. Moreover, each dimension has specific coordinate values.\n", "\n", "* In the case of `chain` and `draw` it is an integer identifier starting at `0`.\n", "* In the case of `developer` dimension, its coordinate values are the following strings: `[\"Alice\", \"Bob\", \"Cole\", \"Danielle\", \"Erika\"]`." ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 10, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide data repr\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide attributes\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "
xarray.Dataset
    • chain: 4
    • draw: 100
    • chain
      (chain)
      int64
      0 1 2 3
      array([0, 1, 2, 3])
    • draw
      (draw)
      int64
      0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ... 94 95 96 97 98 99
      array([ 0,  1,  2,  3,  4,  5,  6,  7,  8,  9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17,\n",
             "       18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35,\n",
             "       36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53,\n",
             "       54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71,\n",
             "       72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 87, 88, 89,\n",
             "       90, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99])
    • b0
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      350.3 354.9 371.6 ... -112.1 -82.22
      array([[ 350.33344318,  354.8813775 ,  371.61123262,  352.14180774,\n",
             "         267.45818055,  265.2082868 ,  224.93973639,  264.52832792,\n",
             "         264.69035675,  261.74211417,  263.30347715,  232.53227309,\n",
             "         232.54273889,  234.55964981,  280.14085751,  280.02217838,\n",
             "         218.16364718,  219.62093271,  193.07770247,  193.94450424,\n",
             "         224.28024619,  192.52385299,  192.40135986,  192.93540428,\n",
             "         133.94965946,  133.27392283,  135.37313019,  135.2419622 ,\n",
             "         140.35007568,  166.4269875 ,  172.21796065,  172.21192457,\n",
             "         193.56344048,  193.44050279,  195.27227056,  173.68309213,\n",
             "         174.23302707,  184.96961894,  166.4335709 ,  170.65092644,\n",
             "         159.53402657,  118.14439975,   40.68520498,   56.60962528,\n",
             "          70.83898096,   70.85223019,   69.70634109,   69.82988533,\n",
             "          73.93468792,  109.59343146,  141.39666269,  183.82777868,\n",
             "         134.30150796,   71.39529055,   68.63829637,   70.13231406,\n",
             "          88.16156106,   63.05441747,   51.91804865,   11.46303177,\n",
             "          11.73214699,   12.63796207,   15.32346744,   15.44640384,\n",
             "           7.02661141,   -7.35364547,   36.03051582,   94.65164969,\n",
             "          91.30732901,   91.27582689,   92.78038406,   93.26160691,\n",
             "           2.98239966,   11.15088509,    3.00750397,    7.18374542,\n",
             "           6.92729917,    7.11934324,   27.01727426,   27.20093556,\n",
             "          27.03841786,   98.73620995,   63.17887479,   91.75741175,\n",
             "         156.26737592,  154.29018759,  155.2601589 ,  134.58858551,\n",
             "         135.03600566,  135.71764164,   29.44331128,   26.16582828,\n",
             "          -2.95657827,   35.09059437,   35.8714943 ,  -26.09072593,\n",
             "         -25.91709536,  -77.51184511,  -77.36258296,  -77.12918564],\n",
             "       [ 299.1502545 ,  289.34142522,  289.66774132,  290.23143441,\n",
             "         266.39055542,  295.77366862,  296.03499936,  316.27446058,\n",
             "         316.88617708,  359.85557937,  364.64906848,  346.48209319,\n",
             "         379.53480683,  353.8806706 ,  354.38772141,  379.11677447,\n",
             "         402.54440948,  394.85989296,  347.9050077 ,  347.31301846,\n",
             "         331.06977231,  327.8672374 ,  269.29999769,  264.56239409,\n",
             "         264.60811612,  270.31529466,  271.3687178 ,  257.22921821,\n",
             "         261.51333568,  263.91782277,  300.37896446,  302.66005117,\n",
             "         301.00032443,  268.98994735,  269.74382709,  240.23949469,\n",
             "         223.44478458,  150.42602919,  209.19119038,  211.54746549,\n",
             "         211.34196764,  209.6232526 ,  182.05500586,  182.12394863,\n",
             "         177.09049667,  229.61525915,  223.63710584,  225.7479642 ,\n",
             "         203.44513846,  141.9686854 ,  141.75061804,  234.75647709,\n",
             "         256.18378098,  224.6363392 ,  249.22299733,  218.30607789,\n",
             "         223.67374514,  223.92750013,  187.67911771,  187.90169217,\n",
             "         185.1411577 ,  234.18859147,  214.69034864,  267.61247152,\n",
             "         214.31285301,  257.12026224,  299.71222371,  301.15997028,\n",
             "         219.43055024,  256.55150909,  221.14110169,  192.00848639,\n",
             "         219.62090136,  232.07026104,  260.46080831,  207.84670912,\n",
             "         207.0846853 ,  213.91237787,  213.90574229,  246.02689597,\n",
             "         230.7180963 ,  258.80345528,  259.01650502,  282.73433532,\n",
             "         284.86096017,  304.37643841,  306.01366139,  404.2760093 ,\n",
             "         400.04759677,  391.15509941,  391.15872265,  394.14355017,\n",
             "         323.75755106,  266.45394463,  377.2274151 ,  332.40324826,\n",
             "         258.77277319,  287.25639187,  287.5135837 ,  290.12735037],\n",
             "       [ 327.5029789 ,  336.30978016,  282.96761584,  310.47448983,\n",
             "         315.05694666,  333.89856073,  286.92503194,  298.54806243,\n",
             "         335.15326824,  335.16819841,  337.0219516 ,  341.33023829,\n",
             "         357.51369608,  359.18027716,  357.92912768,  373.05812044,\n",
             "         349.29201653,  388.43246965,  387.33552626,  292.29858579,\n",
             "         292.21070497,  328.32892377,  346.97679445,  330.98760677,\n",
             "         376.6255405 ,  376.62044814,  376.15261286,  346.31153258,\n",
             "         346.75873791,  356.52203374,  356.65206867,  359.20938897,\n",
             "         406.88910351,  344.30646114,  344.32297618,  342.49544042,\n",
             "         369.70423582,  370.46292747,  369.05315834,  357.6285754 ,\n",
             "         357.48103699,  338.33415144,  297.96064223,  298.46361038,\n",
             "         339.10143404,  287.49825027,  287.27408204,  333.55199256,\n",
             "         333.44012026,  334.44648616,  406.1746877 ,  387.75816392,\n",
             "         432.6209614 ,  391.28165977,  401.92550852,  401.72240203,\n",
             "         459.95268878,  460.14346514,  411.73692574,  375.49285851,\n",
             "         383.08747861,  325.71472793,  431.50868891,  431.38782968,\n",
             "         429.84314231,  429.39238291,  444.42308881,  444.26324618,\n",
             "         353.23898931,  411.23824004,  411.50277215,  476.79607534,\n",
             "         475.51525517,  452.10555041,  406.15584164,  406.78796708,\n",
             "         407.67087381,  406.20694143,  408.24950892,  403.33982422,\n",
             "         403.06847808,  395.64710304,  455.0252483 ,  529.11582928,\n",
             "         429.68517   ,  416.40405333,  453.29170634,  453.27835327,\n",
             "         453.41441239,  480.16099132,  480.18039258,  479.97160093,\n",
             "         480.22170938,  535.33709459,  529.64467657,  528.42986623,\n",
             "         508.70798146,  508.28203635,  539.44472886,  520.73474022],\n",
             "       [-292.21832304, -264.16229127, -245.93776655, -312.4952083 ,\n",
             "        -330.50382006, -413.4071105 , -437.2162047 , -436.68096254,\n",
             "        -436.61344745, -304.74573312, -307.54513653, -249.548886  ,\n",
             "        -256.48929759, -255.94963576, -255.87934893, -260.72545184,\n",
             "        -259.12338146, -260.88588689, -260.28545387, -260.71605089,\n",
             "        -260.32386816, -209.06238778, -208.41174433, -198.95815694,\n",
             "        -102.53258284, -102.36429302,  -98.75404286, -104.78383233,\n",
             "        -104.85085757,  -99.85263179,  -99.58406675, -102.89819254,\n",
             "        -103.21000886, -213.70796746, -212.69578785, -213.18900131,\n",
             "        -216.44103037, -190.69089163, -148.3055699 , -150.84924963,\n",
             "        -145.18587243, -131.23029587, -131.96371522, -178.15302735,\n",
             "        -160.63740582, -154.95800446, -154.86541725, -149.95381364,\n",
             "        -148.77471743, -147.45901205, -146.62196417,  -76.48736684,\n",
             "         -74.14194849,  -69.4402618 ,  -36.07160066,  -12.22439374,\n",
             "          34.79925018,   35.54898441,   35.47894728,   35.64454423,\n",
             "          71.98703952,   71.4464548 ,   71.55376366,  114.6634041 ,\n",
             "         114.45404758,  114.78767638,  114.30081832,  114.08171485,\n",
             "          99.22484827,   98.72660387,   97.5535512 ,   91.87458698,\n",
             "          93.91313606,   41.68042142,   42.4427583 ,   42.23543555,\n",
             "          60.78738777,   89.90749141,   89.91550638,   92.46520246,\n",
             "          92.22051277,   97.91738774,   55.76922631,  102.20987986,\n",
             "         103.01446888,   99.68902968,   55.05440248,   -7.42698009,\n",
             "           6.83560054,    6.8345059 ,   10.81772902,  -14.80278922,\n",
             "         -14.82068659,  -35.06357126,  -36.3244738 ,  -90.15194435,\n",
             "        -107.22601295, -107.30807054, -112.12901101,  -82.21513931]])
    • b1
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      1.477e+03 1.474e+03 ... 1.538e+03
      array([[1476.62537154, 1473.95754666, 1465.56499418, 1496.27744495,\n",
             "        1485.47558745, 1479.4788786 , 1541.86200406, 1571.98332154,\n",
             "        1571.71716288, 1574.44134809, 1576.19787038, 1576.74338603,\n",
             "        1576.87755673, 1578.74514528, 1671.2747958 , 1671.222717  ,\n",
             "        1625.55166196, 1627.11457766, 1567.95340307, 1567.38036917,\n",
             "        1539.70202331, 1551.47903474, 1551.74666831, 1551.50397504,\n",
             "        1607.85889469, 1607.83537799, 1603.2330592 , 1603.07076544,\n",
             "        1653.60367246, 1647.22016101, 1641.94978294, 1641.91727065,\n",
             "        1658.29041477, 1658.15786833, 1659.6043315 , 1684.10442153,\n",
             "        1682.69603443, 1633.40869699, 1605.34076071, 1618.15139443,\n",
             "        1637.15154423, 1623.81984578, 1660.59829819, 1658.4014416 ,\n",
             "        1645.97138006, 1643.38836005, 1642.2431216 , 1650.59431319,\n",
             "        1651.02563992, 1711.22190291, 1726.70539748, 1594.23459699,\n",
             "        1557.66931185, 1541.85081038, 1541.32849022, 1541.59975597,\n",
             "        1564.71822936, 1617.01909507, 1617.31721104, 1582.15636165,\n",
             "        1584.14658915, 1583.47729037, 1506.21047035, 1506.36737547,\n",
             "        1471.26827926, 1463.72513744, 1498.75284621, 1464.4475543 ,\n",
             "        1459.57751237, 1459.50470157, 1451.52019919, 1451.68849111,\n",
             "        1422.39698177, 1425.02032481, 1436.92706941, 1448.65101484,\n",
             "        1448.18639389, 1447.88637069, 1370.26102441, 1370.10595829,\n",
             "        1370.21402064, 1399.91616771, 1446.41405615, 1453.60240836,\n",
             "        1533.35969187, 1534.06311449, 1533.26698937, 1517.92929882,\n",
             "        1517.85238771, 1518.28602719, 1558.96008998, 1654.28160302,\n",
             "        1572.71926436, 1550.0084355 , 1617.82930478, 1597.94639235,\n",
             "        1597.93650084, 1580.23258668, 1579.92887795, 1580.16593946],\n",
             "       [1065.99800239, 1075.00350077, 1076.57358933, 1076.24483544,\n",
             "        1070.24286063, 1105.18766552, 1105.29975447, 1094.91074864,\n",
             "        1095.68833076, 1132.1811707 , 1155.7346812 , 1166.93798896,\n",
             "        1242.42442497, 1283.46693604, 1283.19530677, 1275.25220845,\n",
             "        1274.81252182, 1296.36928593, 1286.96465241, 1287.31367811,\n",
             "        1280.77601692, 1270.16171822, 1349.70038763, 1348.58710977,\n",
             "        1348.58483872, 1353.31167814, 1349.65056935, 1349.52571647,\n",
             "        1369.70440365, 1379.56787831, 1358.62057451, 1353.05164862,\n",
             "        1423.00271364, 1394.98616755, 1394.26498592, 1397.40269475,\n",
             "        1417.43607732, 1343.41287949, 1355.03355126, 1357.06294759,\n",
             "        1356.90821935, 1365.63288728, 1425.4625544 , 1425.36822446,\n",
             "        1429.01988936, 1452.38194576, 1456.44789574, 1456.99995848,\n",
             "        1534.50073595, 1595.3569465 , 1594.4191777 , 1616.77582248,\n",
             "        1641.73518211, 1606.46847535, 1591.18656955, 1601.75374589,\n",
             "        1604.17088727, 1604.36262048, 1636.46532928, 1640.01645637,\n",
             "        1646.00330263, 1650.98692381, 1613.98977107, 1605.25447763,\n",
             "        1565.790457  , 1556.03070219, 1534.89330728, 1530.64848035,\n",
             "        1553.96760366, 1519.75204782, 1495.16347915, 1488.24667467,\n",
             "        1479.09720795, 1525.01447609, 1561.50905723, 1560.93402238,\n",
             "        1554.74582157, 1540.72688036, 1540.62954234, 1520.68531035,\n",
             "        1512.94572497, 1553.20142318, 1553.53101307, 1510.94375289,\n",
             "        1516.76955477, 1522.87501527, 1488.70582346, 1487.40156267,\n",
             "        1496.4973038 , 1453.14540271, 1453.12943327, 1452.63703047,\n",
             "        1446.46923665, 1506.62344791, 1513.24846259, 1496.47878879,\n",
             "        1505.02662208, 1570.43275525, 1570.85845683, 1611.91104563],\n",
             "       [1247.73759133, 1275.02475223, 1310.85711109, 1347.59509195,\n",
             "        1387.54931888, 1374.11724732, 1379.16099848, 1358.05881314,\n",
             "        1354.41746205, 1354.87636081, 1357.63102771, 1362.54205979,\n",
             "        1463.51709673, 1454.13487496, 1450.8113513 , 1468.90732959,\n",
             "        1475.19912114, 1461.0147753 , 1451.52241966, 1496.29298119,\n",
             "        1496.40565839, 1527.78399413, 1575.45694007, 1608.05806193,\n",
             "        1598.26376642, 1598.48095044, 1598.42824819, 1583.84663475,\n",
             "        1586.28214807, 1594.08463808, 1594.23336978, 1575.99263118,\n",
             "        1568.43922577, 1607.3544083 , 1607.33425157, 1605.91736705,\n",
             "        1646.7451964 , 1639.04235847, 1639.68753503, 1650.70401803,\n",
             "        1650.60152994, 1662.87525169, 1663.01626623, 1663.09085753,\n",
             "        1742.50809263, 1739.12702603, 1739.20515374, 1631.77636422,\n",
             "        1631.8919279 , 1631.88885997, 1618.87442982, 1557.82188402,\n",
             "        1509.17049327, 1518.32553894, 1515.27534147, 1515.50828837,\n",
             "        1468.91970815, 1454.7435019 , 1541.32415626, 1537.02813972,\n",
             "        1538.66165802, 1465.55162086, 1495.48557071, 1495.46128363,\n",
             "        1496.8818661 , 1496.54461152, 1547.27403254, 1547.22337333,\n",
             "        1614.89591712, 1520.2385093 , 1519.26949185, 1587.09858518,\n",
             "        1588.31724307, 1540.56210702, 1551.78293033, 1566.5269632 ,\n",
             "        1566.14606588, 1565.79977696, 1567.50672691, 1560.25874328,\n",
             "        1560.64631129, 1561.66252473, 1529.40494079, 1461.52591701,\n",
             "        1563.50416148, 1541.88349177, 1527.99242957, 1528.02447216,\n",
             "        1528.84999834, 1498.21416832, 1498.10765539, 1498.02141543,\n",
             "        1497.85961111, 1529.72251985, 1587.70837975, 1586.90887862,\n",
             "        1578.42865053, 1578.4915945 , 1613.93634086, 1584.91180548],\n",
             "       [1425.27996837, 1509.11935125, 1530.75455219, 1539.3123673 ,\n",
             "        1534.94620563, 1547.03111018, 1565.63175659, 1566.1739018 ,\n",
             "        1565.4149611 , 1551.11843733, 1551.54028266, 1635.9514709 ,\n",
             "        1640.20652457, 1639.63851113, 1639.54523014, 1643.12347415,\n",
             "        1642.62244298, 1646.20191323, 1646.7586783 , 1648.0131636 ,\n",
             "        1647.81262941, 1612.95743485, 1613.04986378, 1617.41129637,\n",
             "        1522.0130034 , 1521.73819149, 1501.00022051, 1496.00189859,\n",
             "        1520.1065125 , 1536.16925073, 1536.42044521, 1536.47218869,\n",
             "        1537.70849196, 1545.58891022, 1545.04057749, 1545.01821718,\n",
             "        1544.98985887, 1551.46318459, 1542.01536671, 1541.78896959,\n",
             "        1530.87370921, 1506.72346663, 1499.34729376, 1542.72430893,\n",
             "        1526.79379087, 1583.68171355, 1583.52514875, 1607.74057876,\n",
             "        1608.48171649, 1606.64452877, 1605.96293513, 1563.37092044,\n",
             "        1566.79853472, 1574.67904094, 1606.37046376, 1558.9921888 ,\n",
             "        1567.61548451, 1567.45502347, 1567.42818248, 1567.44329151,\n",
             "        1572.58881077, 1572.73001309, 1572.61266296, 1518.86759556,\n",
             "        1518.87518333, 1519.21007364, 1519.6369507 , 1519.52322142,\n",
             "        1506.5807206 , 1505.62900346, 1510.87183187, 1505.17499263,\n",
             "        1492.64251548, 1546.24979529, 1545.4938088 , 1544.30370939,\n",
             "        1547.17776616, 1630.42711857, 1630.77455638, 1629.72617223,\n",
             "        1630.58787839, 1617.14429409, 1573.6231154 , 1585.169542  ,\n",
             "        1584.10112748, 1649.16373247, 1665.19121883, 1678.26369583,\n",
             "        1605.49071441, 1605.11548478, 1636.85965204, 1608.65432274,\n",
             "        1608.40812684, 1562.66533572, 1559.87585376, 1581.9152874 ,\n",
             "        1586.26785688, 1585.97878579, 1590.99624523, 1538.28521935]])
    • log_b_sigma
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      7.42 7.421 7.377 ... 7.435 7.36
      array([[7.42042236, 7.42111899, 7.37709094, 7.31490155, 7.54139962,\n",
             "        7.38224518, 7.35766038, 7.48893279, 7.49307709, 7.46856592,\n",
             "        7.40315352, 7.53858857, 7.26314039, 7.52686844, 7.46424812,\n",
             "        7.22192635, 7.31108388, 7.16126383, 7.42658744, 7.4107053 ,\n",
             "        7.43098118, 7.383983  , 7.53091996, 7.509621  , 7.4661772 ,\n",
             "        7.30882847, 7.43414487, 7.44621661, 7.28100297, 7.28794143,\n",
             "        7.21896255, 7.53281108, 7.23320564, 7.46900534, 7.43212933,\n",
             "        7.36107475, 7.31365071, 7.38785543, 7.52424557, 7.2950792 ,\n",
             "        7.44921964, 7.30326776, 7.48578223, 7.19370673, 7.54572726,\n",
             "        7.2430565 , 7.39566596, 7.32034495, 7.40894363, 7.38477536,\n",
             "        7.29936154, 7.34689405, 7.48225977, 7.29075428, 7.29214959,\n",
             "        7.40881283, 7.36870887, 7.52698772, 7.29848717, 7.32203952,\n",
             "        7.35676054, 7.3274074 , 7.33158766, 7.5990671 , 7.53165056,\n",
             "        7.4332393 , 7.47805461, 7.4987718 , 7.51895753, 7.40227969,\n",
             "        7.29046176, 7.68069887, 7.31798601, 7.612685  , 7.46538078,\n",
             "        7.49582123, 7.52283216, 7.48876228, 7.57328201, 7.59416447,\n",
             "        7.53122485, 7.57557688, 7.49504371, 7.57533406, 7.37943041,\n",
             "        7.35664923, 7.45967951, 7.46179763, 7.416851  , 7.45278362,\n",
             "        7.35655179, 7.43896828, 7.47899513, 7.40181027, 7.37137095,\n",
             "        7.40624746, 7.44542389, 7.35560691, 7.65256221, 7.66552095],\n",
             "       [7.73715265, 7.74678129, 7.81020228, 7.70196888, 7.73129605,\n",
             "        7.7555944 , 7.66643138, 7.77002748, 7.69108696, 7.66994162,\n",
             "        7.66993723, 7.66955394, 7.64793969, 7.62210909, 7.59763726,\n",
             "        7.54811052, 7.70457428, 7.53685941, 7.55089429, 7.61539048,\n",
             "        7.57202773, 7.54287821, 7.49676323, 7.47537416, 7.72648386,\n",
             "        7.5064742 , 7.51262312, 7.51421666, 7.51716204, 7.52423277,\n",
             "        7.57343448, 7.55215689, 7.45357248, 7.53293239, 7.51680336,\n",
             "        7.51233529, 7.53139864, 7.51716848, 7.6263677 , 7.62285087,\n",
             "        7.59915464, 7.48829614, 7.55699223, 7.48884055, 7.51598799,\n",
             "        7.48642883, 7.52101907, 7.55542758, 7.48519667, 7.32899497,\n",
             "        7.38838864, 7.40278012, 7.29000187, 7.39418729, 7.48273302,\n",
             "        7.48617756, 7.35243388, 7.32048421, 7.22205249, 7.48163355,\n",
             "        7.46236964, 7.31307437, 7.32326694, 7.41774214, 7.33714164,\n",
             "        7.4172068 , 7.35716383, 7.47662977, 7.41016148, 7.43502805,\n",
             "        7.44790415, 7.5719305 , 7.55673129, 7.4402737 , 7.43168943,\n",
             "        7.42883016, 7.33142988, 7.49991647, 7.35055884, 7.496292  ,\n",
             "        7.50268554, 7.49789232, 7.40735023, 7.46910526, 7.43248447,\n",
             "        7.41907838, 7.42452599, 7.4803041 , 7.40631958, 7.59061258,\n",
             "        7.41756252, 7.33305368, 7.4593379 , 7.48543235, 7.36534454,\n",
             "        7.41872491, 7.34857444, 7.40678387, 7.38772858, 7.33530916],\n",
             "       [7.58777649, 7.63019637, 7.47848555, 7.67658049, 7.53849645,\n",
             "        7.54585553, 7.63732251, 7.47030452, 7.48254289, 7.53995272,\n",
             "        7.57999406, 7.50517399, 7.40883302, 7.43394912, 7.47551144,\n",
             "        7.41757319, 7.50537506, 7.54538223, 7.51260907, 7.48489118,\n",
             "        7.43471245, 7.5060723 , 7.46305837, 7.21578866, 7.45897436,\n",
             "        7.28927794, 7.29067252, 7.39065878, 7.45644246, 7.27405262,\n",
             "        7.48764897, 7.38486398, 7.36357677, 7.29895476, 7.4830887 ,\n",
             "        7.38714616, 7.47415503, 7.45210183, 7.19678588, 7.56768253,\n",
             "        7.13654494, 7.34389679, 7.35217702, 7.32785112, 7.33604691,\n",
             "        7.03719876, 7.56770594, 7.29350453, 7.45882031, 7.44825964,\n",
             "        7.40221223, 7.44820671, 7.43012166, 7.44071037, 7.54987957,\n",
             "        7.30279114, 7.33336513, 7.42951783, 7.38182351, 7.48355358,\n",
             "        7.31879494, 7.6287034 , 7.59683408, 7.25710653, 7.25635266,\n",
             "        7.32429283, 7.39932958, 7.52814968, 7.47916351, 7.42428916,\n",
             "        7.52411642, 7.263472  , 7.52765891, 7.55642254, 7.3067757 ,\n",
             "        7.42545248, 7.38334564, 7.28028113, 7.35155256, 7.43514886,\n",
             "        7.44501492, 7.45809585, 7.49247518, 7.64070247, 7.51009541,\n",
             "        7.36491692, 7.41711826, 7.40712402, 7.38120109, 7.42336254,\n",
             "        7.39543754, 7.53002716, 7.38935072, 7.28985749, 7.4938528 ,\n",
             "        7.49455343, 7.3381801 , 7.22387921, 7.32479197, 7.40914732],\n",
             "       [7.51167876, 7.49151569, 7.54071767, 7.41416061, 7.40926948,\n",
             "        7.40695967, 7.35307652, 7.56342571, 7.47589579, 7.48723131,\n",
             "        7.42271209, 7.47129621, 7.32572568, 7.33046782, 7.38015132,\n",
             "        7.38150119, 7.44926524, 7.45401416, 7.46950703, 7.33154886,\n",
             "        7.36682027, 7.28443271, 7.30072359, 7.51605394, 7.38737335,\n",
             "        7.52394618, 7.4379479 , 7.51311961, 7.49539517, 7.29092522,\n",
             "        7.62894623, 7.54115518, 7.58374817, 7.64929709, 7.37922338,\n",
             "        7.43004557, 7.49085318, 7.43644515, 7.45341968, 7.52050487,\n",
             "        7.3740826 , 7.43634947, 7.48257566, 7.45452656, 7.47283673,\n",
             "        7.4085987 , 7.41523302, 7.34278488, 7.36156997, 7.59860971,\n",
             "        7.250902  , 7.23313207, 7.42649868, 7.41467079, 7.44800143,\n",
             "        7.46084943, 7.41260409, 7.44287071, 7.34710784, 7.34937126,\n",
             "        7.22396941, 7.25251486, 7.56529299, 7.52083704, 7.31188562,\n",
             "        7.55666038, 7.54609988, 7.34442942, 7.59418306, 7.44585225,\n",
             "        7.47317703, 7.54037601, 7.36544986, 7.23370179, 7.40959277,\n",
             "        7.42680027, 7.4628774 , 7.47219109, 7.3557279 , 7.31906121,\n",
             "        7.48799072, 7.42152288, 7.49102801, 7.51409962, 7.32599816,\n",
             "        7.28720308, 7.2961877 , 7.45375215, 7.46065628, 7.48401433,\n",
             "        7.41018126, 7.38382112, 7.38995077, 7.53730997, 7.35322471,\n",
             "        7.48468323, 7.25261707, 7.52140276, 7.43490828, 7.35976814]])
    • c0
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      3.981 -3.339 12.62 ... -8.23 19.64
      array([[ 3.98055331e+00, -3.33901462e+00,  1.26188891e+01,\n",
             "         5.93544858e+00,  3.05132259e+00,  3.81439837e+00,\n",
             "         4.33364218e+00,  7.97996213e+00,  7.65339998e+00,\n",
             "         1.54814563e+01,  1.54496677e+01, -4.42161003e+00,\n",
             "        -4.47817620e+00, -2.41827595e+00,  1.44676527e+01,\n",
             "         1.44546043e+01,  1.47017738e+01,  6.35916299e+00,\n",
             "         7.18189612e+00,  9.14942106e+00,  4.00224690e+00,\n",
             "         2.14372066e+00,  1.99901936e+00,  3.28331030e+00,\n",
             "         6.36811498e+00,  6.86742534e+00,  3.13973134e+00,\n",
             "         3.19966393e+00,  5.01533631e+00,  4.23878732e-01,\n",
             "         7.51706352e+00,  7.59570587e+00,  3.79535984e+00,\n",
             "         3.67724359e+00,  7.16507207e+00, -5.97383954e-01,\n",
             "         8.24840453e-01, -4.82504325e+00,  1.23494041e+01,\n",
             "         4.00808288e+01, -2.86566111e+01, -4.76560632e+01,\n",
             "        -6.33935773e+01,  2.64532785e+01,  2.25648616e+01,\n",
             "         1.17932472e+01,  1.13871255e+01,  2.17581842e+01,\n",
             "         2.43795448e+01,  2.29072025e+01, -7.80000267e+00,\n",
             "         3.54489010e+00,  3.54647019e+00,  1.02734203e+01,\n",
             "         8.31907763e+00,  4.85106352e+00,  4.59412750e+00,\n",
             "         2.88239321e+00, -1.24171493e+01,  8.61473510e+00,\n",
             "         6.85800272e+00,  4.12410128e+00,  8.32641623e+00,\n",
             "         7.90438395e+00,  8.79853071e+00, -3.07077742e-02,\n",
             "         9.49825150e+00,  1.28551260e+01,  1.86263103e+01,\n",
             "         1.86123748e+01, -6.72241583e-01, -4.77675179e-01,\n",
             "         8.75971654e-01,  8.31620933e+00,  3.39094093e+00,\n",
             "         8.01423635e+00,  8.23622468e+00,  8.00586111e+00,\n",
             "         8.39779363e+00,  8.86066015e+00,  8.60984324e+00,\n",
             "         1.94673063e-01,  8.73324290e+00,  1.72835288e+01,\n",
             "         1.56568771e+01,  1.34192839e+01,  1.40837200e+01,\n",
             "         3.51354834e+00,  3.69322696e+00,  4.66869000e+00,\n",
             "         7.39742528e+00,  1.93286467e+00,  3.65209599e+00,\n",
             "         4.47543155e+00,  5.27599709e+00,  1.42472467e+01,\n",
             "         1.39328808e+01, -3.14397304e+00, -3.11705832e+00,\n",
             "        -2.78811438e+00],\n",
             "       [-2.18200349e+00,  4.15835159e+00,  6.44485861e+00,\n",
             "         3.20330200e+00,  6.83611083e+00,  1.21288369e+01,\n",
             "         1.22052506e+01, -2.51412385e+00, -9.61158270e-01,\n",
             "        -3.89468876e+00,  1.31001949e+01, -4.83265663e+00,\n",
             "         7.51847940e+00,  5.59591697e+00,  6.72499144e+00,\n",
             "         6.76263251e+00,  7.28102291e+00,  5.84233177e+00,\n",
             "         6.90170805e+00,  7.39413372e+00,  6.48240836e+00,\n",
             "         5.59208026e+00,  4.94619793e-01,  9.61890582e+00,\n",
             "         9.61242562e+00,  1.05032986e+01,  6.48232798e+00,\n",
             "         4.23836097e+00,  5.83947494e+00,  7.41158756e+00,\n",
             "         4.75534901e+00,  3.84486069e+00,  3.74197621e+00,\n",
             "         1.20264979e+01,  6.44178959e+00,  6.95510097e+00,\n",
             "         2.16628612e+00,  7.99264775e+00,  3.44807426e+00,\n",
             "         7.82683530e+00,  7.99009118e+00,  2.71282598e+00,\n",
             "        -3.30319440e-01, -3.51212360e-01,  1.35882267e+01,\n",
             "         4.48258026e+00,  3.11608138e-01,  5.33529896e+00,\n",
             "         1.33389022e+01, -2.46033530e+00, -3.16955577e+00,\n",
             "        -1.91769907e+00,  1.19357965e+01,  1.08188874e+01,\n",
             "         1.69055340e+00,  2.23819771e+00,  6.56291926e+00,\n",
             "         6.68009990e+00,  9.21360526e+00,  6.66194940e+00,\n",
             "         2.08765192e+00,  1.02977294e+01,  1.67378171e+00,\n",
             "         8.42540999e+00,  1.44576089e+01,  1.42297571e+01,\n",
             "        -6.26998370e-02,  5.23557313e+00,  4.85184206e+00,\n",
             "         6.93873266e+00,  1.03037281e+01,  1.77807243e+00,\n",
             "         9.70095085e+00,  9.09384959e-01,  1.17052250e+01,\n",
             "        -5.04685916e+00,  1.65018768e+01,  6.00903234e+00,\n",
             "         5.88092634e+00,  2.25832852e+00,  4.00172523e-01,\n",
             "         9.18570351e+00,  1.02863121e+01, -6.52118264e+00,\n",
             "         6.49616378e+00,  6.90760266e+00, -5.43101072e-01,\n",
             "        -2.97682298e+00,  1.31866566e+01,  7.57330311e+00,\n",
             "         7.49832864e+00, -2.98022649e-01,  1.05776419e+01,\n",
             "         1.06054071e+01, -1.60403711e+00,  1.26487057e+01,\n",
             "         1.27780073e+01,  1.26306256e+01,  1.23731266e+01,\n",
             "         1.20319483e+00],\n",
             "       [ 5.19188235e+00, -1.49520532e+00,  1.04416773e+01,\n",
             "        -3.86330643e-01,  1.07812787e+01,  5.00284821e-01,\n",
             "         6.33943883e-02,  1.15812741e+01, -9.51453334e-01,\n",
             "        -6.50012562e-01,  8.66985677e+00, -4.80145636e+00,\n",
             "        -4.34322540e+00,  2.70181968e+00,  9.59194049e+00,\n",
             "         2.57677586e+00, -4.03804700e+00,  1.49638673e+01,\n",
             "         1.36795491e+01,  4.95087664e+00,  4.92023615e+00,\n",
             "         4.23822787e+00,  3.42194547e+00,  1.67475191e+01,\n",
             "        -8.21055610e+00, -8.96350165e+00, -8.93014951e+00,\n",
             "         2.37806742e+01,  2.45497637e+01,  2.27962103e+01,\n",
             "         2.29276195e+01, -1.95823632e+01,  4.51605826e+00,\n",
             "         6.02192800e+00,  5.96181982e+00,  9.13592543e+00,\n",
             "         8.36989515e+00,  1.81280367e+00,  1.24370006e+01,\n",
             "        -8.32044984e-01, -9.00285544e-01,  8.01709544e+00,\n",
             "        -9.39859742e-01, -1.30152587e+00, -1.39251959e+00,\n",
             "         7.96224429e+00,  8.23317418e+00,  1.45259647e+00,\n",
             "         1.43286316e+00,  4.43632727e+00,  3.92395685e+00,\n",
             "        -6.99675287e-01,  1.15887414e+00,  1.11045099e+01,\n",
             "         5.35028810e+00,  5.45827446e+00,  6.94837455e+00,\n",
             "        -4.77698712e+00,  3.68105384e+00,  6.84558626e+00,\n",
             "         1.16633312e+00, -2.65070633e+00,  1.32225325e+01,\n",
             "         1.33423547e+01,  1.06388309e+01,  7.53288603e+00,\n",
             "        -1.22004242e+00, -6.64238986e-01,  6.74071294e+00,\n",
             "        -6.67581259e+00, -7.07895091e+00,  1.29322300e+01,\n",
             "         7.07048934e+00,  6.25658848e+00,  4.78240430e+00,\n",
             "         2.16125314e+00,  2.05813236e+00,  2.57873771e+00,\n",
             "        -3.89544213e+00, -2.44592192e+00, -2.15165154e+00,\n",
             "         3.89149605e-01,  1.21417786e+01,  7.03328316e+00,\n",
             "         9.26972652e+00,  1.54295633e+00,  1.43610846e+00,\n",
             "         1.38163968e+00,  2.31281523e+00,  5.25493407e+00,\n",
             "         5.30992883e+00,  5.99001687e+00,  5.84262700e+00,\n",
             "         2.45360600e+00,  3.32656200e+00,  4.35545340e+00,\n",
             "         5.89369956e+00,  5.86182089e+00,  4.28972174e+00,\n",
             "         5.99066016e+00],\n",
             "       [ 4.46193445e+00,  7.08549810e+00,  6.48470869e+00,\n",
             "         6.34486875e+00,  6.55543124e+00,  9.20999331e+00,\n",
             "         6.51212824e+00,  6.16184521e+00,  4.49170010e+00,\n",
             "         5.82342374e+00,  6.11269779e+00,  4.45431130e+00,\n",
             "         1.06391441e+01,  8.36124902e+00,  8.05686634e+00,\n",
             "         5.14889458e-01,  1.27274017e+00, -2.13308334e+00,\n",
             "        -2.02001604e+00, -4.81521540e+00, -4.42081754e+00,\n",
             "        -6.02816908e+00, -5.70030702e+00, -8.89223072e+00,\n",
             "        -6.02426944e+00, -6.46464089e+00,  5.12001607e-01,\n",
             "        -1.43359222e+01,  6.41223377e+00, -6.25017337e-01,\n",
             "        -4.42190938e-01,  3.06020158e+00,  6.03807827e+00,\n",
             "         5.05481358e+00,  3.23108535e+00,  3.54366838e+00,\n",
             "         8.04430152e+00,  8.10019643e+00, -6.16963183e+00,\n",
             "        -1.82685556e+01, -2.70182903e+01, -1.22154858e+01,\n",
             "        -2.49678994e+00,  1.22912192e+01,  2.48539301e+00,\n",
             "         1.25498220e+00,  1.73499817e+00,  1.51754839e+01,\n",
             "         5.64784694e+00,  1.91879395e+00,  3.39941972e+00,\n",
             "         7.72088499e+00,  4.39947006e+00,  2.27946342e+00,\n",
             "         6.72210356e-01,  5.43685950e+00,  8.21318561e+00,\n",
             "         8.56993683e+00,  8.48375452e+00,  9.09488678e+00,\n",
             "         2.49352398e+00,  2.29301052e+00,  2.28144557e+00,\n",
             "        -6.91204907e+00, -6.91910507e+00, -7.31078282e+00,\n",
             "        -7.87506762e+00, -7.82229617e+00, -1.09351464e+01,\n",
             "        -9.74670387e+00, -7.62320009e+00,  2.33124994e+00,\n",
             "         7.57285569e+00,  4.83543507e+00,  8.11947199e+00,\n",
             "         9.29632377e+00,  1.10424509e+00,  2.88529924e-01,\n",
             "         1.14428767e-01, -2.13850771e+00, -4.93590293e+00,\n",
             "         9.98321923e+00,  8.20002821e+00, -3.16501871e+00,\n",
             "        -2.22623066e+00, -1.02205506e+01,  8.73472695e+00,\n",
             "         1.78053227e+00,  7.04157953e+00,  7.07009503e+00,\n",
             "         6.80590429e+00,  1.13358336e+01,  1.19759527e+01,\n",
             "         6.74667582e-01, -1.40668929e+00,  4.59080820e-01,\n",
             "         1.56897849e+00,  1.39014858e+00, -8.23021728e+00,\n",
             "         1.96388828e+01]])
    • c1
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      4.955 6.046 4.439 ... 6.263 3.965
      array([[ 4.95538731,  6.04596801,  4.43879002,  5.04728677,  5.47046789,\n",
             "         4.84657856,  5.42192633,  5.15715257,  4.75894007,  4.01049006,\n",
             "         3.63363664,  6.40959275,  6.39867578,  6.24637066,  4.4469793 ,\n",
             "         4.8717446 ,  3.75895802,  5.10035311,  5.01901866,  5.08512072,\n",
             "         5.26563955,  5.34873634,  5.40603188,  5.11524066,  5.1115059 ,\n",
             "         4.56039377,  5.13754476,  5.14738157,  5.20518581,  5.45298361,\n",
             "         4.99847117,  4.87858948,  5.24845391,  5.02859648,  5.00736881,\n",
             "         5.30282408,  5.57510595,  5.971943  ,  4.49880977,  2.38719208,\n",
             "         8.0639965 , 10.2012345 , 10.37733072,  3.1839239 ,  3.61937398,\n",
             "         4.55662397,  4.40794168,  3.78464857,  3.4851412 ,  3.98069446,\n",
             "         6.36554266,  4.97615024,  5.38001938,  4.55074045,  5.0521433 ,\n",
             "         5.32160996,  4.92679359,  5.16335213,  6.51901639,  5.2637321 ,\n",
             "         5.27911489,  5.48871765,  4.76839623,  4.93389939,  4.73729063,\n",
             "         5.60026175,  4.82071935,  4.45672081,  3.66588487,  3.60867239,\n",
             "         5.96977291,  5.33110031,  5.5945237 ,  4.67589698,  5.11291971,\n",
             "         4.73652469,  5.29944849,  4.68697943,  5.01133634,  4.62955401,\n",
             "         4.27353243,  5.38700449,  4.92268051,  4.24383918,  4.56725862,\n",
             "         5.56241824,  5.52857022,  5.87296377,  5.32609767,  5.34258412,\n",
             "         5.08344013,  5.18987192,  5.07542897,  5.05988974,  4.74296379,\n",
             "         4.24974468,  4.33068008,  5.8272377 ,  5.62323623,  6.07622102],\n",
             "       [ 6.04189654,  4.65945777,  5.14498919,  5.22470582,  4.84497927,\n",
             "         4.3360009 ,  4.7886693 ,  5.54080212,  5.75412863,  5.66188972,\n",
             "         4.76169225,  5.55744682,  4.40846754,  4.62834226,  4.95829991,\n",
             "         4.91599133,  4.94755853,  5.08800653,  4.87020682,  4.95035707,\n",
             "         4.95725981,  5.32626141,  5.40049606,  5.05105964,  4.80343549,\n",
             "         4.5914086 ,  4.86335208,  5.33456097,  5.09503865,  4.79977966,\n",
             "         4.98590066,  4.99217418,  5.36583136,  4.73776802,  5.13908633,\n",
             "         4.9480306 ,  5.35422762,  5.0020756 ,  5.13463601,  4.95351806,\n",
             "         4.83024921,  5.37090081,  5.37933494,  5.37290112,  4.515123  ,\n",
             "         5.24526165,  5.41622263,  5.05776926,  4.39786698,  5.70695156,\n",
             "         5.76739924,  5.49914684,  4.44960637,  4.72457185,  5.29824498,\n",
             "         5.44791153,  5.0879548 ,  4.98236522,  5.1831009 ,  5.10436247,\n",
             "         5.40849676,  4.51475497,  5.55177749,  4.53676945,  4.41943903,\n",
             "         4.62457799,  4.96904678,  4.59369925,  4.99760627,  5.04632106,\n",
             "         4.57702873,  4.80124395,  5.17834312,  5.78406963,  4.87814241,\n",
             "         5.56183496,  4.38019603,  5.18648906,  5.4299385 ,  5.43195354,\n",
             "         5.25855043,  4.99923049,  4.96031203,  6.66625384,  4.77673206,\n",
             "         4.65553673,  5.43952136,  5.96150983,  4.60875458,  4.80583622,\n",
             "         5.00748632,  5.49199201,  4.3438505 ,  4.79858118,  5.83815068,\n",
             "         4.66631682,  4.34252118,  4.21154734,  5.00341374,  5.38543351],\n",
             "       [ 5.06306676,  5.60945292,  4.59591343,  5.54500229,  4.88039007,\n",
             "         5.47432207,  5.53099361,  4.47017481,  5.48918143,  6.04309097,\n",
             "         4.47349024,  5.58414826,  5.93776817,  5.35803853,  4.65844724,\n",
             "         5.2722252 ,  5.90540874,  4.43292861,  4.62973459,  5.56888132,\n",
             "         5.66844571,  5.29218808,  5.28465169,  4.02669951,  6.12969742,\n",
             "         6.37762905,  6.48554381,  3.77214365,  1.53126833,  2.93926926,\n",
             "         3.4014951 ,  7.46914912,  4.89104197,  5.01870836,  4.82371842,\n",
             "         5.07883378,  5.06176737,  5.5185091 ,  4.69385741,  5.75411489,\n",
             "         5.34396402,  4.98482161,  5.78568366,  5.61434861,  5.6638456 ,\n",
             "         4.94643967,  4.98430081,  5.01371541,  5.38891535,  5.43129037,\n",
             "         5.13164652,  6.00685088,  5.3330742 ,  4.48194031,  5.00981203,\n",
             "         5.12889275,  4.92451047,  6.07114325,  5.03591877,  5.01603516,\n",
             "         5.48505975,  5.56155074,  4.21194412,  4.26147162,  4.85428836,\n",
             "         5.10307601,  5.457139  ,  6.19608362,  5.50163422,  6.82317534,\n",
             "         5.45373523,  4.72567484,  4.97682933,  4.8966925 ,  5.21019208,\n",
             "         5.43350486,  5.16131841,  4.27221567,  6.43611121,  6.13301542,\n",
             "         6.27241796,  5.53461462,  4.45189595,  5.10219681,  4.94311214,\n",
             "         5.22709488,  5.2870856 ,  5.16846408,  5.02441773,  4.81201814,\n",
             "         4.91828544,  5.40939427,  5.55843084,  5.48702098,  4.97341893,\n",
             "         4.9648806 ,  5.11278887,  5.15979277,  5.0833051 ,  4.92693269],\n",
             "       [ 5.11780447,  5.02164429,  5.07612848,  5.09100322,  4.91686083,\n",
             "         4.42908748,  4.99781016,  4.81679059,  4.82538234,  4.63225595,\n",
             "         5.79021   ,  5.8623454 ,  4.71493638,  5.48995383,  4.73773036,\n",
             "         5.6795581 ,  4.6058568 ,  4.89763218,  6.37814707,  6.42960414,\n",
             "         6.50683076,  6.54287303,  5.49849046,  6.44201405,  5.81499446,\n",
             "         5.55057519,  5.1512982 ,  7.70812991,  4.21855965,  5.42987604,\n",
             "         4.50431517,  4.58896739,  4.91321596,  5.88877892,  4.9584564 ,\n",
             "         5.55328381,  4.96022673,  5.03584503,  6.26801192,  6.53489313,\n",
             "        10.18534479,  6.86684128,  6.04359055,  4.26747019,  5.60845397,\n",
             "         5.30942276,  5.44371216,  4.33867432,  5.24293593,  5.19141224,\n",
             "         5.41426968,  4.70046955,  4.92312613,  5.56716015,  5.69064672,\n",
             "         4.7983236 ,  5.07081641,  4.38138782,  4.42176526,  5.10871324,\n",
             "         4.75862615,  5.29709227,  5.60257065,  6.25372704,  6.12170329,\n",
             "         6.74852333,  6.69295676,  5.97880007,  6.75578771,  6.27664986,\n",
             "         6.06775482,  5.45275828,  4.95875343,  5.44540635,  5.15839395,\n",
             "         4.42765214,  5.27044457,  5.54697922,  5.48940435,  6.23540651,\n",
             "         5.8144707 ,  4.72810987,  4.67191263,  5.96819344,  6.00073285,\n",
             "         6.18217809,  4.56801604,  5.1444725 ,  4.703447  ,  4.8255217 ,\n",
             "         5.08086539,  4.71876845,  4.52206736,  5.46928866,  5.63871272,\n",
             "         5.50527454,  6.07521276,  5.40208067,  6.26342944,  3.96547832]])
    • log_c_sigma
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      1.929 1.511 2.26 ... 2.223 1.773
      array([[1.9294313 , 1.51071002, 2.25959183, 1.47636734, 1.75271059,\n",
             "        1.80001547, 1.8529351 , 1.98735569, 1.49903878, 2.57569138,\n",
             "        1.95957037, 2.21558067, 2.02019673, 2.48902531, 1.9643389 ,\n",
             "        2.0320627 , 1.97572627, 1.83365241, 1.09353052, 2.44614269,\n",
             "        1.58966497, 2.01728324, 1.38995859, 1.55653794, 1.48141697,\n",
             "        2.50633479, 1.25431762, 1.77378146, 1.66698347, 1.73196327,\n",
             "        1.39914651, 1.29703669, 1.68128677, 1.22638218, 1.74926266,\n",
             "        1.67916228, 1.64670916, 1.67146805, 1.86898637, 2.6448424 ,\n",
             "        2.51917201, 3.58664626, 3.11941381, 2.79709547, 2.16716471,\n",
             "        1.8188419 , 1.51038343, 2.23601161, 2.31524133, 2.47053186,\n",
             "        2.33691701, 1.69722474, 1.71473255, 2.00275691, 1.33990677,\n",
             "        1.34960128, 1.67381074, 1.95813209, 2.64103146, 1.99951361,\n",
             "        1.81214411, 1.78264608, 1.45584169, 1.45093412, 1.64129674,\n",
             "        1.43910896, 1.74201019, 1.73960771, 2.07027601, 2.00740893,\n",
             "        1.77410358, 1.61406974, 1.4208225 , 1.33645635, 1.27320955,\n",
             "        1.29043276, 2.55972987, 1.41655582, 1.30541497, 1.60153835,\n",
             "        2.02785815, 1.65685191, 1.6370086 , 2.15422431, 2.18757246,\n",
             "        2.80346174, 3.1352479 , 2.73438558, 2.46534085, 1.34924615,\n",
             "        1.34614966, 1.55261855, 1.78849022, 2.01276899, 2.31646753,\n",
             "        1.52364041, 2.07989181, 1.45779665, 1.71601508, 1.76469815],\n",
             "       [2.88752352, 1.96745271, 1.99891282, 1.09903405, 1.35323064,\n",
             "        2.11779832, 1.8362782 , 1.75217803, 1.71257644, 1.88001503,\n",
             "        1.85970128, 2.29757076, 1.69595087, 1.89977146, 1.64870187,\n",
             "        1.53951975, 1.43536723, 1.54110905, 1.97285179, 1.46227021,\n",
             "        1.59984326, 1.57153652, 2.20302321, 1.25297446, 1.25492332,\n",
             "        1.28914749, 1.91247847, 2.38290539, 1.95435138, 1.61618445,\n",
             "        1.76087324, 1.72828183, 1.02378202, 1.94857758, 1.69902981,\n",
             "        1.16296279, 1.08414123, 1.16052926, 2.06564011, 1.86283786,\n",
             "        1.40082072, 1.75234796, 2.03622039, 1.70252302, 1.80222516,\n",
             "        1.4659988 , 1.63975603, 2.0447653 , 2.30691472, 2.31875432,\n",
             "        1.60750688, 1.76348522, 1.24350028, 1.93576837, 1.77043808,\n",
             "        1.31975929, 1.41320285, 1.90760752, 2.07037875, 1.22982955,\n",
             "        1.23744442, 1.83137393, 1.68069499, 1.92297938, 1.5750696 ,\n",
             "        1.75352521, 1.7198136 , 1.80224802, 1.67872323, 1.43520501,\n",
             "        1.39367448, 2.0716757 , 1.89250747, 1.90668005, 1.76366384,\n",
             "        2.41754475, 2.19261964, 1.72713879, 1.89070213, 1.38737817,\n",
             "        1.55373174, 1.57751914, 1.76766773, 2.92547229, 2.32100258,\n",
             "        1.76241131, 1.69507891, 1.76232436, 1.75797592, 1.50190438,\n",
             "        1.31812114, 1.46500527, 1.49839333, 1.8511059 , 2.19387671,\n",
             "        1.96911163, 1.56201076, 2.20904032, 2.21454196, 2.0875768 ],\n",
             "       [1.74177227, 2.29779747, 1.97016997, 1.78752049, 1.89050214,\n",
             "        1.49094497, 1.4375248 , 2.44686859, 2.3666212 , 1.88488714,\n",
             "        1.81941289, 2.53437079, 2.11689442, 1.72201384, 1.28795846,\n",
             "        1.43224359, 1.76039409, 2.34987034, 2.39162012, 1.70611501,\n",
             "        1.98015537, 1.37040769, 1.38636831, 2.06665529, 1.79271954,\n",
             "        2.26744388, 2.78722433, 2.21884998, 2.86991961, 1.9209859 ,\n",
             "        2.20787277, 2.49371969, 1.01705827, 1.30998485, 1.66464335,\n",
             "        1.74805328, 1.44380876, 1.88204028, 2.34659836, 1.23745361,\n",
             "        1.59297387, 1.52146403, 1.71741956, 1.68098244, 1.54541507,\n",
             "        1.80290481, 1.56093873, 1.83616794, 1.56207949, 1.43313544,\n",
             "        1.30395462, 2.38868703, 1.24867751, 1.25783035, 2.17740059,\n",
             "        2.35010119, 1.73076846, 2.07353203, 1.45181582, 1.46248564,\n",
             "        1.51698613, 1.6104521 , 2.25417693, 1.96180256, 1.82479382,\n",
             "        1.38594027, 2.15701796, 2.00044478, 1.68940878, 2.3119504 ,\n",
             "        2.06827139, 1.87419576, 1.81617039, 1.45925221, 1.77046472,\n",
             "        2.03575096, 1.98638129, 2.45310255, 2.42488892, 2.48383393,\n",
             "        2.87631361, 1.34536769, 1.57280033, 1.53572264, 1.58363496,\n",
             "        1.33856824, 1.90478917, 1.97130811, 1.86428153, 1.44866886,\n",
             "        1.44383144, 2.50403639, 1.96696568, 2.01821429, 1.97999077,\n",
             "        1.21410923, 1.26816107, 1.62813535, 1.49572939, 1.43714403],\n",
             "       [1.5382727 , 1.33357985, 1.33855087, 1.38624061, 1.64256641,\n",
             "        1.9478934 , 2.28160038, 1.90149413, 1.60161838, 1.64089307,\n",
             "        2.07361029, 2.04815159, 2.16999605, 1.86278292, 1.76929989,\n",
             "        2.34074018, 1.97559917, 2.0404063 , 2.26454465, 2.62482308,\n",
             "        2.42551952, 2.5140122 , 1.63478441, 2.32333538, 1.91449244,\n",
             "        2.697041  , 1.55855682, 2.91027295, 2.67662153, 3.00171404,\n",
             "        2.92562364, 3.37406597, 0.73030543, 2.31340685, 1.81121915,\n",
             "        1.63392995, 1.60290685, 1.49842506, 1.87745031, 3.79142538,\n",
             "        3.82997942, 2.45159729, 1.94307239, 1.8752822 , 1.62203788,\n",
             "        1.44697374, 1.64168733, 1.69428801, 2.11345746, 1.36292064,\n",
             "        1.27720432, 1.33917907, 1.55013847, 1.60982694, 1.49314054,\n",
             "        1.79594038, 1.45758687, 2.43124661, 2.27807741, 2.41462311,\n",
             "        2.36643209, 1.64429694, 2.06191817, 1.69676382, 1.93526292,\n",
             "        2.67800062, 2.42712507, 1.85900985, 1.97523946, 1.97655058,\n",
             "        1.69747471, 1.67368709, 1.77586306, 1.43747517, 1.65753947,\n",
             "        2.18979178, 1.84868596, 2.31334022, 2.53662122, 2.61459402,\n",
             "        2.64277344, 1.89458833, 1.25029713, 1.49290094, 2.28544899,\n",
             "        1.9763679 , 1.81308556, 1.4179182 , 1.88452912, 1.59915802,\n",
             "        1.6140824 , 1.7149037 , 2.31003235, 1.80201937, 1.30467917,\n",
             "        2.019063  , 2.33321552, 1.24042665, 2.22326153, 1.77266011]])
    • b_sigma
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      1.67e+03 1.671e+03 ... 1.571e+03
      array([[1669.73859486, 1670.90218738, 1598.93161125, 1502.52386906,\n",
             "        1884.46571156, 1607.19415444, 1568.1633548 , 1788.14275787,\n",
             "        1795.56872054, 1752.09224379, 1641.15167482, 1879.17582822,\n",
             "        1426.72999108, 1857.28020593, 1744.54336808, 1369.12393133,\n",
             "        1496.79866235, 1288.53839948, 1680.06446484, 1653.59222047,\n",
             "        1687.46247273, 1609.989603  , 1864.8202744 , 1825.52154766,\n",
             "        1747.91197668, 1493.42656762, 1692.80952953, 1713.36851972,\n",
             "        1452.44404716, 1462.5568141 , 1365.07213823, 1868.35021718,\n",
             "        1384.65410144, 1752.8623155 , 1689.40103491, 1573.52679695,\n",
             "        1500.64563061, 1616.23626371, 1852.41517269, 1473.03355574,\n",
             "        1718.52156436, 1485.14510217, 1782.51797126, 1331.02783096,\n",
             "        1892.63867543, 1398.36153335, 1628.90934484, 1510.72499706,\n",
             "        1650.68169721, 1611.26579861, 1479.35511677, 1551.37055525,\n",
             "        1776.25016692, 1466.67656883, 1468.72445716, 1650.46580155,\n",
             "        1585.58526679, 1857.50175297, 1478.06218382, 1513.28720776,\n",
             "        1566.75290085, 1521.43218397, 1527.80548691, 1996.33265583,\n",
             "        1866.1832177 , 1691.27726273, 1768.79641984, 1805.82314794,\n",
             "        1842.64538132, 1639.71822496, 1466.24759683, 2166.13308315,\n",
             "        1507.16549377, 2023.70445998, 1746.52047017, 1800.50278048,\n",
             "        1849.79879999, 1787.83787325, 1945.5150067 , 1986.56932949,\n",
             "        1865.38893109, 1949.98484262, 1799.10340619, 1949.5114065 ,\n",
             "        1602.67663639, 1566.57851556, 1736.59139944, 1740.27361023,\n",
             "        1663.78598426, 1724.65725673, 1566.42586693, 1700.99437272,\n",
             "        1770.46080031, 1638.94869072, 1589.81184855, 1646.23717623,\n",
             "        1712.01084404, 1564.94648607, 2106.03477727, 2133.50393455],\n",
             "       [2291.93714498, 2314.11195515, 2465.62913402, 2212.70024892,\n",
             "        2278.55340093, 2334.59661677, 2135.44722506, 2368.53638157,\n",
             "        2188.7523528 , 2142.95634071, 2142.9469279 , 2142.12571685,\n",
             "        2096.3220612 , 2042.8661772 , 1993.48024482, 1897.15471605,\n",
             "        2218.4727325 , 1875.92923717, 1902.44330307, 2029.18695251,\n",
             "        1943.07632637, 1887.25412904, 1802.19966545, 1764.06160268,\n",
             "        2267.61490805, 1819.78602562, 1831.01020359, 1833.93032704,\n",
             "        1839.33991089, 1852.39147627, 1945.81166962, 1904.84684791,\n",
             "        1726.01830393, 1868.57687248, 1838.68029869, 1830.48326286,\n",
             "        1865.71314159, 1839.35175671, 2051.5844906 , 2044.38210587,\n",
             "        1996.5074126 , 1787.00468952, 1914.07974069, 1787.97781673,\n",
             "        1837.18170216, 1783.67090939, 1846.44799746, 1911.08721528,\n",
             "        1781.47450418, 1523.84949281, 1617.0982901 , 1640.53898575,\n",
             "        1465.57343734, 1626.50251638, 1777.09097793, 1783.22278442,\n",
             "        1559.98873135, 1510.93539921, 1369.29663936, 1775.13817992,\n",
             "        1741.26935481, 1499.78099728, 1515.14577742, 1665.26930894,\n",
             "        1536.31448443, 1664.37806734, 1567.38488868, 1766.27797071,\n",
             "        1652.69320829, 1694.30524633, 1716.2623445 , 1942.88741301,\n",
             "        1913.58034656, 1703.21633201, 1688.65803568, 1683.83660226,\n",
             "        1527.56444881, 1807.89139371, 1557.06643231, 1801.35061544,\n",
             "        1812.90450442, 1804.23565528, 1648.0535949 , 1753.03747694,\n",
             "        1690.00111866, 1667.49600883, 1676.60466347, 1772.77980444,\n",
             "        1646.355904  , 1979.52576775, 1664.97022661, 1530.04691793,\n",
             "        1735.9982784 , 1781.89440484, 1580.25979066, 1666.90670385,\n",
             "        1553.97965906, 1647.1204578 , 1616.03125463, 1533.5018021 ],\n",
             "       [1973.91960769, 2059.45439241, 1769.55884597, 2157.23047979,\n",
             "        1879.00273178, 1892.88146495, 2074.18278163, 1755.14107305,\n",
             "        1776.7531328 , 1881.74104976, 1958.61732168, 1817.42145114,\n",
             "        1650.49912254, 1692.47818762, 1764.30379524, 1664.98798939,\n",
             "        1817.78691362, 1891.98577048, 1830.98448327, 1780.93035859,\n",
             "        1693.77061262, 1819.05478785, 1742.46903503, 1360.74641323,\n",
             "        1735.36728878, 1464.51284908, 1466.55665147, 1620.77349942,\n",
             "        1730.9790567 , 1442.38406181, 1785.84856871, 1611.40859641,\n",
             "        1577.46873162, 1478.75346172, 1777.72316722, 1615.09032191,\n",
             "        1761.91229167, 1723.48181126, 1335.13258982, 1934.65159241,\n",
             "        1257.07759741, 1546.72766399, 1559.58808771, 1522.10742312,\n",
             "        1534.63356821, 1138.19477644, 1934.69687807, 1470.71583867,\n",
             "        1735.09996971, 1716.87256374, 1639.60761816, 1716.78170108,\n",
             "        1686.01268697, 1703.96023622, 1900.51383109, 1484.43742445,\n",
             "        1530.52352693, 1684.99491616, 1606.51659602, 1778.5497778 ,\n",
             "        1508.38517331, 2056.38197996, 1991.87977977, 1418.14722556,\n",
             "        1417.07853059, 1516.70095064, 1634.8879947 , 1859.66134029,\n",
             "        1770.75893835, 1676.20763816, 1852.17596453, 1427.20319325,\n",
             "        1858.7489083 , 1912.98960665, 1490.36406014, 1678.15874228,\n",
             "        1608.9637892 , 1451.39599622, 1558.61449594, 1694.50994125,\n",
             "        1711.31082028, 1733.84340906, 1794.48827214, 2081.20527926,\n",
             "        1826.38778784, 1579.5841837 , 1664.23071664, 1647.68082163,\n",
             "        1605.51698686, 1674.65514902, 1628.53731729, 1863.15611299,\n",
             "        1618.65480651, 1465.36185201, 1796.96211451, 1798.22155815,\n",
             "        1537.9107277 , 1371.80025971, 1517.45818445, 1651.01796394],\n",
             "       [1829.28188915, 1792.76730944, 1883.1810494 , 1659.3157788 ,\n",
             "        1651.21966437, 1647.41005105, 1560.99156238, 1926.43363128,\n",
             "        1764.98202472, 1785.10284988, 1673.56621394, 1756.88250667,\n",
             "        1518.87571684, 1526.09554887, 1603.83243678, 1605.99887466,\n",
             "        1718.59991652, 1726.78082531, 1753.74193119, 1527.74621129,\n",
             "        1582.59354762, 1457.434116  , 1481.37144913, 1837.30286464,\n",
             "        1615.45729606, 1851.86067278, 1699.25958677, 1831.91950414,\n",
             "        1799.73582041, 1466.92730414, 2056.88140516, 1884.00513486,\n",
             "        1965.98401863, 2099.16954951, 1602.34486425, 1685.88440469,\n",
             "        1791.57998442, 1696.70794436, 1725.75459948, 1845.49878715,\n",
             "        1594.1287116 , 1696.54561639, 1776.81134538, 1727.66585237,\n",
             "        1759.59110202, 1650.11242566, 1661.096192  , 1545.00879862,\n",
             "        1574.30624318, 1995.41975594, 1409.37552763, 1384.55223998,\n",
             "        1679.91534769, 1660.16254133, 1716.42930389, 1738.62427241,\n",
             "        1656.73502472, 1707.64534405, 1551.70226723, 1555.21838833,\n",
             "        1371.92399088, 1411.65049462, 1930.03417264, 1846.11192055,\n",
             "        1497.99918522, 1913.44465214, 1893.34404912, 1547.55170889,\n",
             "        1986.60624776, 1712.74435767, 1760.18998459, 1882.53774225,\n",
             "        1580.42623941, 1385.34127121, 1651.75357253, 1680.42206525,\n",
             "        1742.15372908, 1758.45540441, 1565.13584968, 1508.78687664,\n",
             "        1786.45898258, 1671.57717638, 1791.89322965, 1833.7156865 ,\n",
             "        1519.28964284, 1461.47734666, 1474.66732635, 1726.32845994,\n",
             "        1738.28848511, 1779.36944044, 1652.72590095, 1609.72899164,\n",
             "        1619.6263701 , 1876.77464569, 1561.2229145 , 1780.56004376,\n",
             "        1411.79477936, 1847.15659861, 1694.10233081, 1571.47215665]])
    • c_sigma
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      6.886 4.53 9.579 ... 9.237 5.886
      array([[ 6.88559329,  4.52994601,  9.57917848,  4.37701654,  5.77022219,\n",
             "         6.04974104,  6.37851366,  7.29621479,  4.47738323, 13.14039907,\n",
             "         7.09627766,  9.16673041,  7.53980808, 12.04952582,  7.13019728,\n",
             "         7.62980818,  7.2118555 ,  6.25669702,  2.98479337, 11.54373297,\n",
             "         4.90210628,  7.51787292,  4.01468381,  4.74237439,  4.39917478,\n",
             "        12.25991245,  3.5054455 ,  5.89309579,  5.2961676 ,  5.6517389 ,\n",
             "         4.05174037,  3.6584395 ,  5.37246465,  3.40887451,  5.75036117,\n",
             "         5.36106299,  5.18987265,  5.31997207,  6.48172297, 14.08122575,\n",
             "        12.41831011, 36.1127598 , 22.63310854, 16.39695216,  8.73348698,\n",
             "         6.16471495,  4.52846682,  9.35594168, 10.12736666, 11.82873636,\n",
             "        10.34928061,  5.45877681,  5.55518959,  7.4094552 ,  3.81868747,\n",
             "         3.85588782,  5.33244972,  7.08607856, 14.02766517,  7.38546303,\n",
             "         6.12356297,  5.94556807,  4.28809117,  4.26709864,  5.16185875,\n",
             "         4.21693668,  5.70880769,  5.69510887,  7.92701072,  7.44400443,\n",
             "         5.89499437,  5.02321285,  4.14052462,  3.80553409,  3.57229965,\n",
             "         3.63435902, 12.9323234 ,  4.12289596,  3.68921969,  4.96065777,\n",
             "         7.59779557,  5.24278009,  5.13977138,  8.62120018,  8.91354885,\n",
             "        16.50167255, 22.9943354 , 15.40027827, 11.76749244,  3.85451869,\n",
             "         3.84260167,  4.72382359,  5.98041656,  7.4840118 , 10.13979247,\n",
             "         4.58890029,  8.00360298,  4.29648243,  5.56231886,  5.83980935],\n",
             "       [17.94880474,  7.15243395,  7.3810272 ,  3.00126555,  3.86990765,\n",
             "         8.31281521,  6.27314737,  5.76715002,  5.54322486,  6.55360338,\n",
             "         6.42181816,  9.9499822 ,  5.4518275 ,  6.68436665,  5.20022489,\n",
             "         4.66235063,  4.20118751,  4.66976641,  7.19115495,  4.31574609,\n",
             "         4.95225613,  4.81403938,  9.05233929,  3.50074031,  3.50756942,\n",
             "         3.62969089,  6.76984689, 10.83634093,  7.05933869,  5.03384671,\n",
             "         5.81751526,  5.63097065,  2.78370291,  7.01869693,  5.46863919,\n",
             "         3.19939839,  2.95689942,  3.19162203,  7.89034696,  6.4419923 ,\n",
             "         4.05852954,  5.76813014,  7.66159658,  5.48777572,  6.06312386,\n",
             "         4.33186775,  5.15391197,  7.72734472, 10.04339011, 10.16300654,\n",
             "         4.99035415,  5.83273035,  3.46773029,  6.92936633,  5.87342585,\n",
             "         3.7425204 ,  4.10909515,  6.73695151,  7.92782525,  3.42064643,\n",
             "         3.44679365,  6.24245745,  5.36928626,  6.84131101,  4.83107784,\n",
             "         5.77492468,  5.58348761,  6.06326252,  5.35870974,  4.20050608,\n",
             "         4.02962966,  7.93811386,  6.63598738,  6.73070605,  5.83377228,\n",
             "        11.21828176,  8.95865088,  5.62453789,  6.62401794,  4.00433758,\n",
             "         4.72908499,  4.84292627,  5.85717692, 18.6430288 , 10.18588132,\n",
             "         5.82646989,  5.44707576,  5.82596331,  5.80068445,  4.49023202,\n",
             "         3.73639462,  4.32756606,  4.47449426,  6.36685675,  8.96991962,\n",
             "         7.16430913,  4.7683997 ,  9.10697242,  9.15721379,  8.0653475 ],\n",
             "       [ 5.70744958,  9.9522382 ,  7.17189537,  5.97461994,  6.62269334,\n",
             "         4.44129044,  4.21026168, 11.55211563, 10.66130888,  6.58561114,\n",
             "         6.16823597, 12.60849496,  8.30530458,  5.59578612,  3.62537763,\n",
             "         4.18808499,  5.81472846, 10.48421028, 10.93118939,  5.50752321,\n",
             "         7.2438684 ,  3.93695542,  4.00029581,  7.89836114,  6.00576316,\n",
             "         9.65469071, 16.23589167,  9.19674831, 17.63560044,  6.8276866 ,\n",
             "         9.09634575, 12.10622385,  2.76504877,  3.70611756,  5.28378845,\n",
             "         5.74341097,  4.23680208,  6.56688953, 10.44996223,  3.44682531,\n",
             "         4.91835376,  4.57892395,  5.57013649,  5.37082989,  4.68991786,\n",
             "         6.0672461 ,  4.76329061,  6.27245571,  4.76872747,  4.1918218 ,\n",
             "         3.68383607, 10.89917431,  3.48573006,  3.51778083,  8.8233409 ,\n",
             "        10.48663085,  5.64499022,  7.95286336,  4.27086258,  4.31667592,\n",
             "         4.55846583,  5.00507353,  9.52744835,  7.11213556,  6.20151627,\n",
             "         3.99858387,  8.64531853,  7.39234334,  5.41627752, 10.09409294,\n",
             "         7.91113599,  6.5155769 ,  6.14826782,  4.30274076,  5.87358233,\n",
             "         7.65800085,  7.2891088 , 11.62435595, 11.30097403, 11.98713421,\n",
             "        17.7487237 ,  3.83959807,  4.82012726,  4.64468077,  4.8726355 ,\n",
             "         3.81357945,  6.71799115,  7.18006265,  6.45129913,  4.25744349,\n",
             "         4.23689816, 12.23176657,  7.14895136,  7.52487565,  7.24267616,\n",
             "         3.36729325,  3.55431042,  5.09436667,  4.46259032,  4.20865883],\n",
             "       [ 4.65654006,  3.79460321,  3.81351322,  3.99978498,  5.16841678,\n",
             "         7.01389653,  9.7923393 ,  6.69589151,  4.9610548 ,  5.15977548,\n",
             "         7.95348571,  7.75355607,  8.75824947,  6.44163839,  5.86674454,\n",
             "        10.38892338,  7.21093893,  7.69373453,  9.62674006, 13.80213216,\n",
             "        11.30810267, 12.35439903,  5.12835226, 10.20967068,  6.78349487,\n",
             "        14.8357677 ,  4.75195837, 18.36180983, 14.53590115, 20.11999389,\n",
             "        18.64585068, 29.1970003 ,  2.07571449, 10.10880523,  6.11790155,\n",
             "         5.12397213,  4.96745108,  4.47463621,  6.53681675, 44.31952766,\n",
             "        46.06159021, 11.60687144,  6.98016388,  6.52265953,  5.06339838,\n",
             "         4.25023271,  5.16387534,  5.44276939,  8.27680863,  3.9075893 ,\n",
             "         3.5865987 ,  3.81590961,  4.71212262,  5.00194549,  4.45105232,\n",
             "         6.02513798,  4.29558123, 11.373051  ,  9.75790195, 11.18555381,\n",
             "        10.65929295,  5.17736862,  7.86103415,  5.45626136,  6.92586477,\n",
             "        14.55596127, 11.32627299,  6.41737948,  7.20834556,  7.21780279,\n",
             "         5.46014155,  5.3317904 ,  5.90537561,  4.21005273,  5.24638604,\n",
             "         8.93335281,  6.35146797, 10.10813173, 12.6369015 , 13.66166884,\n",
             "        14.05212239,  6.64981032,  3.49138021,  4.44998597,  9.83009883,\n",
             "         7.2164843 ,  6.1293307 ,  4.12851675,  6.58325382,  4.94886382,\n",
             "         5.02327644,  5.55614043, 10.07475057,  6.06187628,  3.68650617,\n",
             "         7.53126482, 10.3110437 ,  3.45708812,  9.23740987,  5.88649129]])
  • created_at :
    2020-02-06T23:13:09.338879
    inference_library :
    pystan
    inference_library_version :
    2.19.1.1
" ], "text/plain": [ "\n", "Dimensions: (chain: 4, draw: 100)\n", "Coordinates:\n", " * chain (chain) int64 0 1 2 3\n", " * draw (draw) int64 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 ... 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99\n", "Data variables:\n", " b0 (chain, draw) float64 350.3 354.9 371.6 ... -112.1 -82.22\n", " b1 (chain, draw) float64 1.477e+03 1.474e+03 ... 1.538e+03\n", " log_b_sigma (chain, draw) float64 7.42 7.421 7.377 ... 7.521 7.435 7.36\n", " c0 (chain, draw) float64 3.981 -3.339 12.62 ... 1.39 -8.23 19.64\n", " c1 (chain, draw) float64 4.955 6.046 4.439 ... 5.402 6.263 3.965\n", " log_c_sigma (chain, draw) float64 1.929 1.511 2.26 ... 1.24 2.223 1.773\n", " b_sigma (chain, draw) float64 1.67e+03 1.671e+03 ... 1.571e+03\n", " c_sigma (chain, draw) float64 6.886 4.53 9.579 ... 3.457 9.237 5.886\n", "Attributes:\n", " created_at: 2020-02-06T23:13:09.338879\n", " inference_library: pystan\n", " inference_library_version: 2.19.1.1" ] }, "execution_count": 10, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "idata_stan.posterior" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 11, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide data repr\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide attributes\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "
xarray.Dataset
    • chain: 4
    • draw: 100
    • chain
      (chain)
      int64
      0 1 2 3
      array([0, 1, 2, 3])
    • draw
      (draw)
      int64
      0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ... 94 95 96 97 98 99
      array([ 0,  1,  2,  3,  4,  5,  6,  7,  8,  9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17,\n",
             "       18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35,\n",
             "       36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53,\n",
             "       54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71,\n",
             "       72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 87, 88, 89,\n",
             "       90, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99])
    • accept_stat
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      0.9988 0.999 ... 0.9973 0.9706
      array([[0.99883145, 0.99898593, 0.95890797, 0.93647561, 0.98269381,\n",
             "        0.99680619, 0.99987112, 0.98341257, 0.89530897, 0.98833717,\n",
             "        0.99758882, 0.92650558, 0.95806342, 0.96227779, 0.99368568,\n",
             "        0.99684205, 0.99196376, 0.84039326, 0.97534971, 0.93680343,\n",
             "        0.99725396, 0.98800735, 0.93721974, 0.99304334, 0.99999655,\n",
             "        0.95185613, 0.99503731, 0.96992139, 0.99335508, 0.99888279,\n",
             "        0.94827872, 0.97927202, 0.99325606, 0.973806  , 0.99763182,\n",
             "        0.97287679, 0.99934674, 0.9997937 , 0.91719514, 0.99804669,\n",
             "        0.9518555 , 0.99948057, 0.97139432, 0.95302267, 0.99828854,\n",
             "        0.99590678, 0.94891324, 0.98583074, 0.99498621, 0.99916924,\n",
             "        0.96599262, 0.99645392, 0.99240747, 0.93645138, 0.998919  ,\n",
             "        0.99988405, 0.93978878, 0.92694405, 0.98562927, 0.99893241,\n",
             "        0.98417645, 0.98906697, 0.96167477, 0.99570339, 0.99487397,\n",
             "        0.98952821, 0.99223775, 0.99864547, 0.96763459, 0.89504226,\n",
             "        0.82462063, 0.99515752, 0.97103289, 0.99647256, 0.99521596,\n",
             "        0.98968269, 0.93854473, 0.97618058, 0.99583354, 0.99580596,\n",
             "        0.97902894, 0.97689381, 0.99987671, 0.92815212, 0.97577575,\n",
             "        0.97897987, 0.92037517, 0.89325348, 0.96643682, 0.9784434 ,\n",
             "        0.86174876, 0.9923414 , 0.99937258, 0.99655616, 0.99582895,\n",
             "        0.99835066, 0.97435259, 0.96836817, 0.75144337, 0.98168501],\n",
             "       [0.99846655, 0.99476501, 0.82339118, 0.99969649, 0.96617916,\n",
             "        0.97724636, 0.95937777, 0.992742  , 0.99658032, 0.96856823,\n",
             "        0.99418553, 0.99942633, 0.99543814, 0.99788815, 0.98710743,\n",
             "        0.97270383, 0.95575914, 0.9994076 , 0.99543136, 0.99296928,\n",
             "        0.99458523, 0.96685805, 0.93896296, 0.98541383, 0.88431144,\n",
             "        0.93005865, 0.89967202, 0.971125  , 0.99635048, 0.99791054,\n",
             "        0.99223068, 0.98671396, 0.98562919, 0.99999587, 0.95357344,\n",
             "        0.99623167, 0.95416467, 0.96669064, 0.97560616, 0.99354518,\n",
             "        0.98497405, 0.98294732, 0.99179731, 0.98296079, 0.94398544,\n",
             "        0.99327162, 0.97295257, 0.95934434, 0.9891477 , 0.92196223,\n",
             "        0.99975285, 0.95104844, 0.98250335, 0.99466386, 0.97116104,\n",
             "        0.99022063, 0.9619651 , 0.98948915, 0.94918076, 0.99967479,\n",
             "        0.92340339, 0.99743932, 0.9968087 , 0.99691341, 0.99300198,\n",
             "        0.99512347, 0.97584923, 0.99901288, 0.99839812, 0.99514182,\n",
             "        0.9848622 , 0.79482348, 0.99755862, 0.98735517, 0.99525037,\n",
             "        0.99923925, 0.97853768, 0.99976762, 0.99924498, 0.99866721,\n",
             "        0.96752239, 0.98955669, 0.94128805, 0.98271722, 0.99352639,\n",
             "        0.99632506, 0.94520542, 0.94215013, 0.93670149, 0.93104669,\n",
             "        0.98353983, 0.90473232, 0.99030253, 0.9954065 , 0.99280788,\n",
             "        0.99880375, 0.87771914, 0.98431603, 0.99414775, 0.99524611],\n",
             "       [0.99977979, 0.98218208, 0.89981458, 0.97884862, 0.99779772,\n",
             "        0.98951742, 0.84590618, 0.99367167, 0.98256557, 0.99966636,\n",
             "        0.9761809 , 0.92605947, 0.93926243, 0.99754454, 0.98476287,\n",
             "        0.92191218, 0.99672923, 0.81195318, 0.99949918, 0.98187484,\n",
             "        0.9635168 , 0.96312449, 0.98940803, 0.8636352 , 0.99995565,\n",
             "        0.98900751, 0.9843713 , 0.99643221, 0.93593401, 0.94551029,\n",
             "        0.94161424, 0.94288685, 0.97442584, 0.99968721, 0.95453486,\n",
             "        0.96661849, 0.93094522, 0.98858749, 0.9581298 , 0.89695309,\n",
             "        0.90284271, 0.99990817, 0.95430335, 0.9772385 , 0.989577  ,\n",
             "        0.72984674, 1.        , 0.98200174, 0.98277598, 0.87008987,\n",
             "        0.99422134, 0.98187196, 0.99828768, 0.99267203, 0.86545671,\n",
             "        0.99890646, 0.99937858, 0.99961939, 0.99296026, 0.98375923,\n",
             "        0.99148394, 0.91255619, 0.98686482, 0.96846345, 0.99921108,\n",
             "        0.99400426, 0.96048047, 0.90627746, 0.99722139, 0.94119008,\n",
             "        0.93009904, 0.93858136, 0.95177211, 0.99353486, 0.99960517,\n",
             "        0.94024677, 0.99765777, 0.93226614, 0.99197355, 0.99424109,\n",
             "        0.97841912, 0.99575048, 0.96720298, 0.76116367, 0.99997322,\n",
             "        0.99842409, 0.99537258, 0.99870071, 0.98353936, 0.92263878,\n",
             "        0.98593856, 0.87925936, 0.98767638, 0.87470363, 0.95314819,\n",
             "        0.99864713, 1.        , 0.88936309, 0.99976772, 0.99329591],\n",
             "       [0.97703095, 0.99317365, 0.94880287, 0.99935065, 0.99562279,\n",
             "        0.99678525, 0.93250389, 0.99741797, 0.99407998, 0.9917511 ,\n",
             "        0.97179979, 0.94226196, 0.99897989, 0.99801059, 0.99575952,\n",
             "        0.98011032, 0.96367151, 0.99979009, 0.99586874, 0.94469736,\n",
             "        0.98884298, 0.93942413, 0.93081825, 0.99994299, 0.99488591,\n",
             "        0.94747592, 0.99904732, 0.96440906, 0.99498796, 0.89220715,\n",
             "        0.98919642, 0.99034316, 0.95266061, 0.93520311, 0.99859949,\n",
             "        0.96939793, 0.99208612, 0.96924364, 0.98812683, 0.96254413,\n",
             "        0.98485422, 0.99897951, 0.96588539, 0.99837066, 0.99379767,\n",
             "        0.99398233, 0.92768772, 0.97822397, 0.99734341, 0.85428677,\n",
             "        1.        , 0.95000932, 0.99998547, 0.9994694 , 0.99473646,\n",
             "        0.99907444, 0.99372555, 0.9565332 , 0.98301939, 0.9971726 ,\n",
             "        0.86358454, 0.99982051, 0.98603433, 0.99829527, 0.90544822,\n",
             "        0.96924542, 0.995812  , 1.        , 0.9530748 , 0.98590354,\n",
             "        0.99537756, 0.94824951, 0.9612174 , 0.89743301, 0.99887492,\n",
             "        0.97251061, 0.9919504 , 0.81567195, 0.99923644, 0.98822219,\n",
             "        0.91069106, 0.99115742, 0.98537712, 0.98021487, 0.99923072,\n",
             "        0.99464895, 0.99779625, 0.972804  , 0.99917701, 0.95709243,\n",
             "        0.99296332, 0.99990257, 0.99525738, 0.95168481, 0.99428361,\n",
             "        0.99040907, 0.91954301, 0.96306173, 0.99731282, 0.97057656]])
    • stepsize
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      0.06717 0.06717 ... 0.05834 0.05834
      array([[0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298,\n",
             "        0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298, 0.06717298],\n",
             "       [0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471,\n",
             "        0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471, 0.05989471],\n",
             "       [0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407,\n",
             "        0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407, 0.06907407],\n",
             "       [0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202,\n",
             "        0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202, 0.05834202]])
    • treedepth
      (chain, draw)
      int64
      3 8 9 10 10 8 10 ... 6 10 9 4 8 10
      array([[ 3,  8,  9, 10, 10,  8, 10, 10,  4,  7,  6, 10,  4,  6, 10,  3,\n",
             "        10,  8, 10,  6, 10, 10,  4,  7, 10,  5,  7,  4, 10, 10,  8,  3,\n",
             "        10,  3,  6, 10,  9, 10, 10, 10,  9, 10, 10,  9, 10,  8,  6,  8,\n",
             "         8, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,  7,  6, 10, 10,  9, 10,  7,  6, 10,  4,\n",
             "        10, 10, 10, 10,  9,  2,  8,  4, 10,  9, 10,  9,  4,  5, 10,  5,\n",
             "         5, 10, 10, 10, 10,  5,  5,  8,  4,  5, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,\n",
             "         4, 10,  3,  4],\n",
             "       [ 4,  9,  7,  6, 10, 10,  5, 10,  6, 10,  9,  9, 10, 10,  5, 10,\n",
             "        10,  9, 10,  5, 10,  8, 10,  8,  3,  8,  7, 10,  9,  8, 10,  9,\n",
             "        10, 10,  7, 10,  9, 10, 10,  7,  4,  9, 10,  4,  9, 10, 10,  6,\n",
             "        10, 10,  5, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,  7,  4, 10,  6, 10, 10, 10, 10,\n",
             "        10, 10, 10,  7, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,  8, 10,  3, 10,\n",
             "        10, 10,  5, 10,  7, 10, 10, 10,  9, 10,  3,  7, 10, 10, 10, 10,\n",
             "        10, 10,  4, 10],\n",
             "       [ 4,  9, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,  9, 10,  4,  7,  8, 10,  9,  7,  9,\n",
             "        10, 10,  9, 10,  4, 10, 10, 10, 10,  5,  4,  9,  5,  7,  3,  9,\n",
             "        10, 10,  3, 10, 10,  8,  7,  8,  3, 10, 10,  4, 10, 10,  3, 10,\n",
             "         3,  6, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,  4, 10, 10, 10, 10,  8, 10, 10,  3,\n",
             "         6,  6, 10,  4, 10, 10,  5, 10,  7, 10, 10,  9,  5,  5,  7,  9,\n",
             "         4,  8, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,  4,  5, 10,  3,  4,  3, 10, 10,  6,\n",
             "        10,  4, 10, 10],\n",
             "       [ 9, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10, 10,  5,  6, 10, 10, 10,  8,  6,  4,  8,\n",
             "         6,  9,  5,  6,  5, 10,  4,  9, 10,  5,  9,  8, 10,  8,  4,  7,\n",
             "         6, 10,  6,  4,  7, 10, 10,  8,  8,  9,  8, 10, 10, 10,  6, 10,\n",
             "         7,  7,  6, 10,  7,  9, 10, 10, 10,  4,  4,  4, 10,  4,  3, 10,\n",
             "         3,  4,  5,  4,  9,  6,  9,  9,  9, 10,  7,  5, 10, 10,  4,  7,\n",
             "         6,  9, 10, 10,  5, 10, 10, 10, 10,  4, 10, 10,  5, 10,  6, 10,\n",
             "         9,  4,  8, 10]])
    • n_leapfrog
      (chain, draw)
      int64
      15 255 847 1023 ... 943 23 255 1023
      array([[  15,  255,  847, 1023, 1023,  287, 1023, 1023,   31,  175,   79,\n",
             "        1023,   31,   95, 1023,   15, 1023,  403, 1023,  111, 1023, 1023,\n",
             "          31,  211, 1023,   63,  255,   23, 1023, 1023,  511,   11, 1023,\n",
             "           7,  127, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,  955,\n",
             "        1023,  359,   79,  255,  255, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,  247,\n",
             "         127, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,  159,  127, 1023,   23, 1023, 1023,\n",
             "        1023, 1023,  767,    3,  359,   15, 1023,  527, 1023,  783,   23,\n",
             "          39, 1023,   63,   47, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,   47,   47,  383,\n",
             "          31,   47, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,   15, 1023,   15,\n",
             "          23],\n",
             "       [  31,  575,  143,   95, 1023, 1023,   47, 1023,  127, 1023,  799,\n",
             "         511, 1023, 1023,   63, 1023, 1023,  607, 1023,   63, 1023,  479,\n",
             "        1023,  295,    7,  343,  223, 1023,  535,  271, 1023,  615, 1023,\n",
             "        1023,  207, 1023,  847, 1023, 1023,  187,   31,  911, 1023,   15,\n",
             "         511, 1023, 1023,  127, 1023, 1023,   63, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,\n",
             "        1023,  191,   31, 1023,  127, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,\n",
             "        1023,  223, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,  335,\n",
             "        1023,   15, 1023, 1023, 1023,   63, 1023,  239, 1023, 1023, 1023,\n",
             "         783, 1023,   15,  207, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,   31,\n",
             "        1023],\n",
             "       [  15,  639, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,  751, 1023,   31,  175,\n",
             "         399, 1023, 1023,  159,  751, 1023, 1023,  791, 1023,   31, 1023,\n",
             "        1023, 1023, 1023,   55,   31,  927,   63,  223,    7,  511, 1023,\n",
             "        1023,   11, 1023, 1023,  263,  223,  303,   15, 1023, 1023,   15,\n",
             "        1023, 1023,   11, 1023,   11,   75, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,\n",
             "          31, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,  255, 1023, 1023,   15,  111,  111,\n",
             "        1023,   15, 1023, 1023,   63, 1023,  191, 1023, 1023,  959,   47,\n",
             "          35,  143,  943,   23,  479, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,   15,\n",
             "          47, 1023,    7,   15,   15, 1023, 1023,   95, 1023,   19, 1023,\n",
             "        1023],\n",
             "       [1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023, 1023,   47,  111, 1023, 1023,\n",
             "        1023,  335,   95,   15,  287,  127,  895,   47,   95,   39, 1023,\n",
             "          15,  959, 1023,   39,  895,  351, 1023,  399,   31,  191,  119,\n",
             "        1023,   95,   15,  183, 1023, 1023,  383,  511,  991,  511, 1023,\n",
             "        1023, 1023,  107, 1023,  239,  143,   79, 1023,  159,  735, 1023,\n",
             "        1023, 1023,   15,   15,   31, 1023,   23,   11, 1023,   11,   31,\n",
             "          31,   31,  511,   71,  671,  847,  783, 1023,  159,   63, 1023,\n",
             "        1023,   31,  207,   79,  895, 1023, 1023,   63, 1023, 1023, 1023,\n",
             "        1023,   23, 1023, 1023,   63, 1023,   95, 1023,  943,   23,  255,\n",
             "        1023]])
    • diverging
      (chain, draw)
      bool
      False False False ... False False
      array([[False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False],\n",
             "       [False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False],\n",
             "       [False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False],\n",
             "       [False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False, False,\n",
             "        False]])
    • energy
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      115.6 114.8 117.0 ... 116.3 118.3
      array([[115.64879252, 114.79916517, 116.99985502, 116.85536975,\n",
             "        116.044243  , 114.53769901, 114.99618241, 113.40138928,\n",
             "        114.73501179, 116.0032579 , 117.85156903, 116.77298349,\n",
             "        117.76118401, 119.53840408, 119.30842353, 116.49586895,\n",
             "        117.42874844, 121.48292645, 118.09001897, 115.26897505,\n",
             "        115.25317413, 112.81811684, 113.73318541, 112.59194225,\n",
             "        113.27089653, 115.47507817, 118.62292646, 113.38112573,\n",
             "        112.65225052, 113.81609732, 113.37563685, 113.38762564,\n",
             "        114.40616233, 114.76271063, 114.95862889, 115.15079282,\n",
             "        115.42788641, 114.28971774, 115.59284523, 120.88043701,\n",
             "        121.50863521, 122.13229197, 126.1957165 , 126.77510735,\n",
             "        119.98393483, 117.72712095, 115.64489832, 115.71317806,\n",
             "        116.11969901, 117.52289416, 119.027973  , 120.03426936,\n",
             "        114.22360499, 115.22864249, 115.85601056, 114.88981726,\n",
             "        116.14435178, 115.88280067, 118.79762004, 119.83137414,\n",
             "        116.79767983, 113.69480037, 114.94216278, 113.71292036,\n",
             "        116.43413548, 115.12326712, 114.31082813, 114.9896295 ,\n",
             "        117.19857707, 116.72966008, 120.26979903, 119.33708849,\n",
             "        123.19258228, 119.743602  , 115.58677805, 115.13499411,\n",
             "        117.17115169, 118.75688381, 117.41711527, 116.47474272,\n",
             "        118.71239051, 119.18622099, 115.06199819, 118.95557332,\n",
             "        120.24220831, 122.44999635, 121.13378602, 121.51899061,\n",
             "        116.97898445, 115.74405806, 115.63283894, 115.55946462,\n",
             "        114.10595994, 113.85885775, 114.56730809, 118.73830474,\n",
             "        114.50062504, 115.02386811, 118.57318788, 118.51067837],\n",
             "       [132.04636742, 133.31419242, 130.16861882, 127.98276461,\n",
             "        129.84641371, 129.00750022, 127.1882357 , 129.15234126,\n",
             "        127.83564222, 128.47952408, 126.49819227, 125.47354001,\n",
             "        127.05515713, 122.93372829, 121.34203261, 118.47467503,\n",
             "        119.07001695, 119.02078857, 119.28572623, 118.45993714,\n",
             "        118.36893124, 119.29546903, 123.19212497, 120.4132953 ,\n",
             "        121.80661375, 120.33159211, 117.91693627, 119.7326019 ,\n",
             "        119.9017759 , 117.07296722, 117.95020034, 116.00936369,\n",
             "        119.50950648, 118.06938595, 116.41320814, 115.63847009,\n",
             "        120.03929186, 119.72799999, 118.96257254, 117.08762801,\n",
             "        115.89603797, 116.70866346, 117.48862348, 114.89954525,\n",
             "        115.49661363, 118.50836077, 113.84033192, 115.33518114,\n",
             "        116.5014255 , 117.70995589, 114.08784537, 117.84584817,\n",
             "        115.7473116 , 115.33578172, 113.09800298, 113.05698725,\n",
             "        114.10613802, 112.16759837, 116.17149431, 115.9871239 ,\n",
             "        116.59803964, 114.09090129, 114.8347199 , 113.45908038,\n",
             "        115.01489452, 115.11603677, 116.86469747, 117.34754547,\n",
             "        114.89145729, 113.41304045, 114.67040554, 119.63859342,\n",
             "        117.35974803, 117.7681001 , 115.87532292, 116.45495309,\n",
             "        117.27600844, 115.29526217, 113.3161083 , 115.42928136,\n",
             "        116.97361555, 113.56237492, 114.6111734 , 118.80011255,\n",
             "        121.33424169, 116.12500885, 116.10616099, 124.66353794,\n",
             "        116.80492149, 116.17269405, 114.24989296, 116.09622355,\n",
             "        122.48411048, 118.53888969, 116.44219132, 118.6884517 ,\n",
             "        118.24466035, 116.58710849, 114.76779272, 115.44042699],\n",
             "       [122.22294514, 122.02078492, 122.35917627, 123.61611576,\n",
             "        120.07866944, 116.21046949, 117.1492391 , 119.27339024,\n",
             "        120.75422015, 119.15538685, 119.03165264, 122.00347556,\n",
             "        120.76912771, 115.6425552 , 113.79826515, 115.49497214,\n",
             "        114.22545517, 119.12613582, 117.6664916 , 118.82969075,\n",
             "        115.65233243, 115.69709453, 113.4292152 , 118.78934781,\n",
             "        118.75140206, 115.86186676, 116.89386143, 119.2390487 ,\n",
             "        121.78843483, 123.90625572, 120.67167673, 118.79226469,\n",
             "        121.04110486, 116.8809791 , 112.94552983, 115.50877121,\n",
             "        115.28726913, 114.6078511 , 117.67797231, 118.64829965,\n",
             "        120.41874261, 116.88298636, 113.94585717, 114.77573406,\n",
             "        117.16175201, 122.80719533, 119.79100637, 120.06795369,\n",
             "        113.9977519 , 116.123628  , 115.83258716, 119.32377585,\n",
             "        118.19101627, 114.46954341, 116.47915102, 115.59491191,\n",
             "        116.69248277, 116.90593387, 121.32672662, 112.48048366,\n",
             "        112.57505453, 118.0295913 , 119.10461411, 117.22568231,\n",
             "        117.91497592, 116.30344941, 116.47696424, 116.3433308 ,\n",
             "        118.182443  , 119.29236084, 118.52261899, 123.31149674,\n",
             "        117.62648528, 116.78541282, 114.5460546 , 115.66749094,\n",
             "        113.13746929, 119.25995774, 121.37686158, 118.52599015,\n",
             "        117.22205235, 117.40981835, 114.81242672, 123.26815315,\n",
             "        118.23173721, 114.66152395, 113.78423355, 113.000823  ,\n",
             "        115.57733978, 117.52856589, 113.71688087, 117.65751286,\n",
             "        117.13438305, 117.8498984 , 116.04122808, 115.99423534,\n",
             "        115.42634617, 114.39106728, 114.89784608, 112.82581007],\n",
             "       [121.78721215, 117.63561606, 115.7921924 , 116.47402146,\n",
             "        115.2561748 , 119.93417285, 123.28935578, 120.07240393,\n",
             "        119.40186734, 121.80078757, 121.20578347, 122.40175733,\n",
             "        118.46858026, 118.06836386, 118.3017164 , 117.72784977,\n",
             "        119.84148981, 121.37391818, 119.50406407, 120.39878923,\n",
             "        118.85992752, 121.24931813, 122.59703803, 120.20110873,\n",
             "        121.51365406, 118.32445206, 119.69867127, 120.57561149,\n",
             "        121.66970285, 121.02786498, 126.03841845, 124.74422683,\n",
             "        123.6240123 , 128.24303643, 121.9409742 , 116.21523843,\n",
             "        116.16573982, 114.91661919, 120.2453666 , 123.61491139,\n",
             "        125.23414235, 129.10402668, 118.69734606, 116.15747435,\n",
             "        115.55981774, 116.84790716, 114.59135384, 118.40493742,\n",
             "        117.12029669, 118.20296583, 115.86019859, 118.06226618,\n",
             "        115.90681581, 113.22181837, 113.64357699, 115.31779536,\n",
             "        113.90475684, 115.87032886, 114.81014239, 115.98686113,\n",
             "        119.04208296, 117.07322624, 114.95923163, 118.96305802,\n",
             "        116.61217267, 117.99641028, 118.25190294, 115.85185952,\n",
             "        119.71519126, 117.53335845, 115.61485877, 116.37624992,\n",
             "        114.8733973 , 117.45479227, 116.33323503, 116.08086368,\n",
             "        114.26585431, 120.77152924, 115.11989604, 116.36097262,\n",
             "        118.13387572, 118.62741452, 114.63597977, 114.78659832,\n",
             "        115.05332609, 117.27142126, 116.96774935, 115.24274068,\n",
             "        115.39546281, 114.36122063, 113.5249317 , 113.65736088,\n",
             "        114.18090075, 116.9679796 , 116.44508077, 116.12467061,\n",
             "        120.10669875, 122.38195737, 116.25739203, 118.27013762]])
    • lp
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      -112.9 -114.5 ... -114.7 -116.0
      array([[-112.94824063, -114.53332143, -114.79525691, -112.51563867,\n",
             "        -112.62618298, -113.4218937 , -112.00929492, -112.67906873,\n",
             "        -111.57409078, -114.69559017, -114.74621054, -115.17274102,\n",
             "        -114.95768099, -115.37481785, -114.28027256, -115.82686596,\n",
             "        -114.47391096, -114.04919331, -111.8554811 , -113.61305607,\n",
             "        -110.85409772, -111.87930179, -111.86224794, -111.55238526,\n",
             "        -111.22075733, -114.32787092, -111.48094273, -111.36288315,\n",
             "        -111.65942679, -111.94460115, -112.464389  , -112.90969792,\n",
             "        -112.24307642, -113.14643505, -111.92665684, -113.13792571,\n",
             "        -112.26926142, -112.88488384, -113.08763296, -118.02631761,\n",
             "        -118.31763909, -120.49111721, -123.04319642, -118.26939667,\n",
             "        -116.66581402, -113.09355075, -112.40936586, -114.7883533 ,\n",
             "        -115.31329088, -116.66503815, -116.04008798, -111.5510559 ,\n",
             "        -111.44856903, -113.69269175, -113.61461248, -111.75588709,\n",
             "        -111.53214996, -113.11522306, -115.79945453, -113.69140908,\n",
             "        -112.4392556 , -112.56491861, -113.14786267, -113.20218179,\n",
             "        -112.79595628, -113.62161777, -112.28969194, -113.23506593,\n",
             "        -115.39038884, -116.16755161, -117.69849797, -116.25143763,\n",
             "        -117.74453522, -114.78383198, -113.83333155, -113.4627745 ,\n",
             "        -116.39352061, -113.4626592 , -115.78454341, -115.35546081,\n",
             "        -117.35618128, -114.36084143, -112.97922119, -115.40891398,\n",
             "        -113.84201419, -117.08069017, -117.64216777, -115.58905356,\n",
             "        -113.94162262, -111.82765835, -112.04068837, -112.210145  ,\n",
             "        -111.94798038, -112.19702159, -113.4731748 , -113.30976831,\n",
             "        -113.2058206 , -113.74472129, -116.86831516, -117.82805552],\n",
             "       [-130.86493935, -127.91926422, -127.13426766, -126.61556756,\n",
             "        -126.0557302 , -126.14022797, -126.18843228, -126.35743962,\n",
             "        -125.78554892, -124.97403773, -124.07554247, -124.49477997,\n",
             "        -121.13298604, -118.82742393, -117.04375599, -117.60220802,\n",
             "        -118.3737802 , -116.79969705, -117.94483265, -116.85138196,\n",
             "        -117.1067913 , -118.62877712, -116.83153519, -118.67355094,\n",
             "        -118.17839955, -115.98852163, -115.61883082, -117.3125308 ,\n",
             "        -114.9388163 , -114.02911764, -114.9047965 , -115.21594716,\n",
             "        -114.97836694, -114.91190359, -113.76019526, -113.85144266,\n",
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             "        ...,\n",
             "        [ 6437.39928945,  8281.88464427, 10951.51111565, 15453.39821292,\n",
             "         27576.7595069 ],\n",
             "        [ 8011.41028854, 12279.81391907, 12079.41801691, 19249.6758624 ,\n",
             "         31523.33426685],\n",
             "        [ 4846.37197822,  7273.16355759,  9148.4770326 , 16655.55767871,\n",
             "         28890.5231236 ]]])
    • github_commits_hat
      (chain, draw, developer)
      float64
      34.04 33.66 42.45 ... 55.77 87.77
      array([[[ 34.04291125,  33.65508953,  42.44678665,  57.74674231,\n",
             "          84.09790383],\n",
             "        [ 25.20874978,  35.78038031,  36.07977359,  74.31753036,\n",
             "         101.01863861],\n",
             "        [ 42.08214437,  33.13142703,  38.14813305,  62.14684264,\n",
             "          91.35935541],\n",
             "        ...,\n",
             "        [ 21.13435151,  28.01166316,  33.54618622,  69.03696114,\n",
             "         104.01733553],\n",
             "        [ 21.58967507,  39.75970101,  25.94122219,  62.63180442,\n",
             "         104.33160863],\n",
             "        [ 25.81386748,  47.77156075,  46.68729202,  70.53254035,\n",
             "         100.60469616]],\n",
             "\n",
             "       [[ 59.25103138,  23.46776863,  12.26933269,  63.17937515,\n",
             "          98.94947523],\n",
             "        [ 33.629078  ,  23.37714   ,  28.04472675,  60.14545387,\n",
             "          92.36997085],\n",
             "        [ 38.56504596,  32.03806041,  44.9232926 ,  60.89962709,\n",
             "         102.55083472],\n",
             "        ...,\n",
             "        [ 32.74038633,  51.00389477,  52.66381716,  62.58016307,\n",
             "          74.92607342],\n",
             "        [ 24.63882676,  48.76661515,  22.8676125 ,  76.29277862,\n",
             "          99.58726532],\n",
             "        [ 17.51040513,  31.24768387,  20.14985476,  65.31412482,\n",
             "          96.35556509]],\n",
             "\n",
             "       [[ 24.83142393,  23.49235593,  39.92617315,  70.47119349,\n",
             "          97.27769663],\n",
             "        [ 28.10510444,  19.3660404 ,  46.09689694,  61.56115109,\n",
             "          80.40901978],\n",
             "        [ 19.9567109 ,  35.85090148,  46.40720638,  70.24757461,\n",
             "         108.15162665],\n",
             "        ...,\n",
             "        [ 20.62869371,  36.39936464,  40.36553769,  59.69389229,\n",
             "          89.42200554],\n",
             "        [ 23.44850589,  39.55840704,  45.25710191,  67.02022186,\n",
             "          95.93811913],\n",
             "        [ 29.37582561,  31.19561037,  43.16123981,  63.8108878 ,\n",
             "          95.27304282]],\n",
             "\n",
             "       [[ 31.21492676,  29.17605754,  42.57795637,  66.45110886,\n",
             "          95.23554241],\n",
             "        [ 24.76688624,  36.44250476,  36.00164332,  70.864589  ,\n",
             "         105.17467293],\n",
             "        [ 26.87020679,  37.09473285,  45.20734202,  65.45142411,\n",
             "          99.73990075],\n",
             "        ...,\n",
             "        [ 26.86610982,  30.4926757 ,  37.70898554,  62.68338097,\n",
             "         100.27436747],\n",
             "        [ 13.72806107,  25.25847357,  32.45926794,  56.01956355,\n",
             "         116.98705982],\n",
             "        [ 38.74018137,  42.82654135,  46.10744972,  55.76514682,\n",
             "          87.76547883]]])
  • created_at :
    2020-02-06T23:13:09.347718
    inference_library :
    pystan
    inference_library_version :
    2.19.1.1
" ], "text/plain": [ "\n", "Dimensions: (chain: 4, developer: 5, draw: 100)\n", "Coordinates:\n", " * chain (chain) int64 0 1 2 3\n", " * draw (draw) int64 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 ... 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99\n", " * developer (developer) object 'Alice' 'Bob' ... 'Danielle' 'Erika'\n", "Data variables:\n", " slack_comments_hat (chain, draw, developer) float64 7.36e+03 ... 2.889e+04\n", " github_commits_hat (chain, draw, developer) float64 34.04 33.66 ... 87.77\n", "Attributes:\n", " created_at: 2020-02-06T23:13:09.347718\n", " inference_library: pystan\n", " inference_library_version: 2.19.1.1" ] }, "execution_count": 13, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "idata_stan.posterior_predictive" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 14, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
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xarray.Dataset
    • developer: 5
    • developer
      (developer)
      object
      'Alice' 'Bob' ... 'Erika'
      array(['Alice', 'Bob', 'Cole', 'Danielle', 'Erika'], dtype=object)
    • slack_comments
      (developer)
      int64
      7500 10100 18600 25200 27500
      array([ 7500, 10100, 18600, 25200, 27500])
    • github_commits
      (developer)
      int64
      25 32 49 66 96
      array([25, 32, 49, 66, 96])
  • created_at :
    2020-02-06T23:13:09.330834
    inference_library :
    pystan
    inference_library_version :
    2.19.1.1
" ], "text/plain": [ "\n", "Dimensions: (developer: 5)\n", "Coordinates:\n", " * developer (developer) object 'Alice' 'Bob' 'Cole' 'Danielle' 'Erika'\n", "Data variables:\n", " slack_comments (developer) int64 7500 10100 18600 25200 27500\n", " github_commits (developer) int64 25 32 49 66 96\n", "Attributes:\n", " created_at: 2020-02-06T23:13:09.330834\n", " inference_library: pystan\n", " inference_library_version: 2.19.1.1" ] }, "execution_count": 14, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "idata_stan.observed_data" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 15, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
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xarray.Dataset
    • developer: 5
    • developer
      (developer)
      object
      'Alice' 'Bob' ... 'Erika'
      array(['Alice', 'Bob', 'Cole', 'Danielle', 'Erika'], dtype=object)
    • time_since_joined
      (developer)
      float64
      4.5 6.0 7.0 12.0 18.0
      array([ 4.5,  6. ,  7. , 12. , 18. ])
  • created_at :
    2020-02-06T23:13:09.333142
    inference_library :
    pystan
    inference_library_version :
    2.19.1.1
" ], "text/plain": [ "\n", "Dimensions: (developer: 5)\n", "Coordinates:\n", " * developer (developer) object 'Alice' 'Bob' ... 'Danielle' 'Erika'\n", "Data variables:\n", " time_since_joined (developer) float64 4.5 6.0 7.0 12.0 18.0\n", "Attributes:\n", " created_at: 2020-02-06T23:13:09.333142\n", " inference_library: pystan\n", " inference_library_version: 2.19.1.1" ] }, "execution_count": 15, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "idata_stan.constant_data" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 16, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide data repr\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide attributes\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "
xarray.Dataset
    • chain: 1
    • draw: 150
    • chain
      (chain)
      int64
      0
      array([0])
    • draw
      (draw)
      int64
      0 1 2 3 4 5 ... 145 146 147 148 149
      array([  0,   1,   2,   3,   4,   5,   6,   7,   8,   9,  10,  11,  12,  13,\n",
             "        14,  15,  16,  17,  18,  19,  20,  21,  22,  23,  24,  25,  26,  27,\n",
             "        28,  29,  30,  31,  32,  33,  34,  35,  36,  37,  38,  39,  40,  41,\n",
             "        42,  43,  44,  45,  46,  47,  48,  49,  50,  51,  52,  53,  54,  55,\n",
             "        56,  57,  58,  59,  60,  61,  62,  63,  64,  65,  66,  67,  68,  69,\n",
             "        70,  71,  72,  73,  74,  75,  76,  77,  78,  79,  80,  81,  82,  83,\n",
             "        84,  85,  86,  87,  88,  89,  90,  91,  92,  93,  94,  95,  96,  97,\n",
             "        98,  99, 100, 101, 102, 103, 104, 105, 106, 107, 108, 109, 110, 111,\n",
             "       112, 113, 114, 115, 116, 117, 118, 119, 120, 121, 122, 123, 124, 125,\n",
             "       126, 127, 128, 129, 130, 131, 132, 133, 134, 135, 136, 137, 138, 139,\n",
             "       140, 141, 142, 143, 144, 145, 146, 147, 148, 149])
    • b0
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      -145.7 -285.1 ... -109.0 147.1
      array([[-1.45651207e+02, -2.85074685e+02,  2.90242951e+02,\n",
             "        -3.63706878e+02,  1.51073945e+02,  3.27946111e+02,\n",
             "         2.78161163e+02, -5.41032615e+01, -1.36673434e+01,\n",
             "        -3.89302556e+02, -1.47656413e+02, -3.19812435e+02,\n",
             "        -1.53091793e+01, -3.21044357e+02, -2.53983025e+01,\n",
             "        -2.99836782e+01,  2.66254665e+02,  2.20597174e+00,\n",
             "        -1.43293647e+02, -2.75415911e+02, -2.72324852e+01,\n",
             "         7.06656178e+01, -3.77696156e+02,  1.44945440e+02,\n",
             "         2.34329906e+00, -2.05046991e+02,  2.71024222e+02,\n",
             "         3.67868322e+02, -3.58633046e+01, -6.46634758e+01,\n",
             "        -2.61013669e+02,  6.49912484e+01, -5.61366866e+01,\n",
             "        -1.04765167e+02,  5.77778215e+01, -1.01323201e+02,\n",
             "        -3.87809013e+00,  1.47906476e+02,  1.77007447e+00,\n",
             "        -2.08598650e+02,  3.31352859e+01, -1.46509936e+02,\n",
             "         3.02236312e+02,  2.13267698e+02, -2.23670007e+01,\n",
             "        -3.70823156e+02, -1.90074727e+02, -1.19629411e+02,\n",
             "        -1.53456335e+01,  5.20502431e+01, -1.07574534e+02,\n",
             "         1.62991344e+02, -7.97951467e+00,  4.63456909e+02,\n",
             "         1.03645253e+02, -2.88934436e+02, -2.18779852e+02,\n",
             "        -1.71797756e+02, -2.55708155e+02, -8.99599585e+01,\n",
             "         2.49564555e+02,  8.25417288e+01,  6.38311781e+01,\n",
             "         6.90371879e+01, -2.47682738e+01,  3.52550555e+01,\n",
             "        -1.22085867e+02, -5.94869784e+02, -1.41837552e+02,\n",
             "         1.07956077e+02,  3.21400040e+02, -2.39155237e+02,\n",
             "         9.59987728e+01,  5.25504721e+02, -6.16171454e+01,\n",
             "         2.31656085e+02,  5.35521095e+02, -2.03715219e+02,\n",
             "         6.76733083e+01,  4.04038086e+02, -3.30342098e+02,\n",
             "        -3.31012918e+02, -1.54542669e+02,  1.16567326e+02,\n",
             "         2.72329155e+02,  2.22162623e+02, -1.11393330e+01,\n",
             "         9.36216151e+01, -3.81130323e+01, -8.94740085e+01,\n",
             "        -1.20017116e+02,  9.96072279e+01,  3.06900175e+02,\n",
             "         5.32173552e-01, -1.72199455e+02,  6.04105202e+01,\n",
             "        -2.40336709e+01, -4.20488019e+01, -8.22591480e+01,\n",
             "         5.63381700e+01,  2.28551052e+02, -1.42063242e+02,\n",
             "        -2.11075155e+01, -3.37018332e+02, -4.47622642e+01,\n",
             "        -1.56236665e+01, -1.47045536e+02,  9.89807478e+00,\n",
             "         1.37448825e+01,  6.43953365e+01,  5.04889998e+02,\n",
             "        -8.38066695e+01,  2.15806497e+02, -3.89087509e+01,\n",
             "        -1.05247391e+02,  3.68793408e+01,  1.37645563e+02,\n",
             "        -2.69504339e+02, -2.38090098e+02,  1.79395026e+02,\n",
             "        -1.15837990e+02,  2.05507445e+02, -2.18589126e+02,\n",
             "        -2.61481784e+02, -1.64034838e+02,  3.45560870e+02,\n",
             "         6.47396028e+01, -9.77745763e+01,  2.12341277e+02,\n",
             "        -1.00130255e+02, -1.05332266e+02, -8.40719620e+01,\n",
             "        -2.00232028e+02,  9.20191153e+01, -1.88201831e+02,\n",
             "        -2.84628254e+02, -9.85262783e+01, -1.09939657e+02,\n",
             "        -7.35020593e+00,  3.78079437e+02, -1.09305533e+02,\n",
             "        -2.24291884e+02, -1.48952869e+02,  1.35264983e+02,\n",
             "         7.90152362e+01,  3.64807936e+02, -3.99167310e+01,\n",
             "         1.39941065e+02, -1.09008162e+02,  1.47143900e+02]])
    • b1
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      89.3 -230.2 -149.0 ... -103.5 309.6
      array([[ 8.92952413e+01, -2.30178376e+02, -1.49046820e+02,\n",
             "         3.87022787e+02, -2.16485971e+01,  2.50968833e+01,\n",
             "        -1.51010194e+02,  1.53994648e+01, -3.53279987e+02,\n",
             "         7.97867920e+01, -2.14073417e+02, -1.14604342e+02,\n",
             "         1.00117033e+02,  1.66676902e+02,  1.57724100e+02,\n",
             "        -6.78354499e+01, -1.14465010e+02, -1.13659278e+02,\n",
             "        -2.69253563e+02, -1.56002425e+02, -1.06036761e+02,\n",
             "        -1.12036574e+02,  1.26160632e+01,  6.80619924e+01,\n",
             "         2.79036753e+02,  1.57490974e+02,  2.31871310e+02,\n",
             "         1.57396559e+02, -1.28082594e+02,  1.44200778e+01,\n",
             "         2.50118323e+02, -2.80385419e+02,  3.40493226e+01,\n",
             "        -2.43798803e-01,  4.58960632e-01,  1.40607094e+01,\n",
             "        -2.89799383e+02, -2.03567005e+02,  1.30563411e+02,\n",
             "        -4.29452070e+02, -3.06025289e+02, -1.70391033e+01,\n",
             "        -2.35477034e+02, -9.46468651e+01,  4.20256904e+02,\n",
             "         6.06524651e+02,  1.05674474e+02, -1.71090927e+02,\n",
             "        -1.18057543e+02, -1.29924042e+02, -1.55475753e+01,\n",
             "         5.89225952e+01, -5.16610520e+01,  1.11196231e+02,\n",
             "         1.25678446e+02,  3.29919661e+02, -1.91313396e+02,\n",
             "         1.46521134e+02,  9.25429373e+01,  2.21165173e+01,\n",
             "         1.18692033e+02, -6.13985574e+01, -6.56616151e+01,\n",
             "         2.32710789e+02, -8.79159532e+01, -3.90106675e+01,\n",
             "         3.75801739e+02,  1.28236610e+02,  1.05279695e+02,\n",
             "         2.51474364e+02,  3.12815336e+02,  6.76261410e+01,\n",
             "        -1.60732172e+02,  1.77501754e+02,  1.03679716e+02,\n",
             "        -6.39447401e+02,  1.26472546e+02, -1.32567564e+02,\n",
             "         2.19942969e+01,  1.93679229e+02, -7.06954994e+01,\n",
             "         1.22114655e+02, -2.71938073e+02, -2.95811303e+02,\n",
             "        -4.87959579e+01, -5.06437210e+01,  7.48850286e+01,\n",
             "         5.40652852e+01,  5.87036677e+01, -4.28902912e+01,\n",
             "        -4.18682398e+02,  5.35947447e+01, -1.36590855e+02,\n",
             "        -7.05027861e+01,  1.99370045e+01, -7.68174481e+01,\n",
             "         1.33881557e+00,  3.35944753e+02, -1.92651096e+02,\n",
             "        -1.27995635e+01,  1.25156005e+02,  2.14812045e+00,\n",
             "        -8.77030681e+00, -1.27100940e+02, -9.25821040e+01,\n",
             "        -1.83601852e+02, -1.50166052e+02,  2.55044248e+01,\n",
             "        -1.80278107e+02,  1.09222315e+01,  1.73637013e+02,\n",
             "         1.90724755e+02, -7.52064167e+01, -1.08819635e+02,\n",
             "        -5.67754502e+02,  5.90499347e+01,  2.56789539e+02,\n",
             "         2.89894649e+02,  8.57783245e+01,  4.57085068e+01,\n",
             "        -3.10969116e+02,  1.16685796e+02, -3.68412850e+01,\n",
             "        -3.05790780e+02,  3.78700172e+01,  1.51218224e+02,\n",
             "        -5.06866589e+01,  1.86603498e+02,  4.80717691e+02,\n",
             "         6.60077182e+01,  4.91396322e+02,  1.28888676e+02,\n",
             "        -8.42570380e+00, -4.35903969e+01, -1.49322916e+02,\n",
             "        -9.68166279e+01, -3.52518591e+02,  2.65281988e+02,\n",
             "        -1.03458585e+02, -3.06168326e+02,  2.54010614e+02,\n",
             "        -9.09354075e+01, -1.77839370e+02, -2.33373460e+02,\n",
             "         9.66881316e+01, -2.09848740e+02,  4.05102010e+02,\n",
             "        -1.99944810e+02, -1.03537802e+02,  3.09628108e+02]])
    • log_b_sigma
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      5.406 6.253 4.959 ... 4.735 5.409
      array([[5.40597153, 6.25281757, 4.95866099, 5.89435284, 5.69789655,\n",
             "        5.02265097, 5.52515525, 5.93230412, 4.55324729, 6.521242  ,\n",
             "        5.73845681, 1.03892351, 5.55288155, 5.88535611, 6.20492877,\n",
             "        4.54627315, 4.79876118, 5.5246373 , 5.99118177, 6.3797708 ,\n",
             "        5.1753156 , 3.84798729, 3.56571071, 4.63216152, 4.28308926,\n",
             "        5.99634443, 4.72585854, 5.43642172, 5.46098148, 6.01189304,\n",
             "        5.43982479, 4.74162964, 4.74157447, 4.29124966, 5.72702433,\n",
             "        5.88051338, 6.65556009, 5.29855658, 6.16192302, 5.02757623,\n",
             "        5.96937486, 5.33955916, 5.65653015, 5.93627733, 4.41590486,\n",
             "        6.77505619, 1.46473813, 3.8501781 , 5.70820203, 3.63885293,\n",
             "        5.13568152, 3.66230127, 4.83960594, 5.51299989, 2.90695175,\n",
             "        6.38475208, 5.04068766, 3.58825602, 4.02633069, 4.43295666,\n",
             "        4.28867261, 4.41350609, 5.27828432, 6.40862042, 5.56174956,\n",
             "        6.08048779, 5.63209349, 4.4936491 , 5.62338067, 6.21643387,\n",
             "        5.74364978, 5.10308019, 2.95803533, 3.95472741, 5.84254525,\n",
             "        6.14281764, 5.04250707, 6.41199802, 5.96631948, 6.47128764,\n",
             "        6.71887387, 5.36803156, 5.65557734, 5.96018326, 5.07817997,\n",
             "        4.49539205, 6.32549752, 6.09383534, 6.53420944, 5.95424247,\n",
             "        5.66969113, 5.79057308, 5.41974694, 5.92184013, 3.86965452,\n",
             "        4.57481928, 5.74436241, 3.79827376, 5.32896272, 2.02392334,\n",
             "        5.410573  , 5.15847669, 5.64064207, 6.66346638, 5.63506691,\n",
             "        3.93332735, 5.27423692, 4.81817385, 5.39416178, 6.3554758 ,\n",
             "        5.81308005, 6.68267622, 0.88618175, 3.22774298, 5.68083757,\n",
             "        5.62524682, 4.66535962, 4.91620393, 6.26947185, 3.21893843,\n",
             "        6.18814477, 4.63748638, 6.24727093, 3.53217849, 0.34719713,\n",
             "        5.86904343, 1.66463911, 5.4065881 , 5.41887941, 4.80663913,\n",
             "        4.31213674, 5.40731275, 5.93206986, 5.53936034, 5.96772214,\n",
             "        5.68600774, 5.81041477, 4.63505975, 6.34517862, 5.78148771,\n",
             "        5.22938887, 5.93345068, 5.54195577, 4.84213925, 6.32618921,\n",
             "        5.67145192, 4.08545152, 5.3869506 , 4.73534976, 5.40934494]])
    • b_sigma
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      222.7 519.5 142.4 ... 113.9 223.5
      array([[222.73250618, 519.47442074, 142.40298885, 362.98185381,\n",
             "        298.23940834, 151.81322311, 250.92529112, 377.02221715,\n",
             "         94.94020627, 679.4217051 , 310.58474815,   2.82617304,\n",
             "        257.97986765, 359.73084766, 495.18368224,  94.28038397,\n",
             "        121.35998068, 250.79535815, 399.8869067 , 589.7925132 ,\n",
             "        176.85242091,  46.89857479,  35.36457842, 102.73588949,\n",
             "         72.46395479, 401.95672296, 112.82732316, 229.61906931,\n",
             "        235.32828164, 408.25543512, 230.40181218, 114.62084019,\n",
             "        114.6145168 ,  73.05770869, 307.05421695, 357.9929801 ,\n",
             "        777.09304008, 200.04784747, 474.33936474, 152.56278748,\n",
             "        391.2609998 , 208.42080923, 286.15400639, 378.52318778,\n",
             "         82.75669039, 875.72856624,   4.32641012,  47.00143339,\n",
             "        301.3288015 ,  38.04816788, 169.9801257 ,  38.95087642,\n",
             "        126.41952552, 247.89366572,  18.30092771, 592.73776286,\n",
             "        154.57627457,  36.17093942,  56.05485077,  84.17994063,\n",
             "         72.86967756,  82.55841387, 196.03325687, 607.05562109,\n",
             "        260.27781076, 437.24242685, 279.24610522,  89.44725304,\n",
             "        276.82365205, 500.91371718, 312.20180203, 164.52790432,\n",
             "         19.26009485,  52.18146772, 344.65545914, 465.36294892,\n",
             "        154.85776835, 609.10948031, 390.06737381, 646.3154109 ,\n",
             "        827.88467869, 214.44033812, 285.88148662, 387.68116268,\n",
             "        160.48170794,  89.60329089, 558.63567569, 443.11766286,\n",
             "        688.28943295, 385.3848606 , 289.94496538, 327.20048322,\n",
             "        225.82196853, 373.09763147,  47.92582599,  97.01050537,\n",
             "        312.42436666,  44.62408594, 206.22395178,   7.56795841,\n",
             "        223.75976494, 173.89935025, 281.64349398, 783.26131483,\n",
             "        280.07765619,  51.07664518, 195.24143398, 123.738919  ,\n",
             "        220.11756229, 575.63616076, 334.64827248, 798.45309362,\n",
             "          2.42584944,  25.22266469, 293.19489703, 277.34072807,\n",
             "        106.2037716 , 136.48352778, 528.19833703,  25.00156529,\n",
             "        486.94187803, 103.28440291, 516.60105633,  34.19838754,\n",
             "          1.41509566, 353.91027876,   5.28376604, 222.86987853,\n",
             "        225.62614586, 122.31982471,  74.59971873, 223.03144143,\n",
             "        376.93390668, 254.51514411, 390.61488885, 294.71469088,\n",
             "        333.75752877, 103.03407392, 569.73914952, 324.2412084 ,\n",
             "        186.67868454, 377.45474387, 255.17657927, 126.7401914 ,\n",
             "        559.0222133 , 290.45594817,  59.46878318, 218.53596521,\n",
             "        113.90329084, 223.48514368]])
    • c0
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      17.01 -12.05 4.21 ... 0.4713 5.922
      array([[ 17.00788401, -12.05408755,   4.21032161,  -6.49815805,\n",
             "          5.56492216,   2.58520976,  -2.81509427,  -7.24066987,\n",
             "         -3.31555628,  -8.8096801 ,   4.7199758 ,  -2.91574004,\n",
             "          3.31316631,   1.88048042,  -6.47778048,   1.4984972 ,\n",
             "          7.3120184 ,  18.70520874,  -1.66261847, -16.19073088,\n",
             "          0.95538657,  -1.41378272,  13.50470163,  -8.79103989,\n",
             "          2.30242852,  -0.88298581, -10.81281947, -17.84800059,\n",
             "          3.53620623,  -0.64823439,  -9.09003302,   5.70280449,\n",
             "         11.60289054, -22.0695163 ,  -4.26089993,  -1.80851452,\n",
             "          4.82058619,   3.02839884,  -0.92481752,   3.38476869,\n",
             "          5.41716973, -12.81043445,  -0.4849724 ,  -4.23788972,\n",
             "         -3.99286587, -11.17741684,   1.57218001,   6.64239735,\n",
             "        -11.95969608,   8.7458509 ,  -0.56363973,   9.18671838,\n",
             "          7.32111168, -11.90879057,  12.56204419,   4.77612583,\n",
             "         -7.62177663,   0.8568707 , -14.5904402 ,   3.14520275,\n",
             "         10.11350755,   2.61018532,   0.72446493,  12.59393298,\n",
             "         -1.24435375,  -3.28510495, -10.81363492,   5.94208236,\n",
             "        -15.88538234,   1.55781949,   2.08543812, -18.67277514,\n",
             "         -4.363881  ,  -4.14038075,   6.13440641,  -9.5898784 ,\n",
             "        -20.40508106,  -7.42692959,   6.53938788,  -1.75320613,\n",
             "          1.02049114,   5.67455609,   6.71515275,  19.51585329,\n",
             "          4.93927126,  -6.90725638,  13.72654295,  -9.24973238,\n",
             "         -2.90507766, -10.50134958,   5.5034941 ,  -4.70790573,\n",
             "         -4.67242962,  -2.58946511, -11.06747579, -17.24328272,\n",
             "        -17.08935357,   4.99826008,  16.51447843,  19.28347227,\n",
             "          6.0390091 ,   8.13977794,   3.0543628 ,   3.30228303,\n",
             "         -1.67079982,  -3.18838311,  -1.97828067,  -0.41768445,\n",
             "        -19.15233108,  14.38770399, -12.72821448, -11.41683449,\n",
             "         -1.70591582,   5.33635377,   5.01889593,  18.44774146,\n",
             "          2.52441062,  16.18050814,  15.73780971,  -7.41330812,\n",
             "         -3.02201364,   1.7995074 , -23.22096296,   7.77659668,\n",
             "         13.34584601,  -9.29139424,   5.03149232,  -1.65451479,\n",
             "          3.59534028, -14.36982781,   6.24957163, -23.61437713,\n",
             "        -30.69136792,  -6.06116893,  12.06996475,  11.85396847,\n",
             "         12.30823363,  -0.84564097,  28.536427  ,   3.3133027 ,\n",
             "          1.16414267,  -7.03467167,  -8.21330297,  -4.4435834 ,\n",
             "         26.60863511,   6.39574005,  -1.05954996, -12.05856584,\n",
             "          0.47125734,   5.92236097]])
    • c1
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      20.72 20.89 13.13 ... -6.757 4.829
      array([[ 20.71935781,  20.88667296,  13.12650249,  16.53768054,\n",
             "          8.31418076,  -3.12310112,   5.08183978,   4.37123194,\n",
             "         -3.79160475,  -5.92876668, -12.11685798,  -9.32185662,\n",
             "         -9.819532  ,   0.34820261,   5.44719252,  -0.8689951 ,\n",
             "         -8.05532718,   9.65859571,   2.9394153 ,   2.28001094,\n",
             "         -9.97694941, -18.12019435, -14.16317223,   4.61942344,\n",
             "        -16.01176677,   1.71443795,   0.36975225,   2.07596327,\n",
             "        -14.63016742,  16.24612688,   4.62293128, -13.61166194,\n",
             "         10.14920449,   7.81579006,  -9.36358834,  -7.06892191,\n",
             "         -1.96500235,  -5.20562071,  -7.58213327,  26.26653937,\n",
             "         -3.1506358 ,  -0.59876339,  -9.09942346,  -5.160207  ,\n",
             "         -2.60143626,   1.7158401 , -16.32280452,  25.19522151,\n",
             "         12.33923413,  17.60794915,   5.86548255,  -5.21459472,\n",
             "          1.31606843,   2.8285207 , -14.91654943,  -3.38705957,\n",
             "         -0.38207543, -12.09381591, -12.73824788,   9.24968706,\n",
             "          5.37456068,  -1.78758721,  -8.6865893 ,  14.484604  ,\n",
             "         -2.81183111,  -9.39960864,  -2.54602392,   3.68909882,\n",
             "        -24.49409542, -16.28011384, -10.91151954,  -8.5307906 ,\n",
             "          2.43598362,  -4.09699466,  10.33640877,  -0.55995693,\n",
             "          9.73336933,  -2.23597018,   4.94884026,  22.56602132,\n",
             "         -1.9918486 ,   0.80951441, -16.31833213,  -0.70640355,\n",
             "         -2.59501952,  15.74261398,  -3.92602106,  -9.03868826,\n",
             "          1.87655875,  10.58675217, -12.47598659,  -9.51842084,\n",
             "         -7.16857818,   7.29783643, -11.29096051,  -7.52665637,\n",
             "         -3.05155216,  12.40238961,  15.74203286,   0.71468455,\n",
             "         14.40779551,   2.20704744,   0.23341729,   1.92197528,\n",
             "          4.93778421,   6.05324236,   8.20950636,   8.25857259,\n",
             "         -0.83667893, -16.65519519,   2.60531369, -10.87810026,\n",
             "          5.55216979,  -1.48794218,   7.12938328,   3.69411437,\n",
             "         -3.38518275,  -9.16799565,   4.71902208,   5.57183593,\n",
             "         -2.68217361, -20.08657762,  -5.3501308 ,  10.22345309,\n",
             "         -7.63437989,   8.03575602,   3.34685006,   8.67305504,\n",
             "          2.59656094,  -4.57751407, -18.81068169,   5.60396263,\n",
             "          1.88046394,  -4.64700998,  10.53285638,  10.88216996,\n",
             "        -15.4704597 , -17.16324701,  23.15485217,   6.64088808,\n",
             "         11.86872953,  14.95925366,   0.62114369,  14.64480913,\n",
             "        -16.43630294, -17.35430524,   5.41495195,  -6.9138404 ,\n",
             "         -6.7570762 ,   4.82901962]])
    • log_c_sigma
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      5.406 6.253 4.959 ... 4.735 5.409
      array([[5.40597153, 6.25281757, 4.95866099, 5.89435284, 5.69789655,\n",
             "        5.02265097, 5.52515525, 5.93230412, 4.55324729, 6.521242  ,\n",
             "        5.73845681, 1.03892351, 5.55288155, 5.88535611, 6.20492877,\n",
             "        4.54627315, 4.79876118, 5.5246373 , 5.99118177, 6.3797708 ,\n",
             "        5.1753156 , 3.84798729, 3.56571071, 4.63216152, 4.28308926,\n",
             "        5.99634443, 4.72585854, 5.43642172, 5.46098148, 6.01189304,\n",
             "        5.43982479, 4.74162964, 4.74157447, 4.29124966, 5.72702433,\n",
             "        5.88051338, 6.65556009, 5.29855658, 6.16192302, 5.02757623,\n",
             "        5.96937486, 5.33955916, 5.65653015, 5.93627733, 4.41590486,\n",
             "        6.77505619, 1.46473813, 3.8501781 , 5.70820203, 3.63885293,\n",
             "        5.13568152, 3.66230127, 4.83960594, 5.51299989, 2.90695175,\n",
             "        6.38475208, 5.04068766, 3.58825602, 4.02633069, 4.43295666,\n",
             "        4.28867261, 4.41350609, 5.27828432, 6.40862042, 5.56174956,\n",
             "        6.08048779, 5.63209349, 4.4936491 , 5.62338067, 6.21643387,\n",
             "        5.74364978, 5.10308019, 2.95803533, 3.95472741, 5.84254525,\n",
             "        6.14281764, 5.04250707, 6.41199802, 5.96631948, 6.47128764,\n",
             "        6.71887387, 5.36803156, 5.65557734, 5.96018326, 5.07817997,\n",
             "        4.49539205, 6.32549752, 6.09383534, 6.53420944, 5.95424247,\n",
             "        5.66969113, 5.79057308, 5.41974694, 5.92184013, 3.86965452,\n",
             "        4.57481928, 5.74436241, 3.79827376, 5.32896272, 2.02392334,\n",
             "        5.410573  , 5.15847669, 5.64064207, 6.66346638, 5.63506691,\n",
             "        3.93332735, 5.27423692, 4.81817385, 5.39416178, 6.3554758 ,\n",
             "        5.81308005, 6.68267622, 0.88618175, 3.22774298, 5.68083757,\n",
             "        5.62524682, 4.66535962, 4.91620393, 6.26947185, 3.21893843,\n",
             "        6.18814477, 4.63748638, 6.24727093, 3.53217849, 0.34719713,\n",
             "        5.86904343, 1.66463911, 5.4065881 , 5.41887941, 4.80663913,\n",
             "        4.31213674, 5.40731275, 5.93206986, 5.53936034, 5.96772214,\n",
             "        5.68600774, 5.81041477, 4.63505975, 6.34517862, 5.78148771,\n",
             "        5.22938887, 5.93345068, 5.54195577, 4.84213925, 6.32618921,\n",
             "        5.67145192, 4.08545152, 5.3869506 , 4.73534976, 5.40934494]])
    • c_sigma
      (chain, draw)
      float64
      3.731 6.33 4.664 ... 8.585 3.369
      array([[3.73089248e+00, 6.32990755e+00, 4.66422697e+00, 7.06917484e-01,\n",
             "        1.04804621e+01, 8.50401397e-01, 7.64728307e+00, 1.88032132e+00,\n",
             "        6.78712859e+00, 3.68919477e+00, 5.46394820e+00, 6.94290916e+00,\n",
             "        2.62635207e-01, 1.44548675e+00, 1.41893267e+00, 3.31045870e+00,\n",
             "        3.88916822e+00, 6.34931898e+00, 4.83305651e-01, 1.28620380e+01,\n",
             "        3.28824293e+00, 6.34247265e-01, 1.45377357e+00, 1.17305621e+00,\n",
             "        4.86919745e-01, 8.75922471e-01, 8.33427714e+00, 4.58825720e+00,\n",
             "        3.40043732e+00, 3.52869842e+00, 4.86302187e+00, 6.04005633e+00,\n",
             "        1.83588934e+00, 4.65736740e+00, 8.24870154e-01, 3.45462844e+00,\n",
             "        4.14852799e+00, 3.63117801e+00, 2.21702485e+00, 3.79592287e+00,\n",
             "        3.11138514e+00, 1.61036383e+01, 2.52371200e-01, 4.21879604e+00,\n",
             "        1.41933486e+00, 1.10916488e+01, 7.99026009e+00, 4.74538017e+00,\n",
             "        7.36724203e-02, 2.82338325e+00, 1.15389503e+01, 1.59795336e+00,\n",
             "        6.67146571e+00, 9.24220511e+00, 7.60253907e-02, 1.25670216e+01,\n",
             "        8.42329752e+00, 2.67757759e+00, 9.58342439e+00, 3.46236431e-01,\n",
             "        4.19345829e+00, 8.09071948e+00, 2.52457357e-01, 4.58545436e+00,\n",
             "        2.46358372e+00, 1.01465158e+01, 1.17557843e+00, 2.57332852e+00,\n",
             "        8.53380328e-02, 1.59112669e+00, 1.04136626e+00, 9.90654308e+00,\n",
             "        5.62579927e+00, 1.22845614e+01, 2.32243131e+00, 1.46749000e+00,\n",
             "        2.93658890e+00, 3.85216787e-01, 3.49183398e+00, 5.99665171e+00,\n",
             "        7.64294678e+00, 1.22097203e+01, 6.58648501e+00, 5.16580486e+00,\n",
             "        5.23382002e-01, 4.09990865e+00, 9.10276753e+00, 2.64849002e+00,\n",
             "        5.11912505e+00, 7.95130528e+00, 6.00268139e+00, 5.73111766e+00,\n",
             "        5.13099562e+00, 1.88176822e-01, 5.59955136e+00, 1.70565196e+00,\n",
             "        2.25557533e+00, 5.14689895e+00, 9.43946604e+00, 2.70256366e+00,\n",
             "        1.89730703e+00, 2.96556153e+00, 1.21059501e+00, 6.29097998e+00,\n",
             "        1.34008108e+00, 3.68699381e+00, 2.17890528e+00, 9.97340160e+00,\n",
             "        4.31685345e+00, 8.14748670e+00, 4.21935134e+00, 5.61984011e+00,\n",
             "        4.96142019e-01, 3.47363331e+00, 1.17980375e+01, 2.73234735e+00,\n",
             "        7.58965904e+00, 8.83641948e+00, 5.54577332e-01, 1.06431941e+00,\n",
             "        2.40087845e-01, 3.33122844e+00, 7.16951509e-01, 3.03546872e+00,\n",
             "        1.18884892e+01, 5.98354672e+00, 7.44343321e-01, 7.50045661e-01,\n",
             "        1.38170214e+00, 7.93953250e+00, 3.66206821e+00, 9.27649394e-01,\n",
             "        4.15268129e+00, 1.16546553e-02, 1.26548425e-02, 1.40689724e+00,\n",
             "        1.32472135e+01, 2.25434204e+00, 3.23006892e+00, 8.56609194e+00,\n",
             "        8.90205657e+00, 2.02797664e+00, 6.60338276e+00, 3.57604522e-01,\n",
             "        2.89313424e-01, 1.39415248e+00, 2.67683962e+00, 6.42744575e+00,\n",
             "        8.58517210e+00, 3.36883935e+00]])
  • created_at :
    2020-02-06T23:13:09.353739
    inference_library :
    pystan
    inference_library_version :
    2.19.1.1
" ], "text/plain": [ "\n", "Dimensions: (chain: 1, draw: 150)\n", "Coordinates:\n", " * chain (chain) int64 0\n", " * draw (draw) int64 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 ... 143 144 145 146 147 148 149\n", "Data variables:\n", " b0 (chain, draw) float64 -145.7 -285.1 290.2 ... -109.0 147.1\n", " b1 (chain, draw) float64 89.3 -230.2 -149.0 ... -103.5 309.6\n", " log_b_sigma (chain, draw) float64 5.406 6.253 4.959 ... 5.387 4.735 5.409\n", " b_sigma (chain, draw) float64 222.7 519.5 142.4 ... 218.5 113.9 223.5\n", " c0 (chain, draw) float64 17.01 -12.05 4.21 ... -12.06 0.4713 5.922\n", " c1 (chain, draw) float64 20.72 20.89 13.13 ... -6.914 -6.757 4.829\n", " log_c_sigma (chain, draw) float64 5.406 6.253 4.959 ... 5.387 4.735 5.409\n", " c_sigma (chain, draw) float64 3.731 6.33 4.664 ... 6.427 8.585 3.369\n", "Attributes:\n", " created_at: 2020-02-06T23:13:09.353739\n", " inference_library: pystan\n", " inference_library_version: 2.19.1.1" ] }, "execution_count": 16, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "idata_stan.prior" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 17, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide data repr\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide attributes\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "
xarray.Dataset
    • chain: 1
    • draw: 150
    • chain
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xarray.Dataset
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             "         -8.20273192e+02, -1.49726844e+03],\n",
             "        [-1.37997338e+02, -8.84647519e+01, -4.40718394e+01,\n",
             "          8.57794878e+01,  1.92584558e+02],\n",
             "        [-3.13923004e+02, -3.22019840e+02, -4.62305325e+02,\n",
             "         -8.85840540e+02, -1.20043181e+03],\n",
             "        [ 5.83288132e+02, -1.08598840e+02,  2.94274766e+02,\n",
             "          1.28900091e+01,  1.00359470e+03],\n",
             "        [ 1.47458009e+03,  1.89302093e+03,  2.34051790e+03,\n",
             "          4.00263958e+03,  5.96530888e+03],\n",
             "        [-8.88632565e+02, -1.21508052e+03, -1.89802827e+03,\n",
             "         -2.57731228e+03, -3.34820928e+03],\n",
             "        [-2.26451194e+00, -1.76287567e+01, -4.11174804e+01,\n",
             "         -9.07518449e+01, -1.61060520e+02],\n",
             "        [ 6.07765088e+02,  8.95103998e+02,  8.59292935e+02,\n",
             "          1.85839274e+03,  2.61704108e+03],\n",
             "        [-1.74592364e+02, -1.44285388e+01, -2.06023444e+02,\n",
             "         -2.49434329e+02, -2.50288308e+02],\n",
             "        [ 2.56137665e+02,  4.44166796e+02, -3.01489595e+02,\n",
             "         -1.15911351e+02,  4.39420000e+01],\n",
             "        [-1.27108570e+02,  8.83235541e+02,  2.77225564e+02,\n",
             "         -1.42018633e+03, -1.40301025e+03],\n",
             "        [-5.60303878e+02, -1.44322045e+03, -5.60182310e+02,\n",
             "         -9.85005228e+02, -1.55639545e+03],\n",
             "        [-7.91662992e+02, -1.11190497e+03, -1.35832231e+03,\n",
             "         -2.16806775e+03, -3.34223968e+03],\n",
             "        [-1.23231022e+03, -1.22632319e+03, -1.23106370e+03,\n",
             "         -2.06807971e+03, -2.61872959e+03],\n",
             "        [-5.73845572e+00, -1.90183414e+01,  3.75404627e+02,\n",
             "          4.01740736e+02,  3.69721047e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.03060002e+03, -1.31695166e+03, -1.08844587e+03,\n",
             "         -2.13796594e+03, -3.12699315e+03],\n",
             "        [ 2.16683423e+02, -3.04394544e+02,  8.91688987e+02,\n",
             "          3.56668555e+02, -8.94205132e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.25194238e+03,  2.02007299e+03,  1.62017942e+03,\n",
             "          2.66139376e+03,  3.65895804e+03],\n",
             "        [ 1.66266725e+03,  1.00084425e+03,  1.15259042e+03,\n",
             "          1.53332891e+03,  2.92982508e+03],\n",
             "        [-1.18488545e+02, -2.34637655e+02, -3.08495615e+02,\n",
             "         -6.84944877e+02, -1.14291376e+03],\n",
             "        [-5.28874883e+02, -6.94186027e+02, -8.51847780e+02,\n",
             "         -1.35890889e+03, -1.95436522e+03],\n",
             "        [-2.66254275e+03, -3.59416565e+03, -4.45609448e+03,\n",
             "         -6.77682196e+03, -1.04393907e+04],\n",
             "        [ 4.14220314e+02,  1.86661405e+02,  2.02484474e+01,\n",
             "          7.34910648e+02,  8.62975242e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.16409056e+03,  1.58180858e+03,  1.91042414e+03,\n",
             "          3.40074874e+03,  4.75999879e+03],\n",
             "        [ 8.86094025e+02,  1.63715214e+03,  1.77619593e+03,\n",
             "          3.33884946e+03,  5.00439966e+03],\n",
             "        [ 1.98032234e+02, -2.58002717e+02,  2.33568101e+02,\n",
             "          1.18367375e+03,  1.66609488e+03],\n",
             "        [ 4.15382796e+02,  4.95759508e+02,  4.23275970e+02,\n",
             "          7.37436134e+02,  9.56367159e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.47986910e+03, -2.36215614e+03, -1.91760015e+03,\n",
             "         -3.75444168e+03, -5.06596724e+03],\n",
             "        [ 6.76207295e+02,  9.11100442e+02,  8.96157764e+02,\n",
             "          1.48771991e+03,  2.35286467e+03],\n",
             "        [-6.47002679e+02,  2.13778123e+02, -3.68748139e+01,\n",
             "         -1.28372264e+03, -9.72510153e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.60220263e+03, -2.11906335e+03, -2.35410925e+03,\n",
             "         -3.92561549e+03, -5.75641277e+03],\n",
             "        [ 4.65359365e+00,  6.37829214e+01,  1.00000761e+02,\n",
             "          2.93164313e+02,  5.18580595e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.85272747e+03,  9.43696409e+02,  1.08981314e+03,\n",
             "          2.49398123e+03,  2.64654330e+03],\n",
             "        [-1.62126381e+02, -2.38893398e+02, -2.87077882e+02,\n",
             "         -5.47706340e+02, -8.46039999e+02],\n",
             "        [ 5.88139553e+02,  7.19406752e+02,  1.21125253e+03,\n",
             "          2.11043098e+03,  2.86617170e+03],\n",
             "        [ 2.26027666e+03,  3.15332773e+03,  3.55995127e+03,\n",
             "          5.99343784e+03,  9.26595391e+03],\n",
             "        [ 6.81306845e+01,  2.52051713e+02,  4.82891248e+02,\n",
             "          8.50296550e+02,  1.16383623e+03],\n",
             "        [ 2.15685589e+03,  2.85742797e+03,  3.36088046e+03,\n",
             "          5.77387686e+03,  8.66661057e+03],\n",
             "        [ 5.03657956e+02,  5.06327362e+02,  5.52084693e+02,\n",
             "          1.48883860e+03,  1.91092247e+03],\n",
             "        [-4.82383945e+02, -2.48244049e+02, -7.45211931e+02,\n",
             "         -7.94365850e+02,  2.34709057e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.83868391e+02, -5.12717213e+01,  4.88190975e-01,\n",
             "         -4.11419777e+02, -1.12307191e+03],\n",
             "        [-8.17143135e+02, -1.20794725e+03, -1.24167606e+03,\n",
             "         -2.22735782e+03, -2.93142914e+03],\n",
             "        [-8.36378497e+02, -6.68102365e+02, -4.21882622e+02,\n",
             "         -1.49001218e+03, -2.81067798e+03],\n",
             "        [-1.92247062e+03, -2.35636922e+03, -2.82447257e+03,\n",
             "         -4.48820573e+03, -6.05686474e+03],\n",
             "        [ 1.13767263e+03,  1.53672669e+03,  1.59502896e+03,\n",
             "          3.09905248e+03,  4.60481194e+03],\n",
             "        [-5.06955285e+02, -2.14505546e+02, -4.98500798e+02,\n",
             "         -1.19448657e+03, -2.12404198e+03],\n",
             "        [-8.73444440e+02, -1.67359735e+03, -1.89479999e+03,\n",
             "         -3.39765755e+03, -4.53619219e+03],\n",
             "        [ 1.15803688e+03,  1.49952330e+03,  1.48479280e+03,\n",
             "          2.89779104e+03,  4.73215595e+03],\n",
             "        [-9.56757774e+02, -1.11733878e+03, -1.11867257e+03,\n",
             "         -1.17587634e+03, -1.54289539e+03],\n",
             "        [-5.08526414e+02, -1.67205979e+03, -1.57126582e+03,\n",
             "         -2.34705052e+03, -2.91598615e+03],\n",
             "        [-8.38581715e+02, -1.38261003e+03, -1.64798061e+03,\n",
             "         -2.61591111e+03, -3.98346061e+03],\n",
             "        [ 1.59523797e+02,  8.99198410e+02,  3.33230426e+02,\n",
             "          1.29742509e+03,  1.95636941e+03],\n",
             "        [-1.82406169e+02, -1.00019305e+03, -9.31144693e+02,\n",
             "         -2.25271202e+03, -3.72457604e+03],\n",
             "        [ 1.79571891e+03,  2.42715336e+03,  2.78806836e+03,\n",
             "          4.73983525e+03,  7.29179964e+03],\n",
             "        [-7.76072143e+02, -7.73006792e+02, -5.32030267e+02,\n",
             "         -2.65522331e+03, -3.20349457e+03],\n",
             "        [-6.86928891e+02, -5.89173407e+02, -8.02347322e+02,\n",
             "         -1.44627098e+03, -1.78640237e+03],\n",
             "        [ 1.91260655e+03,  2.10918794e+03,  2.42040560e+03,\n",
             "          3.76737958e+03,  5.85878374e+03]]])
    • github_commits_hat
      (chain, draw, developer)
      float64
      116.6 146.3 165.7 ... 65.51 87.24
      array([[[ 1.16557169e+02,  1.46256710e+02,  1.65682206e+02,\n",
             "          2.59310816e+02,  3.94525910e+02],\n",
             "        [ 8.10676354e+01,  1.18243649e+02,  1.40167585e+02,\n",
             "          2.34500251e+02,  3.56865556e+02],\n",
             "        [ 5.51246389e+01,  8.69695950e+01,  9.20625714e+01,\n",
             "          1.60487372e+02,  2.46142483e+02],\n",
             "        [ 6.86966431e+01,  9.38037283e+01,  1.09072211e+02,\n",
             "          1.92192688e+02,  2.91930159e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.55731644e+01,  4.94939615e+01,  7.00075272e+01,\n",
             "          9.78374332e+01,  1.81763887e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.27792728e+01, -1.72173683e+01, -1.83906991e+01,\n",
             "         -3.42156108e+01, -5.37425196e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.82202712e+01,  2.78880006e+01,  3.37205905e+01,\n",
             "          5.65780306e+01,  9.45782607e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.35775342e+01,  1.86705907e+01,  2.57074150e+01,\n",
             "          4.29184598e+01,  7.21496524e+01],\n",
             "        [-2.39827100e+01, -2.52843804e+01, -2.44311886e+01,\n",
             "         -5.51565894e+01, -6.27320001e+01],\n",
             "        [-3.35506891e+01, -4.13227109e+01, -4.47246271e+01,\n",
             "         -8.67532947e+01, -1.21291723e+02],\n",
             "        [-5.19107171e+01, -6.43762663e+01, -8.17821509e+01,\n",
             "         -1.39277735e+02, -2.21104103e+02],\n",
             "        [-5.22194448e+01, -5.95933945e+01, -7.74550363e+01,\n",
             "         -1.08508819e+02, -1.67455641e+02],\n",
             "        [-4.10373361e+01, -5.56409637e+01, -6.52662026e+01,\n",
             "         -1.14638059e+02, -1.73102792e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.08316782e+00,  4.78621505e+00,  2.20652335e+00,\n",
             "          6.35676321e+00,  7.94633171e+00],\n",
             "        [ 1.91102198e+01,  2.76367943e+01,  3.37952735e+01,\n",
             "          5.89075428e+01,  9.37490900e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.03947593e-01, -2.88290356e+00, -5.10631400e+00,\n",
             "         -1.46729299e+01, -1.57479134e+01],\n",
             "        [-2.98213032e+01, -4.87772795e+01, -4.18817867e+01,\n",
             "         -8.42838650e+01, -1.42175361e+02],\n",
             "        [ 5.70341991e+01,  8.43657739e+01,  9.25713601e+01,\n",
             "          1.30961649e+02,  1.94836778e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.21311966e+01,  1.56784795e+01,  1.81489439e+01,\n",
             "          3.32604656e+01,  5.10700335e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.31322365e+01, -1.67421315e-01, -1.73710356e+01,\n",
             "          1.93391067e+01,  2.16630211e+01],\n",
             "        [-4.71074190e+01, -5.75041879e+01, -7.07919734e+01,\n",
             "         -1.16174965e+02, -1.75491136e+02],\n",
             "        [-8.33142180e+01, -1.09242913e+02, -1.28383430e+02,\n",
             "         -2.18589009e+02, -3.26920762e+02],\n",
             "        [-4.85605965e+01, -6.97640364e+01, -8.41886080e+01,\n",
             "         -1.58528039e+02, -2.43570008e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.04903820e+01,  1.89955762e+01,  2.22130955e+01,\n",
             "          4.77985025e+01,  7.54706616e+01],\n",
             "        [-6.91952489e+01, -9.35080078e+01, -1.08959694e+02,\n",
             "         -1.89764696e+02, -2.85332511e+02],\n",
             "        [ 6.39147830e+00,  7.27560155e+00,  1.06610167e+01,\n",
             "          1.86633309e+01,  2.88138166e+01],\n",
             "        [-8.28163354e+00, -1.86147930e+01, -1.60106526e+01,\n",
             "         -8.57794042e+00, -1.32096767e+01],\n",
             "        [-1.04633735e+01, -6.02300864e+00,  8.87716479e-01,\n",
             "          7.46371352e+00,  2.28863089e+01],\n",
             "        [-6.17883331e+01, -8.62587063e+01, -9.90068709e+01,\n",
             "         -1.66826654e+02, -2.63401341e+02],\n",
             "        [ 7.32621048e+01,  8.56012386e+01,  1.13545936e+02,\n",
             "          1.94036803e+02,  2.88387757e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.74813343e+01,  1.27995099e+01,  2.47612969e+01,\n",
             "          3.87468035e+01,  6.78228080e+01],\n",
             "        [-6.02079354e+01, -7.89067633e+01, -1.00252917e+02,\n",
             "         -1.64417597e+02, -2.34633726e+02],\n",
             "        [ 5.48819022e+01,  7.60133307e+01,  8.88035209e+01,\n",
             "          1.30233270e+02,  1.93995639e+02],\n",
             "        [ 9.90127101e+00,  1.84152068e+01,  2.90623345e+01,\n",
             "          6.83638762e+01,  1.20354849e+02],\n",
             "        [-4.55833105e+01, -5.87567755e+01, -7.00907535e+01,\n",
             "         -1.16475997e+02, -1.72444915e+02],\n",
             "        [-3.06452365e+01, -4.20967569e+01, -5.12240735e+01,\n",
             "         -7.86769735e+01, -1.23633125e+02],\n",
             "        [-6.02524370e+00,  4.24521908e-01, -3.24607295e+00,\n",
             "         -2.26803817e+01, -3.17845056e+01],\n",
             "        [-1.48139413e+01, -2.81283612e+01, -4.27811170e+01,\n",
             "         -5.64328422e+01, -8.95657862e+01],\n",
             "        [-3.43279363e+01, -4.73483978e+01, -5.21176808e+01,\n",
             "         -9.34753570e+01, -1.38126639e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.25980189e+02,  1.63438162e+02,  1.82513000e+02,\n",
             "          3.22845306e+02,  4.77577836e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.68968398e+01, -9.28484234e+00, -1.81746669e+01,\n",
             "         -2.55275658e+01, -5.10851517e+01],\n",
             "        [-2.29262528e+01,  6.59763634e+00, -1.49606549e+01,\n",
             "         -1.10777123e+01, -2.23351278e+01],\n",
             "        [-4.17833498e+01, -5.49388555e+01, -6.43181145e+01,\n",
             "         -1.09589580e+02, -1.64234614e+02],\n",
             "        [-2.88159595e+01, -3.62864094e+01, -4.01027276e+01,\n",
             "         -6.42404746e+01, -9.65360366e+01],\n",
             "        [-1.41836179e+01, -1.84763183e+01, -2.40293567e+01,\n",
             "         -3.47960016e+01, -5.25527036e+01],\n",
             "        [ 6.71097623e+00,  1.72487350e+00,  4.53655115e-01,\n",
             "          2.67188694e+01,  3.21102358e+01],\n",
             "        [-6.22084347e+01, -8.90022496e+01, -1.18118326e+02,\n",
             "         -2.12074602e+02, -2.92301003e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.17924116e+02,  1.56151986e+02,  1.87074480e+02,\n",
             "          3.09687618e+02,  4.58100785e+02],\n",
             "        [ 4.34862769e+01,  6.21963637e+01,  7.44338436e+01,\n",
             "          1.36120720e+02,  2.10186425e+02],\n",
             "        [ 8.46038605e+01,  1.14793514e+02,  1.33518366e+02,\n",
             "          2.20873457e+02,  3.25487915e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.42458527e+01,  1.54878098e+01,  2.74037587e+01,\n",
             "          6.45394090e+01,  1.03095214e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.51259905e+01, -2.19125055e+01, -2.70905366e+01,\n",
             "         -5.48167512e+01, -8.47470736e+01],\n",
             "        [ 7.76605780e+00,  1.29107384e+01,  2.01707628e+01,\n",
             "          3.19883428e+01,  3.35092900e+01],\n",
             "        [-7.61241231e-01,  2.23048365e+01, -4.26390440e+00,\n",
             "          3.62460492e+01,  3.87289674e+01],\n",
             "        [-5.45442573e+01, -7.67999053e+01, -9.19151261e+01,\n",
             "         -1.66398823e+02, -2.55944286e+02],\n",
             "        [-3.00923812e+01, -9.84401891e+00, -1.11167808e+01,\n",
             "         -1.28850114e+01, -4.14009501e+01],\n",
             "        [-2.08818994e+01, -1.41972733e+01, -1.21917845e+01,\n",
             "          4.82508575e+00, -1.76827711e+01],\n",
             "        [-5.13286541e+01, -7.36919865e+01, -7.54487167e+01,\n",
             "         -1.44621104e+02, -2.17309634e+02],\n",
             "        [-6.23101360e+01, -8.62173492e+01, -1.05659316e+02,\n",
             "         -1.66329680e+02, -2.36779774e+02],\n",
             "        [ 4.50226069e+01,  5.91065667e+01,  6.81882635e+01,\n",
             "          1.14469309e+02,  1.69759857e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.94006692e+01,  3.92468159e+01,  4.24128021e+01,\n",
             "          7.89294817e+01,  1.08036919e+02],\n",
             "        [-9.05508815e+00, -1.19034416e+01, -1.79372881e+01,\n",
             "         -2.39649355e+01, -4.21739039e+01],\n",
             "        [-3.88440421e+01, -5.14814365e+01, -6.02957899e+01,\n",
             "         -1.03475941e+02, -1.55664955e+02],\n",
             "        [ 7.79002202e+01,  1.04575779e+02,  1.14424186e+02,\n",
             "          1.85979080e+02,  2.67653710e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.55824107e+01, -1.37626205e+01, -2.26197732e+01,\n",
             "         -3.38069069e+01, -5.18538948e+01],\n",
             "        [-6.43341987e+01, -5.84756975e+01, -6.37549571e+01,\n",
             "         -1.30925343e+02, -1.70796052e+02],\n",
             "        [-2.27600953e+01, -2.48651492e+01, -2.91252704e+01,\n",
             "         -4.06428341e+01, -5.65983047e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.27073374e+01,  2.92411432e+01,  3.33737730e+01,\n",
             "          5.28993824e+01,  7.01843518e+01],\n",
             "        [-1.26163606e+02, -1.62986788e+02, -1.87536142e+02,\n",
             "         -3.09740696e+02, -4.56775712e+02],\n",
             "        [-6.98978541e+01, -9.52316206e+01, -1.11548299e+02,\n",
             "         -1.92448330e+02, -2.90672944e+02],\n",
             "        [-4.64008969e+01, -6.39992096e+01, -7.45200653e+01,\n",
             "         -1.28574395e+02, -1.95107545e+02],\n",
             "        [-5.49374190e+01, -5.96256851e+01, -9.19272669e+01,\n",
             "         -1.26160774e+02, -1.87826923e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.08776339e+01,  1.04196836e+01,  2.84855574e+00,\n",
             "          1.94446189e+01,  4.52248600e+01],\n",
             "        [-2.88092295e+01, -3.85402959e+01, -2.52709536e+01,\n",
             "         -6.45265378e+01, -6.39290144e+01],\n",
             "        [ 5.30796753e+01,  6.85137235e+01,  7.27171683e+01,\n",
             "          1.27806935e+02,  1.92091680e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.30814533e+01, -1.10317559e+01, -1.27901505e+01,\n",
             "         -1.49211707e+01, -2.15627097e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.31641129e+01,  3.99635855e+01,  5.14514803e+01,\n",
             "          1.00536587e+02,  1.54360187e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.71937426e+01, -2.06995584e+01, -2.31152692e+01,\n",
             "         -3.44496361e+01, -4.79807370e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.74175170e+01,  3.93426937e+01,  4.12996523e+01,\n",
             "          6.58216791e+01,  9.40539070e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.08458105e+02,  1.27640178e+02,  1.54944850e+02,\n",
             "          2.66703411e+02,  4.08601927e+02],\n",
             "        [-1.52110252e+01, -8.65467508e+00, -8.73599642e+00,\n",
             "         -1.78295038e+01, -3.41244740e+01],\n",
             "        [ 7.74736479e+00,  1.68721532e+01, -3.62152139e+00,\n",
             "          2.95469629e+01,  3.24041264e+01],\n",
             "        [-6.51111889e+01, -9.24445518e+01, -1.00008228e+02,\n",
             "         -2.01813214e+02, -2.81447467e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.06200636e+01,  1.19762941e+01,  1.19665360e+01,\n",
             "          1.85217633e+00,  4.67912162e+00],\n",
             "        [-7.50468905e+00, -1.05357961e+01, -1.32832217e+01,\n",
             "         -2.52782171e+01, -4.23199678e+01],\n",
             "        [ 6.35420367e+01,  8.38474013e+01,  1.01979800e+02,\n",
             "          1.88892648e+02,  2.74327620e+02],\n",
             "        [-5.60800383e+00, -7.41664167e+00, -1.42311024e+01,\n",
             "         -3.09512662e+01, -5.18204364e+01],\n",
             "        [-4.78491555e+01, -6.50295148e+01, -7.65101646e+01,\n",
             "         -1.19835094e+02, -1.70237081e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.58855340e+00,  1.22299084e+01,  1.79855371e+01,\n",
             "          2.30357215e+01,  3.23706128e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.43305927e+01,  5.79472821e+01,  6.08953465e+01,\n",
             "          1.19515254e+02,  1.62431240e+02],\n",
             "        [-5.31649474e+01, -7.16358573e+01, -8.04067373e+01,\n",
             "         -1.48158498e+02, -2.12184421e+02],\n",
             "        [-4.63269943e+01, -6.00657084e+01, -7.29575887e+01,\n",
             "         -1.26077335e+02, -1.70763372e+02],\n",
             "        [-3.77308884e+01, -5.00163189e+01, -5.17738545e+01,\n",
             "         -8.86827305e+01, -1.26549317e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.03543635e+01,  4.12624937e+01,  4.83635950e+01,\n",
             "          8.48259107e+01,  1.28540734e+02],\n",
             "        [-6.08858955e+01, -6.60151554e+01, -8.95972758e+01,\n",
             "         -1.47267863e+02, -2.07012114e+02],\n",
             "        [-5.29183055e+01, -6.26408469e+01, -6.79488605e+01,\n",
             "         -1.06800707e+02, -1.53275020e+02],\n",
             "        [-3.06750026e+01, -4.07709097e+01, -3.58932998e+01,\n",
             "         -5.59645767e+01, -7.00966973e+01],\n",
             "        [ 6.26873510e+01,  7.70536152e+01,  8.59423590e+01,\n",
             "          1.55112294e+02,  2.22143735e+02],\n",
             "        [ 9.80128621e+01,  1.17612735e+02,  1.37713570e+02,\n",
             "          2.10752596e+02,  3.19531148e+02],\n",
             "        [ 2.27845969e+01,  1.93215146e+01,  2.77733017e+01,\n",
             "          2.69350102e+01,  2.96729915e+01],\n",
             "        [ 7.05515745e+01,  9.06370763e+01,  1.06323569e+02,\n",
             "          1.81635147e+02,  2.67418515e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.39577768e+01,  2.18614982e+01,  2.06318213e+01,\n",
             "          3.38582942e+01,  4.68818108e+01],\n",
             "        [ 5.05412672e+00,  4.06533726e+00,  3.84100067e+00,\n",
             "          5.05583105e+00,  7.83667253e+00],\n",
             "        [ 6.65599739e+00,  1.76135144e+01,  9.20206777e+00,\n",
             "          4.54589930e+01,  4.66697721e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.11897414e+01,  2.72207552e+01,  3.03545603e+01,\n",
             "          5.60827032e+01,  8.55533245e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.83347262e+01,  3.62134450e+01,  3.80721749e+01,\n",
             "          6.55424971e+01,  1.00526388e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.38468833e+01,  4.65939622e+01,  5.90939154e+01,\n",
             "          9.80404325e+01,  1.45592410e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.48075249e+01,  5.10650910e+01,  6.23682589e+01,\n",
             "          9.55893055e+01,  1.32230618e+02],\n",
             "        [-2.65576816e+01, -2.20402407e+01, -3.39650775e+01,\n",
             "         -2.98176203e+01, -3.85860388e+01],\n",
             "        [-6.06796632e+01, -9.19543652e+01, -1.09337870e+02,\n",
             "         -1.82367993e+02, -2.91065914e+02],\n",
             "        [ 4.02310500e-01, -5.25488973e+00,  3.83878913e+00,\n",
             "          1.74453996e+01,  2.97767291e+01],\n",
             "        [-5.77139494e+01, -7.29778978e+01, -8.90965954e+01,\n",
             "         -1.44485905e+02, -2.12926190e+02],\n",
             "        [ 2.34990927e+01,  3.24222206e+01,  3.72719660e+01,\n",
             "          6.40390959e+01,  9.82042395e+01],\n",
             "        [-5.68277526e+00, -3.85487750e+00, -2.22766070e+00,\n",
             "         -8.14948557e+00, -2.27636161e+01],\n",
             "        [ 5.21088363e+01,  5.38981491e+01,  5.57358753e+01,\n",
             "          1.04490631e+02,  1.31853067e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.57524330e+01,  3.97302335e+01,  4.38819927e+01,\n",
             "          6.53845756e+01,  8.52101602e+01],\n",
             "        [-1.10090753e+01, -1.93408864e+01, -2.79051972e+01,\n",
             "         -3.49342787e+01, -7.12726246e+01],\n",
             "        [-2.74882813e+01, -4.19595403e+01, -4.14723172e+01,\n",
             "         -9.00882912e+01, -1.50646361e+02],\n",
             "        [ 3.66251622e+01,  4.52488720e+01,  4.95859615e+01,\n",
             "          7.21222641e+01,  9.99132635e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.85596706e+01,  2.63843125e+01,  3.16714031e+01,\n",
             "          6.00952466e+01,  9.10057957e+01],\n",
             "        [-1.51937385e+01, -1.90870596e+01, -2.24828479e+01,\n",
             "         -3.53073055e+01, -5.11241105e+01],\n",
             "        [-8.95989778e+01, -1.20632330e+02, -1.39832501e+02,\n",
             "         -2.38605121e+02, -3.64958739e+02],\n",
             "        [-4.72356814e+01, -5.61899213e+01, -5.96950688e+01,\n",
             "         -8.68394375e+01, -1.19623234e+02],\n",
             "        [ 5.22592847e+01,  6.67890783e+01,  7.43000490e+01,\n",
             "          1.32201921e+02,  1.90554426e+02],\n",
             "        [-3.49499133e+01, -5.39731167e+01, -1.69162021e+01,\n",
             "         -8.81748628e+01, -1.20897497e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.75825307e+01,  3.06160348e+01,  4.53069169e+01,\n",
             "          9.37376874e+01,  1.36237524e+02],\n",
             "        [ 2.09149152e+01,  2.45062333e+01,  2.88804052e+01,\n",
             "          4.51564202e+01,  6.53380103e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.80746464e+01,  5.08021025e+01,  5.93925848e+01,\n",
             "          1.03872495e+02,  1.54047596e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.79833450e+01,  1.65522184e+01,  2.30452348e+01,\n",
             "          3.61408856e+01,  4.92511565e+01],\n",
             "        [-4.60514123e+01, -3.08982451e+01, -5.12892656e+01,\n",
             "         -7.67510213e+01, -1.04779323e+02],\n",
             "        [-8.60215083e+01, -1.09292617e+02, -1.22297938e+02,\n",
             "         -2.21639073e+02, -3.33666770e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.09394869e+00,  9.16428478e+00,  1.48963914e+01,\n",
             "          4.35980038e+01,  7.76368238e+01],\n",
             "        [-2.33877732e+01, -1.84462917e+01, -2.59733769e+01,\n",
             "         -1.39414998e+01, -1.22810372e+00],\n",
             "        [-2.69836066e+01, -3.39479041e+01, -3.85972983e+01,\n",
             "         -6.18343182e+01, -8.97164961e+01],\n",
             "        [ 5.94601427e+01,  7.52703569e+01,  8.57991029e+01,\n",
             "          1.38464423e+02,  2.01629063e+02],\n",
             "        [ 6.17719156e+01,  7.83458582e+01,  9.09005596e+01,\n",
             "          1.42350816e+02,  2.06042209e+02],\n",
             "        [-6.93713272e+01, -7.43641197e+01, -1.06949708e+02,\n",
             "         -1.68975211e+02, -2.80514141e+02],\n",
             "        [-7.90870487e+01, -1.03459350e+02, -1.20993489e+02,\n",
             "         -2.07926952e+02, -3.08091353e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.27313136e+02,  1.67485538e+02,  1.88605265e+02,\n",
             "          3.03197944e+02,  4.49948683e+02],\n",
             "        [ 2.34328090e+01,  3.30701641e+01,  3.83954836e+01,\n",
             "          8.93827750e+01,  1.18997688e+02],\n",
             "        [ 5.70804807e+01,  6.83267774e+01,  8.20434087e+01,\n",
             "          1.38014559e+02,  2.18621966e+02],\n",
             "        [ 5.92482069e+01,  8.32416236e+01,  9.74401975e+01,\n",
             "          1.72220980e+02,  2.61497583e+02],\n",
             "        [-5.22317230e+00,  4.89695706e+00,  3.42258085e-01,\n",
             "          5.36431650e+00,  1.14228706e+01],\n",
             "        [ 6.18016911e+01,  8.35294957e+01,  9.81001353e+01,\n",
             "          1.71269384e+02,  2.59223178e+02],\n",
             "        [-4.73469651e+01, -7.19771395e+01, -8.77368907e+01,\n",
             "         -1.70475020e+02, -2.69243846e+02],\n",
             "        [-7.06393906e+01, -9.57019095e+01, -1.13389690e+02,\n",
             "         -2.02576471e+02, -3.05343060e+02],\n",
             "        [ 2.15481565e+01,  3.30363308e+01,  3.54835831e+01,\n",
             "          6.42177435e+01,  9.47511752e+01],\n",
             "        [-4.62538052e+01, -5.69507536e+01, -6.10513641e+01,\n",
             "         -9.63081404e+01, -1.33811543e+02],\n",
             "        [-2.77578159e+01, -3.61535928e+01, -4.62031211e+01,\n",
             "         -9.76704187e+01, -1.25366570e+02],\n",
             "        [ 2.63210667e+01,  3.68040027e+01,  4.02995697e+01,\n",
             "          6.55146271e+01,  8.72385386e+01]]])
  • created_at :
    2020-02-06T23:13:09.359003
    inference_library :
    pystan
    inference_library_version :
    2.19.1.1
" ], "text/plain": [ "\n", "Dimensions: (chain: 1, developer: 5, draw: 150)\n", "Coordinates:\n", " * chain (chain) int64 0\n", " * draw (draw) int64 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ... 144 145 146 147 148 149\n", " * developer (developer) object 'Alice' 'Bob' ... 'Danielle' 'Erika'\n", "Data variables:\n", " slack_comments_hat (chain, draw, developer) float64 275.9 ... 5.859e+03\n", " github_commits_hat (chain, draw, developer) float64 116.6 146.3 ... 87.24\n", "Attributes:\n", " created_at: 2020-02-06T23:13:09.359003\n", " inference_library: pystan\n", " inference_library_version: 2.19.1.1" ] }, "execution_count": 18, "metadata": {}, "output_type": "execute_result" } ], "source": [ "idata_stan.prior_predictive" ] }, { "cell_type": "code", "execution_count": 19, "metadata": {}, "outputs": [ { "data": { "text/html": [ "
\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide data repr\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide attributes\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "
xarray.Dataset
    • candidate developer: 2
    • chain: 4
    • draw: 100
    • chain
      (chain)
      int64
      0 1 2 3
      array([0, 1, 2, 3])
    • draw
      (draw)
      int64
      0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ... 94 95 96 97 98 99
      array([ 0,  1,  2,  3,  4,  5,  6,  7,  8,  9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17,\n",
             "       18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35,\n",
             "       36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53,\n",
             "       54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71,\n",
             "       72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 87, 88, 89,\n",
             "       90, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99])
    • candidate developer
      (candidate developer)
      <U7
      'Francis' 'Gerard'
      array(['Francis', 'Gerard'], dtype='<U7')
    • slack_comments_pred
      (chain, draw, candidate developer)
      float64
      7.217e+03 8.952e+03 ... 6.665e+03
      array([[[ 7217.015838  ,  8952.24613253],\n",
             "        [ 3478.12480123,  6039.72857819],\n",
             "        [ 5194.47331659,  7530.22657074],\n",
             "        [ 5953.10348114,  6684.73101919],\n",
             "        [ 1247.10846813,  9804.95135494],\n",
             "        [ 3192.32879178, 10836.84990286],\n",
             "        [ 3360.25711448,  7296.47782807],\n",
             "        [ 6322.21022138,  5383.93094002],\n",
             "        [ 8185.2274902 ,  8238.87105841],\n",
             "        [ 5742.4653092 ,  7631.09355976],\n",
             "        [ 5521.52043511,  9589.35083987],\n",
             "        [ 7846.98811067,  9161.43857951],\n",
             "        [ 5977.18987886,  8381.5397656 ],\n",
             "        [ 5341.95948395, 10395.96737616],\n",
             "        [ 7557.14207659,  8215.88768799],\n",
             "        [ 7521.95133634,  9413.886395  ],\n",
             "        [ 6903.89573427,  9343.83123183],\n",
             "        [ 6271.56457076,  5670.61182976],\n",
             "        [ 5082.19692259,  7031.64560569],\n",
             "        [ 6078.1363715 ,  7011.79560281],\n",
             "        [ 4607.01174381, 11884.37129638],\n",
             "        [ 4841.6631327 ,  7084.81126271],\n",
             "        [ 9081.6152    ,  7310.14481832],\n",
             "        [ 2387.76496733,  7093.33560795],\n",
             "        [ 6850.97733653,  8469.13089437],\n",
             "        [ 6816.8072413 ,  8270.00685642],\n",
             "        [10633.03317221,  8301.4845247 ],\n",
             "        [ 6122.42559611,  9305.00605296],\n",
             "        [ 6771.70371522,  9196.53497724],\n",
             "        [ 6275.29663844,  8965.17775355],\n",
             "        [ 5590.93978336,  9479.88518576],\n",
             "        [ 9279.08990866,  7856.71000028],\n",
             "        [ 5459.96318692,  8002.05072113],\n",
             "        [ 6183.03466573,  6616.3308096 ],\n",
             "        [ 5384.66206168,  7534.15202225],\n",
             "        [ 4767.46696105,  9103.12891485],\n",
             "        [ 8804.10655948, 10355.9889411 ],\n",
             "        [ 3209.8027591 , 10069.43588294],\n",
             "        [ 7261.7755273 ,  5102.56215286],\n",
             "        [ 5696.12963928,  7768.70066223],\n",
             "        [ 6077.87256508, 11596.46176072],\n",
             "        [ 3176.29311876,  7486.37295253],\n",
             "        [ 7097.00368859, 10628.59827834],\n",
             "        [ 6750.38287386,  7651.42769344],\n",
             "        [ 9949.63125647,  5148.49151465],\n",
             "        [ 5583.68319075, 10226.45536377],\n",
             "        [ 5584.32899018,  5417.22966027],\n",
             "        [ 6244.53750377,  9185.16120218],\n",
             "        [ 5121.07420135,  9961.84307304],\n",
             "        [ 7323.49359127, 11633.17905456],\n",
             "        [ 6066.07033888,  9398.28266613],\n",
             "        [ 7230.07717638,  7022.1646149 ],\n",
             "        [ 4032.53084311,  4826.7700112 ],\n",
             "        [ 5687.97360652,  9999.22107556],\n",
             "        [ 8727.31205544,  9194.92274221],\n",
             "        [ 6553.40939358,  5684.87267398],\n",
             "        [ 5067.07770588,  8201.16836722],\n",
             "        [ 5076.02545227,  9092.3555426 ],\n",
             "        [ 5279.99876014,  6337.31517691],\n",
             "        [ 3569.88749482,  9000.80713214],\n",
             "        [ 7553.57108956,  7455.01035215],\n",
             "        [ 5916.50358115,  8539.91291111],\n",
             "        [ 6585.43248427,  8296.70703829],\n",
             "        [ 7436.0566328 ,  9239.93775585],\n",
             "        [ 5505.33853703,  7487.62138024],\n",
             "        [ 6604.39311155,  5701.71093664],\n",
             "        [ 4825.25046595,  9031.48943549],\n",
             "        [ 3825.233836  ,  7629.88634581],\n",
             "        [ 5599.79647612,  6095.11219174],\n",
             "        [ 4083.47946877,  7678.2992321 ],\n",
             "        [ 7085.16004126,  7895.18581587],\n",
             "        [ 7990.409176  , 10223.07452848],\n",
             "        [ 5667.43942615,  5165.29254735],\n",
             "        [ 7560.14943557,  4771.65282563],\n",
             "        [ 6516.05288279,  6193.23333542],\n",
             "        [ 7139.82909388,  8998.15717375],\n",
             "        [ 1557.04818872,  4850.46503359],\n",
             "        [ 4508.57482812, 11970.71876491],\n",
             "        [ 6817.59766234,  7407.85840977],\n",
             "        [ 8145.50275731,  7936.35549466],\n",
             "        [ 4450.07954083,  6435.04512252],\n",
             "        [ 5331.70559894,  8363.21595774],\n",
             "        [ 5774.12180362,  9830.62262254],\n",
             "        [ 7887.42185779,  7487.14682803],\n",
             "        [ 6663.45516559,  7546.51115963],\n",
             "        [ 4522.98802039,  6820.07434009],\n",
             "        [ 6593.686167  , 11321.43745446],\n",
             "        [ 4384.76519263,  8487.62360454],\n",
             "        [ 3853.4699759 ,  6773.8515114 ],\n",
             "        [ 2853.12431524,  5034.20699277],\n",
             "        [ 6522.0977305 ,  7254.99556072],\n",
             "        [ 5383.00641945,  7283.17637754],\n",
             "        [ 6841.41265431,  7233.90211255],\n",
             "        [ 8584.39254552,  7173.70879474],\n",
             "        [ 5073.94251444,  7408.09318392],\n",
             "        [ 6807.29393387, 11534.86626246],\n",
             "        [ 5820.86469981,  7640.9720797 ],\n",
             "        [ 5831.91681925,  6793.89679942],\n",
             "        [ 5201.69626916,  8502.30139278],\n",
             "        [ 3172.72421885,  8395.68109401]],\n",
             "\n",
             "       [[ 5258.27502559,  2433.77975518],\n",
             "        [ 5289.12809359,  8397.77401493],\n",
             "        [ 7107.06443316,  8492.47541141],\n",
             "        [ 7504.32953891,  8537.81445475],\n",
             "        [ 2990.72944206,  3516.06646287],\n",
             "        [ 6933.82536667,  2450.23383639],\n",
             "        [ 4434.79171833,  5709.57522484],\n",
             "        [ 2713.10125835,  5916.07095507],\n",
             "        [ 6555.96623489,  3773.64168915],\n",
             "        [ 6540.67917655,  9139.11967161],\n",
             "        [ 4602.76023531,  7999.94363618],\n",
             "        [ 9624.0921304 ,  7128.47084853],\n",
             "        [ 6037.61019784,  6505.78314636],\n",
             "        [ 5369.0535387 ,  7172.14509156],\n",
             "        [ 1701.27810486,  9330.41167259],\n",
             "        [ 6571.71725345,  5512.92238399],\n",
             "        [ 6199.04505167,  8510.39120657],\n",
             "        [ 5585.07843532,  6954.37027409],\n",
             "        [ 2860.58666751,  6917.02402529],\n",
             "        [ 7384.53790526,  5478.68066143],\n",
             "        [ 3655.07042847,  5652.42788047],\n",
             "        [ 2933.07204385,  5739.66302879],\n",
             "        [ 3275.29140976,  7095.80524865],\n",
             "        [ 4119.11176762,  7006.67804502],\n",
             "        [ 6743.09015227,  6249.19948961],\n",
             "        [ 4828.16373074,  8328.52223442],\n",
             "        [ 5878.41306123,  6849.34529464],\n",
             "        [ 7157.69220884,  8129.75537369],\n",
             "        [ 4476.48108563,  5667.60872683],\n",
             "        [ 7590.06593398, 10389.83089844],\n",
             "        [ 4014.19233296,  5256.25708989],\n",
             "        [ 6029.93658028,  9576.58631234],\n",
             "        [ 7745.60798318,  6358.27518053],\n",
             "        [ 3688.65843293,  6654.57100148],\n",
             "        [ 2247.66374499,  8849.99823082],\n",
             "        [ 8013.32442168,  5256.03171556],\n",
             "        [ 5761.17049418,  8994.87104435],\n",
             "        [ 4730.69169911,  4923.47955358],\n",
             "        [ 3431.52540885,  7900.86054109],\n",
             "        [ 5570.62010272,  4099.06255063],\n",
             "        [ 7146.77666267,  9557.75157838],\n",
             "        [ 8126.44297153,  5418.16579835],\n",
             "        [ 5239.0507451 , 10056.72970933],\n",
             "        [ 6503.60413858,  4657.7443763 ],\n",
             "        [ 5015.45947205,  6128.20170153],\n",
             "        [ 5269.45682953,  9668.82679919],\n",
             "        [ 4186.67970068, 10306.03141682],\n",
             "        [ 5394.35985383,  7989.44179094],\n",
             "        [  460.01222439,  7223.92675101],\n",
             "        [ 5351.39935502,  8404.84312359],\n",
             "        [ 3549.15787859,  6004.22392564],\n",
             "        [ 5318.18572241,  8995.97076033],\n",
             "        [ 8128.40976904,  8737.25304893],\n",
             "        [ 5257.38927132,  7594.22287118],\n",
             "        [ 6942.55204119, 12572.61155528],\n",
             "        [ 5802.73028611,  9873.59421625],\n",
             "        [ 9458.42655637,  7891.25177471],\n",
             "        [ 7560.99944319,  8481.66116952],\n",
             "        [ 5587.72756683,  7209.41462542],\n",
             "        [ 7921.4787779 ,  7418.51602081],\n",
             "        [ 6652.9998974 ,  8530.23472842],\n",
             "        [ 5401.4009897 , 11884.56987249],\n",
             "        [ 7339.7778629 ,  9990.28439162],\n",
             "        [ 5611.24403919, 10368.55256883],\n",
             "        [ 5485.76764542,  8372.12994108],\n",
             "        [ 4611.37580794,  5115.02831957],\n",
             "        [ 6398.28905265,  9556.18213344],\n",
             "        [ 6292.72082522,  8225.73226826],\n",
             "        [ 8269.91157146,  8168.67137733],\n",
             "        [ 6981.21575557,  6776.20181313],\n",
             "        [ 6589.12101872,  6467.5270635 ],\n",
             "        [ 4477.10507779,  5315.49967467],\n",
             "        [ 5290.33659618,  8740.09696615],\n",
             "        [ 6013.72979403,  8200.56449433],\n",
             "        [ 6472.3069248 ,  8769.41560809],\n",
             "        [ 6618.966613  , 11000.27231013],\n",
             "        [ 8578.7806555 ,  6486.50407632],\n",
             "        [ 3430.09465918, 10603.60700728],\n",
             "        [ 4539.01502875,  7918.84524311],\n",
             "        [ 7002.28785659,  7272.31676356],\n",
             "        [ 7111.31311408,  8063.13529822],\n",
             "        [ 5736.77971136,  6894.11597829],\n",
             "        [ 4673.84219691,  9640.01013395],\n",
             "        [ 2472.44244177, 11366.68144905],\n",
             "        [ 7164.08270176,  5400.9941849 ],\n",
             "        [ 3683.34294977,  7189.53939027],\n",
             "        [ 3423.49860878,  8158.7768685 ],\n",
             "        [ 6065.65028068,  9728.17914892],\n",
             "        [ 2826.90449969,  8948.67912308],\n",
             "        [ 7013.79733393,  8707.97300957],\n",
             "        [ 8401.53007058,  6904.79038188],\n",
             "        [ 6801.06764903,  5657.70807417],\n",
             "        [ 3450.40067476,  8017.97705912],\n",
             "        [ 6553.00329567,  8014.02062113],\n",
             "        [ 5487.37733976, 10236.36690361],\n",
             "        [ 6020.49460207,  7150.96189246],\n",
             "        [ 4863.97955492,  8226.40412049],\n",
             "        [ 6209.19337967,  9491.364921  ],\n",
             "        [ 5899.71485879, 10223.82259161],\n",
             "        [ 5736.63411528,  7713.95080327]],\n",
             "\n",
             "       [[ 8778.46448044,  4704.95475202],\n",
             "        [ 3849.95457692,  8623.63189049],\n",
             "        [ 2618.63190082,  5463.484249  ],\n",
             "        [ 6261.90102799,  7230.00215272],\n",
             "        [ 5072.17407791,  5929.08190586],\n",
             "        [ 6416.55210278,  7810.21735469],\n",
             "        [ 2567.08656363,  7262.02325843],\n",
             "        [ 3545.83878015,  8273.30153093],\n",
             "        [ 5957.03050086,  5547.45925863],\n",
             "        [ 5101.85425894,  7666.49502287],\n",
             "        [ 9080.34622   ,  9135.38857135],\n",
             "        [ 6980.27416521,  6629.42459484],\n",
             "        [ 3448.27428652,  7873.77702591],\n",
             "        [ 8665.67854639,  7177.00304886],\n",
             "        [ 3011.17497047,  7883.87360775],\n",
             "        [ 4855.30775545, 10787.88442752],\n",
             "        [ 3551.29131736,  9007.06563807],\n",
             "        [11549.14927482,  9203.74385829],\n",
             "        [ 8393.38367112,  7569.46204173],\n",
             "        [ 6817.67177018, 10482.82969302],\n",
             "        [ 5779.41545635, 10663.23286402],\n",
             "        [ 9866.641117  , 11376.9901215 ],\n",
             "        [ 4816.90575376,  7896.15937416],\n",
             "        [ 7836.59480765,  8963.04961302],\n",
             "        [ 6501.98386764,  8825.97119142],\n",
             "        [ 7508.17639869, 10857.34300687],\n",
             "        [ 6371.41104862,  8639.53509748],\n",
             "        [ 6245.61484652, 11373.55314422],\n",
             "        [ 3314.65973119,  8364.93533777],\n",
             "        [ 5413.02905648,  6954.61481605],\n",
             "        [ 5869.37733789, 12630.69390289],\n",
             "        [ 7518.0865172 ,  5652.62004362],\n",
             "        [ 4228.89857604,  8557.84597291],\n",
             "        [ 5659.32787526,  9382.98841731],\n",
             "        [ 9984.11062987, 11370.01280091],\n",
             "        [ 3981.79165589,  7384.99841026],\n",
             "        [ 6783.5253445 ,  9785.46133503],\n",
             "        [ 6554.00011632,  7376.74374911],\n",
             "        [ 5861.43828124,  8463.11220746],\n",
             "        [ 8627.38582249, 10615.08831002],\n",
             "        [ 6643.20228987,  8964.87062321],\n",
             "        [ 5574.61257311,  8586.50082409],\n",
             "        [ 6051.71745781,  7714.11061916],\n",
             "        [ 4424.37860166,  9242.38715557],\n",
             "        [ 5398.75262945,  9851.0856402 ],\n",
             "        [ 5643.63170063,  8129.62955284],\n",
             "        [ 7458.47150419, 10011.24567733],\n",
             "        [ 6803.31781183,  8409.41457397],\n",
             "        [ 6995.55798976,  7690.37949878],\n",
             "        [ 5405.44980994, 12660.67342486],\n",
             "        [ 4501.66799052,  8504.57641789],\n",
             "        [ 6171.41564072,  7433.43163586],\n",
             "        [ 8152.8853522 ,  9136.86857876],\n",
             "        [ 5950.57557215,  6975.36866696],\n",
             "        [ 6599.84837622,  9729.36389554],\n",
             "        [ 5421.76277717,  5724.58195228],\n",
             "        [ 4834.57289987,  7080.08774761],\n",
             "        [ 3736.98036733, 11136.66195374],\n",
             "        [ 9325.52636957,  6385.28449643],\n",
             "        [ 6336.55083399,  7252.12574584],\n",
             "        [ 4100.51442482,  6527.37469138],\n",
             "        [ 6205.14998842,  7814.65707847],\n",
             "        [ 6773.0812892 ,  9381.49849212],\n",
             "        [ 5574.75856183,  5826.41283355],\n",
             "        [ 3844.84081243,  8781.9526829 ],\n",
             "        [ 6124.05631504,  8704.8779855 ],\n",
             "        [ 7787.27038241,  7470.92360767],\n",
             "        [ 5893.850627  ,  7641.87590949],\n",
             "        [ 5901.09364992,  9173.39534727],\n",
             "        [ 6294.14475044,  4916.63229207],\n",
             "        [ 9470.429278  ,  7286.78295154],\n",
             "        [ 4892.32387525,  9422.31339983],\n",
             "        [ 7280.31727152,  7341.13236745],\n",
             "        [ 4336.53690504,  9826.99887596],\n",
             "        [ 8368.77208031,  7228.64617408],\n",
             "        [ 6168.74650557,  9003.18352817],\n",
             "        [ 6555.01990086,  9503.36506896],\n",
             "        [ 7800.42382513,  7423.15376735],\n",
             "        [ 5930.70061493,  5505.0626743 ],\n",
             "        [ 3662.77923141,  7504.04366804],\n",
             "        [ 7647.14896578, 10494.81235554],\n",
             "        [ 5148.04201891,  8176.07479036],\n",
             "        [ 6103.61298658,  7147.75787955],\n",
             "        [ 4299.03849698,  7313.05630045],\n",
             "        [ 8939.16476576,  7278.16554528],\n",
             "        [ 5291.02217824,  6540.92751045],\n",
             "        [ 5692.45627224,  7955.6935205 ],\n",
             "        [ 5807.07859193,  9044.0042313 ],\n",
             "        [ 4613.84465409, 10757.01894921],\n",
             "        [ 7319.28198365,  6833.25450465],\n",
             "        [ 6367.64398624,  6938.87910881],\n",
             "        [ 4393.87698138,  4428.64923094],\n",
             "        [ 5063.94243311,  7031.62831527],\n",
             "        [ 4095.31181879,  8050.92678357],\n",
             "        [ 9134.67806178,  9677.72298318],\n",
             "        [ 5768.19243932,  7856.32460922],\n",
             "        [ 9276.22702338,  7937.60457874],\n",
             "        [ 6196.52387824,  8622.04540117],\n",
             "        [ 5693.21461194,  7086.25681937],\n",
             "        [ 4673.05894829, 11087.96075094]],\n",
             "\n",
             "       [[ 1932.83331212,  8835.05534428],\n",
             "        [ 6394.19482132,  8491.90748927],\n",
             "        [ 7387.49839633,  7657.54005933],\n",
             "        [ 6546.71049584,  9184.46942588],\n",
             "        [ 4385.53995927,  4738.41182721],\n",
             "        [ 3923.25814346,  7229.56430614],\n",
             "        [ 6700.12717362,  6894.35066756],\n",
             "        [ 4598.13143892,  9155.61387422],\n",
             "        [ 6117.68902201,  5776.38588784],\n",
             "        [ 5370.23360404,  6885.00100079],\n",
             "        [ 4542.85044201,  5484.04030749],\n",
             "        [ 5807.59368779,  8384.8367427 ],\n",
             "        [ 5591.0030177 ,  7755.78070165],\n",
             "        [ 4479.49301281,  7931.46958838],\n",
             "        [ 3224.09888387, 10452.9278513 ],\n",
             "        [ 8530.89918933,  6940.45605707],\n",
             "        [ 4599.39057883,  8529.64595169],\n",
             "        [ 8772.73971593,  8409.56306774],\n",
             "        [ 5712.80716936,  8854.34089872],\n",
             "        [ 5367.05408717,  5363.16176339],\n",
             "        [ 7573.02014621,  6795.81232592],\n",
             "        [ 5371.51266756,  8904.08935434],\n",
             "        [ 7815.34351748,  9506.73226044],\n",
             "        [ 4254.1926267 ,  8823.6007788 ],\n",
             "        [ 2207.83012017,  6289.37664789],\n",
             "        [ 5958.07264807,  7818.21883439],\n",
             "        [ 7113.12901658,  9133.18235854],\n",
             "        [ 7046.23352302,  2775.83502145],\n",
             "        [ 6238.06024996,  7517.60525594],\n",
             "        [ 7642.13848095,  8873.34948802],\n",
             "        [ 4935.27528503,  8892.91325733],\n",
             "        [ 2054.29964182,  8134.31003063],\n",
             "        [ 3540.39968373, 10881.71204162],\n",
             "        [10582.93354048,  9440.9328288 ],\n",
             "        [ 2114.37060731,  8611.32634629],\n",
             "        [ 5984.61509734,  6243.26474716],\n",
             "        [ 7256.69671568,  6065.89271379],\n",
             "        [ 4384.55899556,  6940.69206791],\n",
             "        [ 4983.30904764, 11755.60764428],\n",
             "        [ 8030.25452672,  6916.06847543],\n",
             "        [ 1964.07368659,  9094.75637063],\n",
             "        [ 5811.11479419,  4638.95317481],\n",
             "        [ 3227.86024767,  9551.90468352],\n",
             "        [ 3126.69477661,  4447.16751601],\n",
             "        [ 2798.75323215,  7900.44704737],\n",
             "        [ 6554.65339383,  8877.96733485],\n",
             "        [ 5963.51311173,  6203.57046233],\n",
             "        [ 6702.98575723,  5654.74797057],\n",
             "        [ 4746.42917562,  7126.85666311],\n",
             "        [ 7285.39183748,  5381.94356339],\n",
             "        [ 6312.79329816,  9172.37539673],\n",
             "        [ 4567.13588684,  9056.64062823],\n",
             "        [ 5840.80933974, 10000.76030826],\n",
             "        [ 6774.36625652,  9719.76814595],\n",
             "        [ 5511.66235625, 12154.031775  ],\n",
             "        [ 8369.91849848,  6786.24637803],\n",
             "        [ 6345.83635588,  9204.53068302],\n",
             "        [ 7734.55324136,  8784.14614172],\n",
             "        [ 7213.727125  ,  8082.81278706],\n",
             "        [ 7581.31226976, 10575.76522942],\n",
             "        [ 4747.26267825,  8534.34139636],\n",
             "        [ 3793.56752217,  8611.38579886],\n",
             "        [ 9195.0662314 ,  8165.52608166],\n",
             "        [ 7069.08218093,  6506.92289568],\n",
             "        [ 4232.30204788,  8843.36752543],\n",
             "        [ 3592.44618686,  8611.27553948],\n",
             "        [ 4276.89269139,  8832.84989369],\n",
             "        [ 5301.97716267, 10648.46651591],\n",
             "        [ 6775.86554942, 12754.65624039],\n",
             "        [ 6092.67208377,  8387.48024303],\n",
             "        [ 4559.22126024, 10749.57538403],\n",
             "        [ 8552.77861376,  9000.19933533],\n",
             "        [ 8324.29358059,  7840.93591935],\n",
             "        [ 5113.69035633,  8862.93458487],\n",
             "        [ 3120.97509703,  6867.15690877],\n",
             "        [ 2107.30462155, 10554.01093521],\n",
             "        [ 2434.45645011,  4390.95867128],\n",
             "        [ 5923.65375046,  7742.16862193],\n",
             "        [ 4736.94056129, 10932.12630802],\n",
             "        [ 5017.56670358,  8248.566436  ],\n",
             "        [ 3102.25996442,  9185.21257917],\n",
             "        [ 5207.68383559,  6508.86019334],\n",
             "        [ 6942.72002102,  5891.14674441],\n",
             "        [ 5248.36784534,  8992.74032652],\n",
             "        [ 3409.69275629,  8143.91207853],\n",
             "        [ 4051.29012012,  9153.3133287 ],\n",
             "        [ 7420.47713454, 10740.05767734],\n",
             "        [ 6437.10835983, 11123.73703276],\n",
             "        [ 6471.12531555,  9933.51879713],\n",
             "        [ 5065.55573195,  6524.27802924],\n",
             "        [ 6262.02007809, 10895.58650445],\n",
             "        [ 5182.63927618,  8636.73574014],\n",
             "        [ 7364.49684627,  8480.23587655],\n",
             "        [ 8366.47432282,  9327.3541551 ],\n",
             "        [ 3087.3995531 ,  5897.82156777],\n",
             "        [ 4693.62721777,  7092.58815696],\n",
             "        [ 3995.43136131,  9356.10776731],\n",
             "        [ 3222.70387335,  8171.78209397],\n",
             "        [ 4893.52743748,  6807.37517008],\n",
             "        [ 5322.45292286,  6665.1165347 ]]])
    • github_commits_pred
      (chain, draw, candidate developer)
      float64
      18.37 31.01 21.17 ... 41.52 42.34
      array([[[ 1.83745869e+01,  3.10115996e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.11678743e+01,  2.16098759e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.39691624e+01,  5.76746607e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.92819486e+01,  3.21214822e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.33457926e+01,  3.26436513e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.45159549e+01,  3.31487624e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.74264862e+01,  3.91290425e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.96800173e+01,  3.68404587e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.47680029e+01,  2.75300177e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.42856193e+01,  2.89340756e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.63854524e+01,  2.82716971e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.89526586e+01,  3.56484755e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.27361364e+01,  1.31978744e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.05724658e+01,  6.07138532e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.05779440e+01,  4.80373034e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.01944397e+01,  3.23255551e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.77841138e+01,  3.85266139e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.85307087e+01,  2.85643664e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.39657728e+01,  3.27240492e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.17928298e+01,  4.25570485e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.47341768e+01,  2.89671725e+01],\n",
             "        [ 7.14389538e+00,  4.82080605e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.10280035e+01,  3.63754853e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.23952484e+01,  3.18063682e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.90970055e+01,  3.35652143e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.77382289e+01,  3.10953416e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.77473413e+01,  2.50817156e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.79807082e+01,  2.59905693e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.86659796e+01,  2.63643191e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.62431278e+01,  2.89756792e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.22811412e+01,  3.47554921e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.47811927e+01,  3.04228412e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.16258621e+01,  2.97441665e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.47039495e+01,  3.06540255e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.41106300e+01,  3.35045815e+01],\n",
             "        [ 9.97104156e+00,  1.19583404e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.73286980e+01,  2.47648372e+01],\n",
             "        [ 9.27560397e+00,  3.44713887e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.15599464e+01,  2.78270034e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.46013073e+01,  4.07838046e+01],\n",
             "        [-1.04233403e+00,  8.06455165e+00],\n",
             "        [ 3.59193737e+01, -4.19159855e+00],\n",
             "        [-2.81489053e+01, -1.93181292e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.02257066e+01,  5.11410136e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.58929667e+01,  4.05594009e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.20943534e+01,  4.37980455e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.13773876e+01,  3.29583319e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.93014904e+01,  3.85086196e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.49795314e+01,  4.77285867e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.51448389e+01,  5.19340424e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.38638953e+01,  2.93546299e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.73065238e+01,  3.04604123e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.35283664e+01,  3.65356004e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.15565933e+01,  2.42381597e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.63794278e+01,  3.67745574e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.64922335e+01,  3.31258000e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.49792641e+01,  3.22764667e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.10988660e+01,  2.80520545e+01],\n",
             "        [ 8.21004253e+00,  3.40429548e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.09665427e+01,  3.09970444e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.68251736e+01,  4.13403663e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.34523960e+01,  2.76800639e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.04003999e+01,  3.10107454e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.16137265e+01,  3.07175110e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.41219317e+01,  2.50583127e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.94842129e+01,  3.00959324e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.09420271e+01,  2.80977102e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.58552074e+01,  3.48633577e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.92046720e+01,  3.90418571e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.97947917e+01,  3.40623605e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.33339765e+01,  2.44196999e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.57650538e+01,  2.57389839e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.87601718e+01,  3.18362917e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.88240943e+01,  2.37256123e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.16356243e+01,  2.64059856e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.26610555e+01,  3.53928471e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.25201011e+01,  2.46087618e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.87318636e+01,  3.02023853e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.54835778e+01,  3.04889316e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.97240399e+01,  3.51029782e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.02223605e+01,  2.52733395e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.49255186e+01,  3.23513324e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.99825503e+01,  3.03137286e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.38996671e+01,  3.15642035e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.42345430e+01,  3.56941916e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.61142487e+01,  6.47641537e+01],\n",
             "        [ 5.32450814e+01,  3.33246887e+01],\n",
             "        [ 6.23822479e+00,  4.58591334e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.15877893e+01,  1.87909551e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.16893822e+01,  3.12252798e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.69054591e+01,  3.71870661e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.87646816e+01,  2.88705854e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.46181244e+01,  4.17234124e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.94134027e+01,  2.38826605e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.42257848e+01,  2.03588858e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.27235503e+01,  2.81093609e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.99631352e+01,  4.04749977e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.27133082e+01,  3.02270965e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.74337668e+01,  2.83550645e+01],\n",
             "        [ 9.19217704e+00,  2.89236074e+01]],\n",
             "\n",
             "       [[ 8.33903907e+00,  5.33200398e+00],\n",
             "        [ 2.06155203e+01,  2.39458335e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.40889627e+01,  2.34381797e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.01549426e+01,  3.10087779e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.18894668e+01,  2.97152938e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.35602074e+01,  2.63958239e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.44556687e+01,  4.37593295e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.11575120e+01,  2.36953778e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.03423915e+01,  3.43045041e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.14054469e+01,  2.99815062e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.22024128e+01,  3.26351711e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.74340873e+01,  3.91916877e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.29104577e+01,  2.80957626e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.07897027e+01,  3.69128709e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.15164269e+01,  3.00070865e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.82571848e+01,  3.30049747e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.95643049e+01,  3.04879353e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.40644765e+01,  3.17125909e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.16444805e+01,  2.25023311e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.87936920e+01,  2.74743077e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.29728470e+01,  1.61007028e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.24151269e+01,  4.35037758e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.25898518e+01,  2.14059217e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.49615609e+01,  4.16468310e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.31993651e+01,  3.49892856e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.61198882e+01,  3.27376731e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.25623172e+01,  3.33107058e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.89469218e+01,  3.80628450e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.20920421e+01,  3.17907759e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.68336645e+01,  2.72714282e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.01487719e+01,  3.88846839e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.56900931e+01,  2.98628829e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.12150697e+01,  3.09433310e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.91432852e+01,  2.94043402e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.57800972e+01,  3.51632735e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.49139132e+01,  3.04795251e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.97820312e+01,  2.78797643e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.39395832e+01,  2.96090445e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.45270704e+01,  2.60847306e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.96162445e+01,  2.67092832e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.10238364e+01,  2.22656185e+01],\n",
             "        [ 9.19929616e+00,  2.63708578e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.57738307e+01,  2.78196918e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.66415419e+01,  2.61136589e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.55095801e+01,  2.74668405e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.62745131e+01,  3.26110345e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.46406100e+01,  2.73749837e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.59405974e+01,  3.13529636e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.26123530e+01,  4.50151053e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.33069641e+01,  2.39941710e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.26129226e+01,  3.33150026e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.10025943e+01,  2.14579346e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.01455983e+01,  2.98283092e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.48740511e+01,  4.20988161e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.05832340e+01,  2.69737555e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.41362677e+01,  2.67532577e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.83569017e+01,  3.34407557e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.19687517e+01,  4.03473564e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.93819811e+01,  3.75621441e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.75687455e+01,  3.10860510e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.94183807e+01,  3.10070925e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.20647087e+01,  3.60338848e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.09471550e+01,  2.31662367e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.83136620e+01,  4.94805249e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.37576174e+01,  3.91578421e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.96620697e+01,  2.95735381e+01],\n",
             "        [ 8.77920711e+00,  2.53583434e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.29424793e+01,  3.17498912e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.22218950e+01,  4.01797937e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.16067862e+01,  4.07469581e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.25267769e+01,  3.16515783e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.90067529e+01,  2.22909752e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.84018358e+01,  2.61878364e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.91497895e+01,  3.65738502e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.30445702e+01,  4.16651256e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.89758268e+01,  1.94773958e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.68149747e+01,  4.50883023e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.35391849e+01,  3.15727259e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.96267587e+01,  3.46980776e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.88605366e+01,  2.66442600e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.06437444e+01,  2.49694928e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.25216047e+01,  3.19878788e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.99388983e+01,  3.54541382e+01],\n",
             "        [ 7.58753832e+00,  9.89580379e+00],\n",
             "        [-8.55226883e-02,  4.20031482e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.93189252e+01,  3.30642256e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.93469187e+01,  2.40362643e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.05819841e+01,  2.82603001e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.97712110e+01,  3.98341835e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.85172492e+01,  3.55874846e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.07380762e+01,  3.42212522e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.48512240e+01,  2.72173741e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.85271850e+01,  3.84626685e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.80224902e+01,  3.61024903e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.48364157e+01,  3.53547549e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.87907935e+01,  3.58305705e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.36134288e+01,  3.92676953e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.30313821e+01,  4.17068642e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.34639067e+01,  3.98205234e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.81300349e+01,  2.65889747e+01]],\n",
             "\n",
             "       [[ 2.38662803e+01,  3.11957155e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.95550082e+01,  2.01250749e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.60142229e+01,  3.00608051e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.26548404e+01,  2.05291982e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.28146483e+01,  3.31704347e+01],\n",
             "        [ 9.93951017e+00,  2.72462954e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.60038037e+01,  2.92805493e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.19933542e+01,  1.00540324e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.52224279e+01,  3.80633017e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.37499395e+01,  2.81896822e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.86701497e+01,  4.26574299e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.30071278e+01,  1.89294410e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.63368211e+01,  3.27063456e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.38283856e+01,  3.50362417e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.79510945e+01,  3.60654366e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.96914545e+01,  2.84622048e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.46233668e+01,  2.91382854e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.86600885e+01,  5.87289733e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.02230264e+01,  3.56699894e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.65514353e+01,  3.22128307e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.63013444e+01,  3.35736761e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.49348612e+01,  2.40966441e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.51197771e+01,  2.48834612e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.22182334e+01,  4.57114650e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.01932614e+01,  2.42542347e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.56495692e+01,  1.91533872e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.29346274e+01,  4.31154537e+00],\n",
             "        [ 4.47583104e+01,  4.80584253e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.92317496e+01,  1.03641946e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.70033500e+01,  4.63749333e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.79300671e+01,  3.25381417e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.47225819e+01,  3.37829233e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.87438791e+01,  2.69992318e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.01624132e+01,  2.60049067e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.24963599e+01,  3.13940556e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.15394220e+01,  3.75270958e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.90372139e+01,  3.47404744e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.32777369e+01,  2.76059869e+01],\n",
             "        [ 5.11956769e+01,  4.09703290e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.54472220e+01,  1.71929658e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.13240323e+01,  2.73810629e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.27323046e+01,  2.70189453e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.83000073e+01,  2.79916427e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.25063849e+01,  1.81621854e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.04451551e+01,  2.49180831e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.89091707e+01,  3.54472440e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.70937267e+01,  3.30443618e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.40789845e+01,  2.14485741e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.00562999e+01,  3.88928070e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.12443886e+01,  3.35067947e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.40797111e+01,  3.39135832e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.52382755e+01,  2.47344680e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.89024344e+01,  2.15125107e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.81150147e+01,  3.29633418e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.42456745e+01,  3.48999920e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.26105562e+01,  2.43559982e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.61089299e+01,  2.51305236e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.49833763e+01,  3.03695049e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.35453643e+01,  3.00834163e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.42995119e+01,  3.89984985e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.89632533e+01,  2.71278632e+01],\n",
             "        [ 9.40868479e+00,  1.82434594e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.53476351e+01,  2.39854129e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.14240882e+01,  3.87875267e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.19133883e+01,  3.05454885e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.85152836e+01,  4.78202585e+01],\n",
             "        [ 6.94675146e+00,  2.65168399e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.84259876e+01,  3.48303324e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.72552117e+01,  2.57811989e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.04314710e+01,  2.89707643e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.20565480e+01,  1.61193876e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.71151323e+01,  3.90264046e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.02303671e+01,  3.07931309e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.05112921e+01,  2.83748974e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.41653036e+01,  3.63775140e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.36174060e+01,  2.55808219e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.15214738e+01,  2.81409305e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.85197269e+01,  2.29247924e+01],\n",
             "        [ 9.78525084e+00,  8.80825550e+00],\n",
             "        [ 1.29775172e+01,  2.80695116e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.09718921e+00,  5.03171706e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.40085855e+01,  3.35660523e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.98038277e+01,  3.21574532e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.84443238e+01,  1.96586312e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.34706063e+01,  2.62692930e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.20549201e+01,  2.87759392e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.25900999e+01,  2.31978141e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.06102156e+01,  3.07193808e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.14904965e+01,  2.33382662e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.19731457e+01,  3.44926604e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.59105575e+01,  2.55614384e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.07047351e+01,  4.19714715e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.51675106e+01,  4.49609220e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.03074340e+01,  2.58325359e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.60641065e+01,  2.66101304e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.22439655e+01,  2.93773105e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.13988325e+01,  3.74302869e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.68125220e+01,  3.46951732e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.24213006e+01,  2.89493782e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.39779142e+01,  2.81674847e+01]],\n",
             "\n",
             "       [[ 2.68729047e+01,  2.48151189e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.46792621e+01,  3.17215642e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.79813774e+01,  3.74836440e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.79423845e+01,  3.14607974e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.68774986e+01,  3.17800295e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.68389772e+01,  3.42475949e+01],\n",
             "        [ 5.24712150e+01,  3.04108500e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.45119289e+01,  4.21503107e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.89002870e+01,  3.31478210e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.76460327e+01,  2.80396436e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.50723667e+01,  3.47862367e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.86343338e+01,  4.37416158e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.50892520e+01,  4.50488763e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.09635985e+01,  3.39278119e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.77185988e+01,  2.94508711e+01],\n",
             "        [-2.10539866e-01,  3.49190354e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.76838789e+01,  1.28845455e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.67687426e+01,  1.27943389e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.60240349e+01,  3.51688053e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.07237808e+01,  6.95086413e+00],\n",
             "        [ 2.39555611e+01,  3.10169853e+01],\n",
             "        [ 9.55433255e+00,  3.69702126e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.54074389e+01,  1.82230897e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.58506405e+01,  2.29213007e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.43947585e+01,  3.10969689e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.98183856e+00, -4.12575012e+00],\n",
             "        [ 2.21511620e+01,  2.98636422e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.70675835e+01,  4.15581996e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.39261328e+01, -2.99682417e-01],\n",
             "        [ 1.10305360e+01,  1.71234844e+01],\n",
             "        [-6.18303674e+00,  1.82343635e+01],\n",
             "        [-8.90776699e+00,  6.70179199e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.75596511e+01,  3.09418757e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.72222898e+01,  2.30135097e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.09407496e+01,  3.19972975e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.32719112e+01,  2.91775081e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.14960821e+01,  4.03361834e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.50659121e+01,  3.56194524e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.37134930e+01,  1.89970039e+01],\n",
             "        [-5.10396915e+01,  3.77678704e+01],\n",
             "        [-3.55310967e+01,  1.54647487e+02],\n",
             "        [ 1.73914193e+01,  2.15186306e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.32327511e+01,  3.11262321e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.15366758e+01,  4.76050386e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.65469848e+01,  2.64993403e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.70602796e+01,  2.98913394e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.04782164e+01,  3.52161693e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.60381262e+01,  4.08349468e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.35935060e+01,  3.20575574e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.25373575e+01,  2.03004378e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.34858968e+01,  3.38361910e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.40246007e+01,  3.11266360e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.58810161e+01,  3.61929201e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.46941853e+01,  4.20004649e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.14996415e+01,  3.05357007e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.85697131e+01,  3.32928677e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.64650084e+01,  3.18451146e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.96566601e+01,  1.34265784e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.36116274e+01,  3.28984946e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.51131496e+01,  2.26918846e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.02077655e+01,  1.29279033e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.12274745e+01,  3.69097142e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.37171315e+01,  3.57039410e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.72468562e+01,  2.99059847e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.08209513e+01,  1.85205105e+01],\n",
             "        [ 9.00204699e+00,  4.29985754e+01],\n",
             "        [ 7.93757765e+00,  4.06676806e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.08929665e+01,  2.97213301e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.72772299e+01,  3.04496843e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.48461499e+01,  1.90782334e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.19713048e+01,  2.42349760e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.29294396e+01,  2.89252433e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.87572277e+01,  3.11013791e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.45509600e+01,  3.29266338e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.46283862e+01,  4.41457571e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.24977230e+01,  2.87715818e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.86580202e+01,  2.57006896e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.61618259e+01,  3.95827213e+01],\n",
             "        [ 5.71100266e+00,  4.28643581e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.66165034e+01,  7.66767262e+00],\n",
             "        [ 3.12604141e+01,  3.07219498e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.44653944e+01,  3.80759959e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.64809616e+01,  3.49948979e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.35753443e+01,  2.83906050e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.68353834e+01,  4.67371068e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.57434453e+01,  3.23227473e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.85084438e+01,  2.34058815e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.41651949e+01,  1.86587608e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.00643971e+01,  2.61755456e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.51444351e+01,  2.25990243e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.44990538e+01,  2.77331550e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.15334381e+01,  3.24426624e+01],\n",
             "        [ 3.95838020e+01,  4.04893642e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.10122602e+01,  2.20100549e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.18906959e+01,  2.95109940e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.28149183e+01,  3.00855340e+01],\n",
             "        [ 2.32256883e+01,  2.41379934e+01],\n",
             "        [ 1.72963037e+01,  3.41714937e+01],\n",
             "        [ 6.67257397e+00,  1.32370721e+01],\n",
             "        [ 4.15177547e+01,  4.23411295e+01]]])
  • created_at :
    2020-02-06T23:13:09.349962
    inference_library :
    pystan
    inference_library_version :
    2.19.1.1
" ], "text/plain": [ "\n", "Dimensions: (candidate developer: 2, chain: 4, draw: 100)\n", "Coordinates:\n", " * chain (chain) int64 0 1 2 3\n", " * draw (draw) int64 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 ... 93 94 95 96 97 98 99\n", " * candidate developer (candidate developer) \n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide data repr\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "Show/Hide attributes\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "\n", "
xarray.Dataset
    • candidate developer: 2
    • candidate developer
      (candidate developer)
      <U7
      'Francis' 'Gerard'
      array(['Francis', 'Gerard'], dtype='<U7')
    • time_since_joined_pred
      (candidate developer)
      float64
      3.6 5.1
      array([3.6, 5.1])
  • created_at :
    2020-02-06T23:13:09.334048
    inference_library :
    pystan
    inference_library_version :
    2.19.1.1
" ], "text/plain": [ "\n", "Dimensions: (candidate developer: 2)\n", "Coordinates:\n", " * candidate developer (candidate developer)